Home Golf 2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Odds & Free Picks

2020 Workday Charity Open Betting Odds & Free Picks

There was some uncertainty as to whether or not the Workday Charity Open would have a strong field. On one hand, the $6.2 million purse is a little low by PGA Tour standards. On the other hand, this is basically a chance to get in four practice rounds before the Memorial on the same Muirfield Village course in Dublin, Ohio. And to get paid for them!

Barring ay late withdrawals, seven of the top 15 in the Official World Golf Ranking are on hand for this week’s event. This event essentially replaces the John Deere Classic with the alterations to the schedule due to COVID-19. Even though the purse is a touch smaller for this event than most, and over $3 million smaller than next week’s Memorial, this is still a full points event for the FedEx Cup.

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Odds are posted for the full field down below the article, but we’ll drop in some prices as we handicap this week’s Workday Charity Open with a focus on players that do well on Jack Nicklaus’s home course and those that are in top form.

The Field

Justin Thomas is the favorite for this week’s event, which will be the first since the return without Bryson DeChambeau. Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, and Tiger Woods are among those not in the field, but all are expected next week for the Memorial. Thomas is +1110 at 5Dimes Sportsbook early in the week, with Jon Rahm second at +1310, Brooks Koepka third at +1360, Patrick Cantlay fourth at +1410, and Hideki Matsuyama fifth at +1610.

Xander Schauffele is the only other player short of +2000 with a price of +1800. Justin Rose, Viktor Hovland, Patrick reed, and Rickie Fowler are in the 20 to 25/1 range and then Collin Morikawa and Sungjae Im range from +3300 to +3500.

The second-tier depth of this event seems a little bit weaker, but we still have Gary Woodland, Marc Leishman, Matt Kuchar, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Jordan Spieth, Joaquin Niemann, Scottie Scheffler, and Bubba Watson in the 40/1 to 60/1 range.

Course Profile

A lot of guys have made the PGA Tour courses look like municipal tracks since the return. Muirfield Village should play a lot tougher this week. This course has not only hosted the Memorial annually, but has also hosted the Ryder Cup and the Presidents Cup. Extremely dry, drought-like conditions have plagued Ohio over the last few weeks, so course officials will have some work to do greening things up a bit, but this course should play much tougher than what we’ve seen recently.

Patrick Cantlay conquered the course last year shooting 19-under, but the previous winning score average was 13-under from 2012-18. Only seven of the 18 holes played to an under par average in the Memorial. All of the par 5s played below par, so this event, much like last week at Detroit Golf Club, will be about par 4 scoring.

This is a par 72 that is nearly 7,400 yards. Approach accuracy is a big deal as every green has some sort of hazard, including several with water. The rough should be more penal than it has been in recent weeks. Some PGA Tour players voiced their displeasure with how easy it has been to just hit it as far as possible and play a second shot from wherever.

Yay or Neigh?

This is our Horse for Course section, so for those that like course form, this is for you. This event hasn’t been a putting tournament like several others. Guys like Byeong Hun An (+6600) and Hideki Matsuyama have played really well here, even though neither guy is viewed as a good putter. An has four top-25 finishes in the last four years. Matsuyama won here in 2014 and has two additional top-10 finishes.

On the other hand, Justin Rose has a win, two runners-up, and three other top-10 finishes dating back to 2008 and he has traditionally been a great putter.

Matt Kuchar has a win (2013) and six other top-10 finishes and two more top-15 finishes here since 2008. He’s +4000 this week with some excellent course form.

Cleveland native Jason Dufner (+15000) won here back in 2017 and finished seventh last year at the Memorial. Cantlay won here last year and was fourth two years ago. Fowler has two runner-up finishes and was eighth two years ago.

This has been one of the better courses for Emiliano Grillo (+10000) with a ninth last year and an 11th back in 2016. Jim Furyk had a win back in 2002, a runner-up in 2009, and was fifth back in 2015.

Leishman has four top-15 finishes in his last five trips to Muirfield Village. Spieth has three.

Stats Handicap

Cantlay paced the field in strokes gained last year per DataGolf, but Adam Scott was .5 SG behind and Martin Kaymer was 1 SG behind. Beau Hossler led the field in SG: Putting, but missed the cut at 5-over because everything else was so bad. Putting matters, but everything else matters a lot more.

Namely, SG: Approach because of all of the hazards. Of the top 10 in SG: Approach last year, seven finished in the top 10, nine finished in the top 20. The lone MC was Scott Brown, who was bad on the putting surfaces and around the green.

Most of the top guys in SG: Approach last week putted poorly at Detroit Golf Club and that event is really a putting tournament. Henrik Norlander was the only one that made the cut of the top four in SG: App. Others that played really well in that department were Hovland (+2200), Hudson Swafford (+20000), and Ryan Armour (+9000). Hovland was third in SG: Approach two weeks ago. On a course that devalues putting, he’s a great bet this week.

Armour might not be a bad play this week for top 20 or top 10 props. The Ohio State Buckeye was 22nd last year and 23rd two years ago at Muirfield Village. He’s finished fourth and sixth the last two weeks. Winning this would be a challenge, given that he’s got one PGA Tour win in his career and he’s 44 years old, but the prop market might be a good look for him.

