College Football Pick: Air Force vs. Boise State
- Updated: September 13, 2013
Date/Time: September 13th, 8:00 ET
College Football Odds from BetAnySports
Point Spread: Boise State -24
Mountain West Conference college football betting action takes up the Friday night timeslot this week, and not surprisingly, the team that is going to be hosting is the Boise State Broncos. The boys from the Smurf Turf will take on the Air Force Falcons at 8:00 ET at Bronco Stadium.
The Falcons have been a nightmare this year, and that was to be expected for a team that lost the mass majority of its offensive stars from last season. The offense still looks the same, as the team will run the triple option and put the ball on the ground as many as 60 times in a game if need be. Thus far this year, the big problem that Air Force has is that it just can’t even remotely threaten throwing the ball. There are just 13 pass completions in two games, and that isn’t going to cut it in this one, especially with four different men taking snaps to get the job done. Just one pass has gone for more than 20 yards all year long. The good news is that there are a few backs that are doing some heavy lifting. RB Jon Lee, for example, has 149 yards on just 18 carries. Three of the team’s backs are averaging at least 43 yards per game, and at least that many will need to do that on Friday to have any chance of sticking in there.
The Broncos aren’t all peaches and cream, though. We really haven’t learned a heck of a lot about this team yet either. Beating up an FCS team and getting crippled by the Washington Huskies are results that are really on polar opposite ends of the spectrum, but it’s tough to really believe that those results weren’t coming. With a better supporting cast around him last year, QB Joe Southwick led the team to an 11-2 record. However, there weren’t all that many games with those big time blowouts that we have come to expect out of the Broncos. Yes, Colorado State, Hawaii, and Wyoming were all trashed, but none were by more than 35 points. Southwick’s completion percentage is good at 64.6 percent, but in the end, less than six yards per pass attempt isn’t going to cut it. The team doesn’t have the same ground game that it used to, and though RB Jay Ajayi has high hopes, he isn’t RB Doug Martin or any of the other great Boise State backs we are used to seeing.
Boise State is going to be one of the most public teams on the docket in Week 3, and we are going to go ahead and fade it. The Falcons aren’t good, and they aren’t going to make a bowl game this year by any stretch of the imagination, but they will at least hang around for a bit and make this an interesting game come Friday night.
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos Pick: Air Force Falcons +24