Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Crimson Tide versus the Wildcats? Tip off is at at 4:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on CBS. The game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 175.5 points, and Kentucky is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Alabama.


The Pick: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5

This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Not only will Kentucky pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 175.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Crimson Tide Make it Happen in Lexington?

Alabama heads into tonight’s game against Kentucky as a 2.5-point underdog. The Crimson Tide are 19-7 overall this season and have won two straight games. In Southeastern Conference play, they are 10-2.

On the road, Alabama has gone 6-6 this season, and its average scoring margin away from home is +1.6. Over the team’s last 10 road games, it has gone 5-5.

Alabama has an overall ATS record of 16-9 this season, including a 5-7 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Crimson Tide are just 2-4 vs. the spread this year and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog. However, Alabama has gone 2-1 ATS in their last three road games and 5-5 vs. the spread in their last 10 games on the road.

Today’s over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 160.2 in Alabama’s games this year. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 188 points.

The Alabama offense is coming off a game where they scored 100 points against Texas A&M. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.1% and connected on 18 threes. Mark Sears led the scoring for the Crimson Tide, contributing 23 points. Additionally, Rylan Griffen chipped in with 17 points.

At this time, the Crimson Tide’s defense is positioned 292nd in the country, permitting 77.4 points per game. Against Texas A&M in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Texas A&M to hit 52% of their shots.

Does Kentucky Stand a Chance at Home?

Despite losing their last game to LSU, Kentucky has been dominant at home this season. They are 12-4 at home, and their average scoring margin is +13.2 points per game. For the season, they are 18-8, including an 8-5 record in the Southeastern Conference.

As the favorite, Kentucky has gone 15-6 this season. For the year, they have been favored in 21 of their 26 games. They will be favored by 2.5 points tonight, and the over/under is set at 175.5 points.

As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone just 10-11 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have a 3-7 ATS mark. At home this year, Kentucky is 9-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Kentucky games is 18-8, and today’s line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (157.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

Against LSU, the Kentucky had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 87.6 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 43.5% in the game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Wildcats offense has been good from outside, hitting 40% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.7 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

Facing Alabama, Kentucky aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.3 points allowed per game (290th). Against LSU in their most recent game, the Kentucky defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing LSU to hit 44% of their shots.