Betting on today’s Falcons and Aggies game? Catch the action at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 11:00 ET on FS1. The over/under for this Mountain West conference contest is set at 138.5 points, with Utah State being favored by -16 at home against Air Force.


The Pick: Air Force Falcons +16

This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum at 11:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Even though we have Utah State winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +16.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Falcons Grab a Win on the Road?

So far this season, Air Force has gone 9-18, including a 2-13 mark in Mountain West play. On the road, the Falcons are 5-6, and they have gone 3-12 when listed as the underdog.

Coming into this game, Air Force has lost their last 11 games at home, and they are currently 16-point underdogs. In their last outing, the Falcons lost to Boise State by a score of 79-48.

Overall, Air Force has an ATS record of just 8-19 this season. On the road, they are 6-5 vs. the spread. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 5-10. In their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Air Force games this season (134.4). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 132 points.

In their most recent game, the Air Force offense concluded with only 48 points against Boise State. Throughout the game, they made 5/18 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 43.6%. The top scorer for the Falcons was Rytis Petraitis with 19 points, while Ethan Taylor also chipped in with 8 points.

At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 154th, allowing 71.6 points per game. So far, the Air Force defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.9 times per game (491st).

Will the Utah State Defense Show Up at Home?

Utah State is a heavy favorite in this one, as they have been in 20 of their 28 games this season. They have gone 19-1 in those games, and they have a record of 12-1 at home this season. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +12.8 points per game.

Coming into this game, the Aggies have won two straight games, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. Overall, they are 23-5 on the season, and they are 10-3 in Mountain West Conference play.

Utah State has been solid against the spread this season, going 14-9-1 overall. At home, they have an ATS mark of 9-4 and are 6-3 in their last 10 games as the favorite. Over their last three home games, the Aggies have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Utah State’s games this season (144.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 136 points.

In their recent matchup, the Utah State offense ended with 68 points against San Diego State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49% and made 7 threes. Great Osobor is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ian Martinez brings a PPG average of 12.9 into the game.

So far, the Aggies’ defense is ranked 98th in the country at 69.4 points per contest. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the Utah State defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 49% of their shots.