The Hornets and Bulls are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulls will host the game at Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and the Bulls are favored to win at home against the Hornets.
ALABAMA STATE HORNETS VS SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Alabama State Hornets +15
This game will be played at Yuengling Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, December 29th.
WHY BET THE ALABAMA STATE HORNETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-65 in favor of the Bulls.
- Even though we have South Florida winning straight-up, we like Alabama State at +15.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Taking a Look at the Hornets Chances on the Road
After playing 11 games, Alabama State comes into this matchup with a 4-7 record. Over their last ten road games, Alabama State has gone 2-8, which includes games from last year. As of today’s game, Alabama State has a 7-1 record against the spread. Looking back at their previous five games, they have gone 3-1 vs. the spread.
Through 11 games, Alabama State has an over/under record of 4-4-0 with their games averaging a combined 148.4 points per game so far. The Hornets have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last three games, with their games averaging 137 points per game.
The Alabama State offense is coming off a game where they scored 62 points against Auburn. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% and connected on 4 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Antonio TJ Madlock who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.2. CJ Hines also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.3.
So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 227th in the country at 75.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.4% this season.
Can the Bulls Deliver Being Favored at Home?
At present, the Bulls have a 6-4 record and are coming off a loss to Massachusetts (66-56). In their two road games this season, the Bulls are 0-2, while they have a 2-2 record at home. Against the spread, South Florida has a subpar record at 2-4. At home this season, South Florida is 2-2 ATS. In their previous ten home games, South Florida has a solid 7-3 ATS record.
Looking at their over/under performance through 10 games, South Florida has an over/under record of 0-6-0, with their games averaging 135.7 points per game on average. When looking at the Bulls’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, with their games averaging 164 points per game.
Most recently, the South Florida offense finished with just 56 points vs. Massachusetts. For the game, they hit 5/22 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 27.3%. Leading South Florida in scoring vs. Massachusetts was Selton Miguel with his 16 points. Sam Hines Jr. also added 9 points for the Bulls.
So far, the Bulls’ defense is ranked 134th in the country at 69.8 points per contest. South Florida’s three-point defense is currently 103rd in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. South Florida.