Looking to win big? The Eagles and Crusaders face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Crusaders are hosting the game at Hart Center in Worcester, MA. American is favored by -5.5 in this Patriot League conference matchup the against Holy Cross. The over/under for the game is set at 134.5 points.


The Pick: Holy Cross Crusaders +5.5

This game will be played at Hart Center at 2:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Crusaders.
  • Not only will Holy Cross pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will the Eagles Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

After losing their last game to Loyola Maryland by a score of 44-43, American comes into this game with a 13-11 overall record and a 6-4 record in Patriot League play. On the road, they have gone 5-8 this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -5.0.

As the favorite, American has gone 10-3 this season, and they have been favored in 13 of their 24 games. For the year, they have gone 7-7 in non-conference games, and they are 6-3 at home compared to 5-8 on the road.

When looking at American’s ATS record this year, they are currently 12-10. In their 24 games this season, they have been the favorite in 13 of them and have gone 9-4 vs. the spread in those games. On the road, the Eagles have an ATS mark of 7-6 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 8-2.

This season, the over/under record for American games is 12-10 and today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (138). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 120 points compared to their season average of 139.4 points per game.

In contrast to their season average of 71.2 points per game, the American had a below average performance. They scored 43 points against Loyola Maryland and had a field goal percentage of 34.8%. Offensively, the Eagles have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 161st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 149th in percentage and 32nd in three-pointers made.

The Eagles’ defense is presently ranked 116th nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. So far, the American defense is giving up an average of 7.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10 times per game (417th).

Can the Crusaders Grab a Win at Home?

Heading into today’s game against American, Holy Cross is 7-17 on the season and 4-7 in Patriot League play. They are 4-10 on the road and 2-7 at home, where they have been outscored by an average of 7.3 points per game.

As the underdog, the Crusaders are 4-17 this season. They have been the underdog in 21 of their 24 games, including today’s matchup. Holy Cross’ average scoring differential on the road is -12.1 points per game.

As the underdog, Holy Cross has gone 6-15 vs. the spread this season and 8-15 overall. They are just 2-7 vs. the spread at home this year and 2-7 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread. However, they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games and 2-3 in their last 5 home games vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Holy Cross games is 14-9. On average, their games have finished with 141.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 138.7, resulting in an average margin of +3 points versus the OU line. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year and the average scoring total in their last three games is 132 points.

The Holy Cross offense is coming off a game in which they scored 59 points vs. Lafayette. Overall their field goal percentage was 36.7% while connecting on 7 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Joseph Octave who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.3. Caleb Kenney also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.

Coming into today’s game, the Holy Cross defense is giving up an average of 75.3 points per contest. Against Lafayette, the Crusaders’ defense gave up 75 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Lafayette only made 8 free-throws.