Alamo Bowl Pick: Washington vs. Baylor
- Updated: December 28, 2011
Washington Huskies vs. Baylor Bears Gambling Odds from Bookmaker
NCAA FB Betting Favorite: Baylor -9.5
San Antonio will host another edition of the Alamo Bowl on December 29. This game generally has some good story lines, and that is definitely the case this year. Baylor will have a major home field advantage playing in the state of Texas. In addition, it will be Robert Griffin III’s first appearance on the field since winning the Heisman Trophy. Washington will try to spoil the party. Expect plenty of fireworks in this one.
Without Jake Locker many wondered if Washington would have much offense this year, but that didn’t out to be a problem at all. Keith Price stepped in and did a fantastic job in his first year as the starting quarterback for the Huskies. Price racked up 29 touchdown passes compared to just 11 interceptions. His completion percentage of 67.4% was one of the best in the country. Chris Polk is one of the most explosive runners in college football. Polk averaged 5.1 yards per carry, and he finished the regular season with 11 rushing touchdowns. He is also a threat to catch the ball out of the backfield. The Huskies averaged 31.5 points per contest this year.
Washington’s defense held them back last year, and it was more of the same again this season. This unit was torched on a weekly basis. The team did improve against the run, but the pass defense was miserable. The Huskies allowed at least 31 points in five of their last six games. Can they even slow down the Bears high-octane offense?
Baylor had never had a Heisman Trophy winner before, so Griffin instantly became a hero in Waco, Texas. RG3 was clearly deserving of the award after an unbelievably amazing season. Griffin completed 72.4% of his passes, and he finished with 3,998 yards through the air. He piled up 36 touchdowns while throwing just six interceptions. Griffin is the absolute definition of a dual-threat quarterback. He started out his career as primarily a runner, but he turned into a great passer. While RG3 was definitely the main catalyst, Baylor has lots of other great pieces on offense. Kendall Wright caught 101 passes and 13 touchdowns this year. Terrance Ganaway averaged 5.9 yards per carry, and he finished the regular season with 16 rushing touchdowns. Baylor finished second in the nation in total offense.
As good as the Baylor offense was, the defense was nearly that bad. The Bears defense forced the offense to win ridiculously high scoring games all season long. Baylor ranked 114th out of 120 teams in the country in total defense. The Bears gave up 36 points or more in seven of their 12 games this season.
The posted total is set extremely high for a very good reason. I expect Baylor to put up a ton of points, and Washington won’t be too far behind. I think this one goes over the very high number.
Free College Football Pick: Over 78.5
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