Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Wildcats and Texans. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Texans at Wisdom Gym in Stephenville, TX. Get ready to place your bets! This Western Athletic conference matchup has an over/under of 140 points, and the Texans are favored to win at home vs. the Wildcats.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS VS TARLETON STATE TEXANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Abilene Christian Wildcats +4.5
This game will be played at Wisdom Gym at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.
WHY BET THE ABILENE CHRISTIAN WILDCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
- Not only will Abilene Christian pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?
Abilene Christian will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they take on the Tarleton State Texans. So far this season, the Wildcats have gone 6-10, including a 1-4 record in Western Athletic Conference play.
On the road, Abilene Christian has gone just 3-6, and they are currently in the midst of a five-game losing streak away from home. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 5.2 points per game on the road.
Abilene Christian’s ATS record this season is currently at .500 (7-7). On the road, their ATS mark is 6-3. As the underdog, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Abilene Christian has an ATS record of 6-4. On the road, their ATS mark over the last 10 games is also 6-3.
Abilene Christian’s over/under record this season is 9-4-1. Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.1). So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 146 points and their over/under record over their last three games is 1-2.
In their most recent game, the Abilene Christian offense put up just 53 points vs. the California Baptist Lancers. Overall, they are now averaging 75.1 points per game which is 192nd in the country. The team’s top scorer is Ali Abdou Dibba, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.2, while Hunter-Jack Madden also carries a PPG average of 12.1 into the game.
Coming into today’s game, the Abilene Christian defense is giving up an average of 76.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Abilene Christian’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.1% this season.
Does Tarleton State Stand a Chance at Home?
After a 74-48 loss to Grand Canyon, Tarleton State is 10-6 overall and 3-2 in Western Athletic Conference play. The Texans have lost two straight and are 4-1 at home this season.
On the year, Tarleton State has been favored in five games, going 4-1 in those matchups. The Texans’ average scoring margin at home is +5.4 points per game.
When looking at Tarleton State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 6-7. At home, their ATS mark is 2-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Texans have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, they are 0-2 ATS.
This season, the over/under record in Tarleton State games is 7-6 and today’s line of 140 is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 135.6. So far, 5 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points.
The Tarleton State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 48 points vs. Grand Canyon. Overall their field goal percentage was 31.7% while connecting on 5 threes. Coming into the game, the Texans offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 29%. On average, they get up 17.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 12 made free-throws.
So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 45th in the country at 65.6 points allowed per contest. Tarleton State’s three-point defense is currently 55th in the country at 5.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.5% of their shots vs. Tarleton State.