Home Golf 2020 Sanderson Farms Championship Odds & Picks

2020 Sanderson Farms Championship Odds & Picks

One lucky PGA Tour winner will be the cock of the walk this week in Jackson, Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. A rooster sits atop the trophy given to the winner at the Country Club of Jackson for what used to be an alternate event to the HSBC Champions event in Asia.

The 2019 event was a standalone September event and this one will be a standalone October event as the third event of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season. Even though it is a full points event this time around, we still have another weak field in advance of two tournaments in the Las Vegas area.

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We’ll break it all down for you with odds from MyBookie Sportsbook and you can find the full field odds down below the tournament preview.

The Field

Scottie Scheffler is back from his bout with COVID-19 and he is immediately installed as the tournament favorite. Louis Oosthuizen and 2019 runner-up Sungjae Im are both priced at +1200. Last week’s favorite, Will Zalatoris, who is having a great season on the Korn Ferry Tour, is the only other player priced in the teens.

Reigning champion Sebastian Munoz is +2800 and last year’s third-place finisher Byeong Hun An is one of several notable names in the +3000 range, including great ball strikers like Doc Redman and Corey Conners. Chez Reavie and Zach Johnson are a couple of veterans with good chances this week per the odds.

Henrik Stenson is also on the board at +5000 as he tries to round into form for some of the bigger events coming up. This is not a great field, but there are some notable names.

Course Profile

This is a par 72 around 7,500 yards. This is a pretty wide-open, so errant tee shots won’t go out of bounds or leave players with bad lies. The biggest concerns are the trees that line most of the fairways. You just have to hope that you don’t butt right up against the trunk of one of them.

Even though this course doesn’t seem too daunting, only 11 of the 18 holes played under par last season. Some of the par 4s do have some length and will punish players that get too aggressive with their second shots. Generally speaking, the lofted clubs are the most important here. You can get away with being marginal off the tee if you hit good second shots and/or scramble well.

The green complexes are pretty small on this course, so putting can play a definite factor in that you want to two-putt as few of these holes as possible. Basically, it comes down to birdies on the par 5s and the shorter par 4s.

Yay or Neigh?

With our horse for course section, we look at past results to see how guys feel about this course. Over the last five years, only three players have two top-10 finishes. Carlos Ortiz was fourth last year and third in 2019. DJ Trahan was seventh in 2019 and 10th in 2016. He missed the cut the other three years. Patton Kizzire was 10th in 2018 and fourth in 2016. He also has two missed cuts within the last five years.

As is often the case with these alternate events or lower-tier tournaments, the most inconsistent players are off somewhere else or aren’t playing. We’ve got a lot of guys that hold PGA Tour cards, but don’t win much and scrape by just enough to hold their cards.

As mentioned, Sungjae Im was second here last year. Chesson Hadley was second in 2018, but he missed the cut last year and in 2017. Chris Kirk was runner-up in 2016, but also MC last time here in 2019. Luke List tied for second in 2017 and was eighth last week, so maybe he’s in decent form. Ryan Armour won here in 2018, but also has three missed cuts in his last six starts at CCJ.

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Handicap & Picks

A well-rounded game is important, but strokes gained approach is once again a very important stat here, but not the only one. Strokes gained putting is important, too. Play off the tee isn’t as important, which is why some shorter hitters and older players have done well here. Still, I’m not taking a lot of those guys.

Maybe this first play isn’t a stats handicap, but Brian Harman is on my card this week at +3300. There are a few dogleg rights here, which should help Harman’s shot shape as one of the few lefties on the PGA Tour these days. Harman was 14th here last year in his first start and finished 10th in SG: Tee-to-Green and fifth in SG: Approach. He didn’t putt overly well, but wasn’t bad on these greens for the first time. Harman had a couple of top-15 finishes in The Northern Trust and the BMW Championship, so his form is decent.

Patrick Rodgers was on the card last week in Punta Cana and I’ll put him on the card again here at +6000. Rodgers was 61st last year, but 14th the year prior and 20th in 2016. He was 11th last week on the island. Rodgers is a quality putter and a guy that finished in the top 15 in SG: Putting last season. This is another course where putting matters and Rodgers is a pretty good ball striker relative to a lot of the other guys that putt well, but don’t do anything else very well.

Spread some bets around. Guys like Pat Perez and Adam Long are in pretty good form. We may even get a winner from way down the board. I like Harman and Rodgers the most, but may look at Perez and Long as the week goes along, especially in matchups.

Golf Channel and PGA Tour Live have you covered for this weekend’s action.

