College Football Pick of the Week – Week 11

 

Last Updated: 2017-11-09

After a slow start, our College Football Pick of the Week is now our highest-performing college football play, sitting at 7-4 for the season, as we’re 19-14 overall heading into this week. This week, our play is a bit of a popular play, but one that makes a bit of sense, as Duke visits Army and the Blue Devils are favored by 3 and the total is 48.

Duke enters this game with a 4-5 record, making this a huge game as far as bowl eligibility goes, while Army not only is bowl eligible with a 7-2 record, but they’re also coming off a 21-0 victory over Air Force. While the Cadets weren’t partying the way some teams would be after such a big victory, you have to know there was plenty of celebrating around West Point, especially since Army still has Navy on the schedule in its traditional end-of-season game. Naturally, Duke gets a huge advantage in strength of schedule, even if Army has played Ohio State

The Blue Devils began the season fast, but have now dropped five straight. Sure, the likes of Miami, Florida State and Virginia Tech are far better than Army, but still you don’t like to see a five-game losing skid, even if three of those losses were by a touchdown.

Duke is nothing to get excited about offensively, but aren’t too terribly bad on defense, especially against the rush. The Blue Devils are allowing 142 rushing yards per game and that number will likely go up a bit in this spot, but Duke can defense the option, holding Army to 258 rushing yards the past two seasons combined. The past two seasons the Blue Devils have beat Army at its own game, rushing for 360 yards and having more attempts than the Cadets have.

The Blue Devils have also had an extra week to get ready for the option, which should pay dividends, as they face Georgia Tech next week, so Duke should have received a full dose of the option the past two weeks of practice. Depending on the result and the line next week, the Blue Devils could be worth a look against Georgia Tech, as well.

Duke is getting the majority of the wagers in this game, although it’s not overwhelming, as a few people were obviously impressed with the Cadets’ blanking of Air Force. But will go ahead and lay the three points with a Duke team that needs this game more than Army does and has shown it can stop the option a bit.

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