College Football Pick of the Week – Week 14
Last Updated: 2017-12-01
We’re sitting at 8-6 with our College Football Pick of the Week and on a weekend full of big games, let’s look at the biggest, which is Auburn vs. Georgia. Auburn is favored by 2 and the total is 48.
Yes, it’s for the SEC championship and a playoff appearance, but there’s no way last week’s victory over Alabama won’t have a bit of a lingering effect on the Tigers. Especially against a revenge-minded Georgia team.
The Bulldogs have just the one loss on the season and it was ugly 40-17, as the Tigers were able to chew up the clock and rush for 237 yards, while holding Georgia to less than 50. It won’t be quite so easy for Auburn on Saturday, as the Bulldogs are a bit healthier this time around.
Auburn is going to get the nod when it pertains to strength of schedule, having played Alabama while the Bulldogs did not and the line value is in favor of Georgia, as the Bulldogs were giving 2.5 points at Auburn and are now getting points at a neutral site that is less of a trip for them than it is for Auburn.
For the season, the Bulldogs lived and died with their rushing attack and it was pretty simple. When they out-rushed their foes they won. The one time they didn’t, they lost. Georgia’s passing attack is nothing to get excited about and the Bulldogs struggled at Auburn.
The Tigers were more of a balanced squad, rushing for 237 yards per game and throwing for 232, which is why Auburn averaged more points and more yards than the Bulldogs during the season.
The teams are similar defensively, with Georgia allowing fewer yards and points, but both teams well above average in all areas. The Bulldogs are a little better in the special teams department, so on paper at least, these two teams are about as equal as it can, but the Bulldogs are going to get the situational advantage in this one, with the Tigers coming off a big win in a physical game and Georgia having had a pair of easy games since being thumped by the Tigers.
The betting public is on the Tigers to a small extent, with Auburn getting 60% of the wagers, but the line did drop slightly from the opening number of Auburn-3.
Have to side with the Bulldogs in this one in what should be a pretty decent game between two evenly matched teams.