Air Force at Utah State – 9/22/2018 Betting Preview

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Saturday, 09/22/2018 at 10:15 pm AIR FORCE (1-2) at UTAH ST (3-1)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
391AIR FORCE 59 32.3 25 1-2 2-1-0 2-0-0 288.3 113.7 402 72.3 290.7 363
392UTAH ST -10 51.5 23.8 3-1 4-0-0 4-0-0 188 284.5 472.5 187.3 170.3 357.6

Last Updated: 2018-09-18

The Air Force Falcons and Utah State Aggies are set to do battle on the turf at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. This showdown will kick off pretty late for bettors on the East Coast (10:15 p.m. ET) and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN2.

Air Force at Utah State Betting Odds

The spread for this MWC game is sitting at 11 points in favor of Utah State. The Falcons are currently getting +315 moneyline odds while the Aggies are -425. The over/under has been set at 63.5 points. Some good live betting opportunities should be unveiled during this match.

The game’s total has yet to move after it was set initially at 63.5. Having said that, the line opened at -9 so the sharp action is siding with the Aggies.

The Falcons are 1-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Aggies are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The Falcons are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-0.

The Aggies have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 3-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-0.

The Falcons fell to Florida Atlantic 33-27 in a contest where Isaiah Sanders completed eight passes for just 164 yards, along with a TD and an interception. Sanders (34 rushing yards on 18 attempts) also led the ground attack. Marcus Bennett (two receptions, 87 yards) and Ronald Cleveland (two catches, 23 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Utah State enters this one after just earning a 73-12 win over Tennessee Tech. As a group, the team collectively completed 30-of-35 passes for 291 yards and two touchdowns. Jordan Love went 21-for-26 for 236 yards and two touchdowns while Henry Colombi was nine-of-nine for 55 yards. Gerold Bright (55 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and Darwin Thompson (107 yards on six carries, one TD) mounted the running game while Ron’Quavion Tarver (five receptions, 30 yards) and Jalen Greene (four catches, 31 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Air Force’s run the ball on 86.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Utah State has a rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Falcons have run for 271 yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Aggies are averaging 206 rush yards per contest and have 13 total rushing TDs.

The Falcons have averaged 97 yards in the air overall and have only one passing scores so far. The Aggies have produced 261 pass yards per game and have three total pass TDs.

Air Force has let opponents rush for an average of 42 yards and throw for 258 yards per game. Utah State has allowed 142.0 rushing yards per game and 177.7 to opposing teams in the air. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.93 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have given up an 8.21 ANY/A.

Sanders has amassed 164 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 8-of-13 attempts with one passing touchdowns and one interception. Sanders has a sparkling 9.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

The Falcons will likely try to maintain tempo by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. In addition to wideout Marcus Bennett (87 receiving yards), Nolan Eriksen (44 rush yards, one rush TD) and Joseph Saucier (four rush yards) have brought significant production to the offense for Air Force.

On the other sideline, Jordan Love has accounted for 555 yards, two TDs and two INTs. Love’s ANY/A sits at 6.75 for the year and 7.15 over his last two outings.

The Aggies also like to keep their RBs involved. Ron’Quavion Tarver (59 receiving yards) has stepped up lately, but Darwin Thompson (135 rush yards, three rush TDs, 37 receiving yards) and Gerold Bright (53 rush yards, one rush TD) have seen a lot of touches lately.

When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Air Force knocked off Utah State by a field goal 38-35.

Air Force Falcons at Utah State Aggies Betting Pick

SU Winner – Utah Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Utah State defense has produced triple the sack total of Air Force this season (nine versus three).

Utah State has lost three fumbles in 2018 while Air Force has lost two.

The Falcons offense has produced one pass play of 40+ yards, while the Aggies have put up zero such plays.

The Air Force defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Utah State has given up one such play.

The Air Force offense has created one rushing play of 20+ yards, while Utah State has created seven such runs.

The Falcons defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Aggies have given up five such runs.

Utah State was favored by 44 points in its last match and the Over/Under was set at 63.5. The over cashed and Utah State covered in the 73-12 triumph over Tennessee Tech.

Over its last three contests, Utah State is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Air Force was favored by 8 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 59.5. The over cashed and Air Force failed to cover in the 33-27 loss to Florida Atlantic.

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