Kevin Streelman (+6600) was dialed in on approach at the Travelers two weeks ago. He did not play in Detroit last week. Streelman actually has three top-15 finishes in his last four starts at Muirfield Village. The price is not great, but that’s also because he was runner-up two weeks ago at the Travelers. Between course form and recent form, we get a depressed price.

If we’re talking about iron play, it is really hard to overlook Collin Morikawa. Morikawa was second in the return at the Charles Schwab Challenge, but then finished 64th and missed the cut in his next two events before taking last week off. He hasn’t played here, but he’s one of the top iron players on tour at +3300.

Picks

I’m all about Viktor Hovland this week. This tournament downplays putting prowess and the putter is the weakest part of Hovland’s game. He hasn’t won a full-field event yet, with his lone PGA Tour win in the Puerto Rico open. This feels like the one. He’s only 22/1, but this is the right type of event for him.

BET ON VIKTOR HOVLAND +2200 AT 5DIMES

Kevin Streelman also makes the cut here at +6600. He’s in pretty good form with the runner-up at the Travelers. He narrowly missed the cut at 2-under in the RBC Heritage and had a horrendous putting effort at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Emiliano Grillo at +10000 is a decent look at triple digits and so is Hudson Swafford at +20000.

Odds as of July 6, 2 p.m. ET:

Justin Thomas +1110
Jon Rahm +1310
Brooks Koepka +1360
Patrick Cantlay +1410
Hideki Matsuyama +1610
Xander Schauffele +1800
Justin Rose +2000
Viktor Hovland +2200
Patrick Reed +2500
Rickie Fowler +2500
Collin Morikawa +2500
Joaquin Niemann +3300
Sungjae Im +3500
Jordan Spieth +4000
Marc Leishman +4000
Matt Kuchar +4000
Matthew Fitzpatrick +4000
Gary Woodland +4000
Adam Hadwin +4500
Billy Horschel +5000
Bubba Watson +5500
Matthew Wolff +5500
Scottie Scheffler +6000
Kevin Streelman +6600
Jason Day +6600
Cameron Champ +6600
Byeong Hun An +6600
Louis Oosthuizen +7000
Joel Dahmen +7000
Phil Mickelson +7000
Harold Varner III +8000
Corey Conners +8000
Max Homa +8000
Jason Kokrak +8500
Maverick McNealy +8500
Shane Lowry +8500
Ryan Armour +9000
Brandt Snedeker +9000
Rory Sabbatini +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Matt Wallace +10000
Mark Hubbard +10000
Ian Poulter +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Ryan Palmer +10000
Kyle Stanley +10000
Cameron Tringale +12500
J.B. Holmes +12500
Jhonattan Vegas +12500
Jim Furyk +12500
Lanto Griffin +12500
Keegan Bradley +12500
Sepp Straka +12500
Si Woo Kim +12500
Troy Merritt +12500
Sam Burns +12500
Zach Johnson +12500
Brendan Steele +12500
Brian Stuard +12500
Bud Cauley +12500
Brice Garnett +15000
Andrew Landry +15000
Richy Werenski +15000
Vaughn Taylor +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Michael Thompson +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Jason Dufner +15000
Henrik Norlander +15000
Charles Howell III +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
Luke List +15000
Tom Hoge +17500
Pat Perez +17500
Dylan Frittelli +17500
Adam Long +20000
Charley Hoffman +20000
Graeme McDowell +20000
Harry Higgs +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Joseph Bramlett +20000
Sebastian Munoz +20000
Russell Knox +20000
Brandon Wu +20000
Aaron Wise +22500
Charl Schwartzel +22500
Chris Stroud +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Denny McCarthy +25000
Matt Jones +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Seung-Yul Noh +25000
Steve Stricker +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Talor Gooch +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Andrew Putnam +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Nate Lashley +25000
Chesson Hadley +27500
J.J. Spaun +30000
Nick Watney +30000
Jimmy Walker +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Keith Mitchell +30000
Cameron Davis +30000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +35000
Luke Donald +35000
James Hahn +35000
Fabian Gomez +35000
Stewart Cink +35000
Zac Blair +35000
Austin Cook +35000
Bronson Burgoon +35000
C.T. Pan +35000
Beau Hossler +40000
Aaron Baddeley +40000
Grayson Murray +40000
Chase Koepka +40000
Jamie Lovemark +40000
Lucas Bjerregaard +40000
Scott Harrington +40000
Kevin Tway +50000
Mark Anderson +50000
Jim Herman +50000
Hank Lebioda +50000
Xinjun Zhang +50000
Ted Potter, Jr. +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Rob Oppenheim +50000
Robby Shelton +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Bo Hoag +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Cameron Percy +50000
Tim Wilkinson +55000
D.J. Trahan +55000
Roger Sloan +60000
David Hearn +60000
Sebastian Cappelen +65000
K.J. Choi +75000
Jerry Kelly +75000
Vijay Singh +100000
Kevin Stadler +100000
Martin Trainer +100000
Matt Every +100000
Michael Kim +100000
Davis Love III +100000
Bo Van Pelt +100000

 

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