Looking to win big? The Great Danes and Retrievers face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Retrievers are hosting the game at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD. The over/under for this game is set at 175.5 points, and UMBC is favored by -1 vs. Albany in a America East conference matchup.

ALBANY GREAT DANES VS UMBC RETRIEVERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UMBC Retrievers -1

This game will be played at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Retrievers.
  • Not only will UMBC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 175.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Albany?

Albany is 12-13 overall and 4-6 in America East games. On the road, the Great Danes are 5-10 this season, and their average scoring margin is -4.5 points.

For the season, Albany has been the underdog in 15 of its 25 games, going 3-12 in those contests. The Great Danes have lost two straight road games, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home.

Albany’s ATS record this season is currently sitting at .500 (12-12). As the underdog, the Great Danes have gone just 5-10 vs. the spread this year and are 2-8 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, Albany’s ATS mark is 7-8 and they have gone 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 road contests.

On the season, the over/under record for Albany games is 13-9-2 with an average scoring total of 155.9 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (150.5). So far, 22 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 160 points.

In their recent matchup, the Albany offense ended with 83 points against NJIT. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 53.3% and made 10 threes. Sebastian Thomas is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Amar’e Marshall brings a PPG average of 17.3 into the game.

At present, the Great Danes’ defense is nationally ranked 294th, allowing 77.8 points per game. Albany’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the NJIT offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 58 points.

Do the Retrievers Have What it Takes at Home?

UMBC has had a tough season, as they are just 8-18 overall and 3-8 in America East play. At home, they have gone 4-8, and they have lost four straight in their own building.

Despite their struggles, the Retrievers are favored by one point over Albany. UMBC has been the underdog in 20 of their 26 games this year, going 6-14 in those contests.

UMBC’s ATS record this season is 14-11, but they are just 1-4 vs. the spread when favored this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Retrievers have gone just 2-8 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for UMBC games is 16-9 and today’s line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (157.2). So far, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than 175.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 160 points per game.

UMBC’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Binghamton, finishing the game with a total of 89 points. Their season average is now 79.1 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Dion Brown, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 19, while Marcus Banks Jr. also carries a PPG average of 13.8 into the game.

Facing Albany, UMBC aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 82.8 points allowed per game (335th). UMBC’s three-point defense is currently 169th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 46.0% of their shots vs. UMBC.