Betting on today’s Falcons and Broncos game? Catch the action at ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID, as the Broncos hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on MWN. The odds for this Mountain West conference game currently have Boise State as the -13 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 132.5 points.

AIR FORCE FALCONS VS BOISE STATE BRONCOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +13

This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Even though we have Boise State winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Are the Falcons Ready for a Road Win?

Through 20 games this season, Air Force has an 8-12 record, including a 1-7 record in Mountain West play. On the road, the Falcons are 4-4, and they come into tonight’s game with a two-game losing streak.

As the underdog, Air Force is 2-7 this season, and they have been the underdog in nine of their 20 games. In their last outing, the Falcons fell to Wyoming, 83-72. Over their last 10 road games, Air Force is 4-6.

As the underdog, Air Force has gone 4-5 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Falcons are 5-3 vs. the spread and have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games vs. the spread on the road.

So far this season, the over/under record in Air Force games is 14-6 and today’s line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (134.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

The Air Force offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Wyoming. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 13 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Ethan Taylor, who is averaging 16.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Beau Becker also maintains a PPG average of 15.2 heading into game.

The Falcons’ defense is presently ranked 118th nationally, allowing an average of 69.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.2 threes per game vs. Boise State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.9%.

Can the Broncos Grab a Win at Home?

Boise State comes into this game with a 15-6 record, including a 9-2 record at home. They are currently on a three-game win streak and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. On the season, they have been favored in 11 games, going 9-2.

The Broncos’ average scoring margin at home is +11.7, compared to +0.4 on the road. They have gone 5-3 on the road this season, including a four-game win streak.

Boise State’s ATS record for the season is 10-9, including a mark of 6-5 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Broncos have gone just 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, Boise State is just 1-2 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Boise State’s games this season (138.6). So far, eight of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.

The Boise State offense is coming off a game where they scored 86 points against New Mexico. They posted a field goal percentage of 48.5% and connected on 9 threes. The top scorer for the Broncos was Max Rice with 35 points, while Chibuzo Agbo also added 16 to the scoreboard.

So far this season, the Boise State defense has been performing well, ranking 65th in the country at 67.0 points allowed per contest. Against New Mexico in their most recent game, the Boise State defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing New Mexico to hit 40% of their shots.