The Mountain West Conference Tournament showdown between the Boise State Broncos (20-11, 12-7 MWC) and the No. 5 San Diego State Aztecs (29-1, 18-1 MWC) will be played at Thomas & Mack Center. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2020, and it can be seen on CBS Sports Network.
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs ATS Preview
The Broncos were victorious over the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels in their last game, 67-61. RJ Williams led Boise State in scoring with 23 points on 7-for-12 shooting. The Broncos knocked down 22 of their 29 free throws (75.9 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 14.7 (better than their season average of 15.7).
In the Aztecs’ last matchup, they topped the Air Force Falcons, 73-60. Malachi Flynn played a key role for San Diego State with 16 points, eight assists and seven rebounds. San Diego State dominated every stat category in the game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.2 (below their season average of 29.0) and a turnover percentage of 16.1 (worse than their season average of 14.6). Air Force put up marks of 14.8 and 22.6, respectively, for those same stats.
When looking at effective field goal percentage, San Diego State figures to have a noteworthy advantage. The sharp-shooting Aztecs offense ranks 15th in the country in that metric at 0.551, while the Boise State defense is ranked 232nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.502).
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
The Aztecs rank 48th in steals allowed per game (5.5) while the Broncos rank 86th (6.0).
San Diego State ranks 31st in rebounds allowed per game (31.4) while Boise State ranks 69th (32.9).
San Diego State ranks 30th in assists per game (15.0) while Boise State ranks 137th (13.0).
The Broncos rank 75th in three pointers attempted per game (24.3) while the Aztecs rank 171st in three pointers allowed per game (22.1).
San Diego State ranks 148th in blocks per game (2.8) while Boise State ranks 232nd (1.5).
The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 16.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 68.4 points per game (7.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (2.7 below their season average).