Planning on watching today’s Falcons and Lobos game? Catch the action at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, as the Lobos hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on CBSS. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 146.5 points, and New Mexico is favored by -19 to win at home against Air Force.


The Pick: Air Force Falcons +19

This game will be played at The Pit at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +19.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Falcons Lock in a Win at Albuquerque?

After a 29-point loss to UNLV, Air Force will look to snap a seven-game losing streak. The Falcons are 8-17 this season, including a 1-12 record in Mountain West play. Air Force is 2-11 as the underdog this season.

On the road, the Falcons are 4-6 this season, and they have lost three straight games away from home. For the year, Air Force is getting outscored by an average of 1.9 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Air Force has an ATS record of 4-9. Their overall ATS mark is 7-18. On the road, the Falcons have gone 5-5 vs. the spread this year, but they are 0-3 vs. the number in their last three road games.

This season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 18-7 and today’s line of 146.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (134). So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the Air Force offense ended with 43 points against UNLV. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 34.6% and made 5 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Falcons offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 24.3 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

At this time, the Falcons’ defense is positioned 147th in the country, permitting 71.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.4 threes per game vs. New Mexico. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 38.2%.

Can New Mexico Deliver Being Favored at Home?

At home this season, New Mexico has gone 11-2, and they have an average scoring margin of +15.9 points per game. Overall, the Lobos are 21-6, and they have gone 8-5 in Mountain West play.

So far, New Mexico has been favored in 21 of their 27 games, and they have gone 18-3 in those matchups. In their last game, the Lobos defeated Colorado State by a score of 68-66.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has an ATS record of 15-6. However, their ATS record at home this year is just 9-4. Over their last three home games, the Lobos are 0-3 vs. the spread.

For the season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 14-11 and today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (153.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.

In their latest game, New Mexico offense put up 68 points against Colorado State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 37.5% and made 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Jaelen House also carries a PPG average of 15.8 into the game.

So far, the Lobos’ defense is ranked 137th in the country at 70.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Air Force, the New Mexico defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, New Mexico made 15 free-throws vs. the Lobos.