On Friday, November 24th at 4:00 ET, the Boise State Broncos will host the Air Force Falcons. Television coverage for this week 13 CFB matchup at Albertsons Stadium will be on FS1. Boise State comes into this Mountain West matchup, as the -6.5 point home favorite. Keep reading to get my analysis on how this game plays out.


The Pick: Air Force Falcons +6.5

This game will be played at Albertsons Stadium at 4:00 ET on Friday, November 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 27-21 in favor of Boise State.
  • Even though we have Boise State winning straight-up, we like Air Force at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 46.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 48 points.

Will Air Force Shock Everyone at Albertsons Stadium?

This season, the Air Force Falcons are currently 8-3. So far this season, they have played four road games and five at home.

Air Force heads into this week’s matchup with an ATS record of 4-4-1. So far, they have been favored in every game and have an average scoring margin of +11.3 points per contest.

Over 11 games, the average over/under line for Air Force’s games has been 42.6 points. The total score in these matchups has averaged 45.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-4.

The Falcons are currently ranked 1st in college football with 597 rushing attempts per game. In terms of rush yards, they are at 282 rushing yards per game, which is 2nd in the nation. Looking at their production in the passing game, they are averaging 7.5 attempts per game and gain an average of 84.5 passing yards. Overall, they hold the 52nd spot with 28.4 points per game.

The Falcons defense comes into the game with 25 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 17.1 points per game (59th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 28th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 176.7 passing yards per game. Additionally, Air Force’s run defense comes in allowing 90.4 rushing yards per contest.

Can Boise State Secure a Home Victory?

So far, the Boise State Broncos are 6-5, including going 2-4 on the road and 3-1 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Air Force, the Broncos have been favored in six games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-5-1.

So far in this season, Boise State has posted an over/under record of 6-4. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 58.3 points, with the typical over/under line set at 56.4 points.

Boise State’s offense is averaging 32.5 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 229.7 passing yards on average, putting them at 60th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 9th in rushing yards, with an average of 430 rushing attempts per game this season.

The Broncos defense faces off against Air Force with 31 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re giving up 25.8 points per game which is 101st in the nation. Against the pass, they’re 162nd in the NCAA, allowing 266.1 passing yards per game. Boise State’s run defense is yielding 120.1 rushing yards per contest.