Odds from MyBookie Sportsbook as of 3:30 p.m. ET on 9/28:

SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER +1000
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN +1200
SUNGJAE IM +1200
WILL ZALATORIS +1600
SAM BURNS +2500
ZACH JOHNSON +2500
SEBASTIAN MUNOZ +2800
BYEONG-HUN AN +3000
ADAM LONG +3000
DOC REDMAN +3300
BRIAN HARMAN +3300
CHEZ REAVIE +3300
COREY CONNERS +3500
DYLAN FRITTELLI +4000
SI WOO KIM +4500
LUKE LIST +5000
HENRIK STENSON +5000
EMILIANO GRILLO +5000
XINJUN ZHANG +5500
CAMERON DAVIS +5500
BUD CAULEY +6000
LUCAS GLOVER +6000
CHARLEY HOFFMAN +6000
TOM LEWIS +6000
CARLOS ORTIZ +6000
PAT PEREZ +6000
DENNY MCCARTHY +6600
RICHY WERENSKI +6600
PATRICK RODGERS +6600
CHESSON HADLEY +6600
RAFA CABRERA BELLO +7000
SERGIO GARCIA +7000
SEPP STRAKA +7500
RORY SABBATINI +7500
MATTHIAS SCHWAB +8000
HUDSON SWAFFORD +8000
KRISTOFFER VENTURA +8000
CHARL SCHWARTZEL +9000
CAMERON TRINGALE +9000
BRANDT SNEDEKER +9000
ADAM SCHENK +9000
RUSSELL KNOX +9000
BRIAN STUARD +9000
TALOR GOOCH +10000
KEEGAN BRADLEY +10000
KYLE STANLEY +10000
J.T. POSTON +11000
STEWART CINK +11000
TOM HOGE +11000
CAMERON PERCY +11000
MARK HUBBARD +11000
BRICE GARNETT +12500
KEITH MITCHELL +12500
JASON DUFNER +12500
HENRIK NORLANDER +12500
BRANDEN GRACE +14000
WILL GORDON +14000
MATT JONES +14000
BEAU HOSSLER +14000
JHONATTAN VEGAS +14000
TROY MERRITT +14000
CHRIS KIRK +14000
SCOTT HARRINGTON +14000
NATE LASHLEY +14000
ROB OPPENHEIM +15000
TYLER MCCUMBER +15000
J.B. HOLMES +15000
NICK TAYLOR +15000
WYNDHAM CLARK +15000
DOUG GHIM +16000
DAVIS RILEY +16000
VINCENT WHALEY +16000
SUNG KANG +16000
J.J. SPAUN +16000
SEAN O’HAIR +17500
SCOTT PIERCY +17500
SCOTT STALLINGS +17500
BRONSON BURGOON +17500
PATTON KIZZIRE +17500
JIM HERMAN +17500
MAVERICK MCNEALY +17500
ROBBY SHELTON +17500
ANIRBAN LAHIRI +17500
PETER MALNATI +20000
AARON WISE +20000
DAVID HEARN +20000
NICK WATNEY +20000
SATOSHI KODAIRA +20000
SAHITH THEEGALA +22500
MARTIN LAIRD +22500
MATTHEW NESMITH +22500
KEVIN CHAPPELL +22500
KYOUNG HOON LEE +22500
ANDREW PUTNAM +22500
ROBERT STREB +22500
JOSEPH BRAMLETT +22500
AUSTIN COOK +22500
WESLEY BRYAN +22500
KELLY KRAFT +22500
VAUGHN TAYLOR +22500
ROGER SLOAN +25000
FABIAN GOMEZ +25000
KEVIN TWAY +25000
RYAN ARMOUR +25000
C.T. PAN +25000
JIMMY WALKER +25000
SAM RYDER +25000
KRAMER HICKOK +25000
BO HOAG +25000
TIM WILKINSON +25000
JAMIE LOVEMARK +25000
BRANDON HAGY +25000
CHRIS BAKER +25000
CHASE SEIFFERT +25000
JONATHAN BYRD +25000
CAMILO VILLEGAS +27500
SEBASTIAN CAPPELEN +30000
MICHAEL GLIGIC +30000
BILL HAAS +30000
SCOTT BROWN +30000
HANK LEBIODA +35000
CHRIS STROUD +35000
D.J. TRAHAN +35000
ZAC BLAIR +35000
AARON BADDELEY +35000
MARK ANDERSON +35000
WILLIAM MCGIRT +40000
LUKE DONALD +40000
BRIAN GAY +40000
K.J. CHOI +40000
GRAYSON MURRAY +40000
TED POTTER JR +50000
BO VAN PELT +75000
HUNTER MAHAN +75000
ISAIAH JACKSON +100000
GREG CHALMERS +100000
D.A. POINTS +100000
KYLE RAMEY +150000
MICHAEL KIM +150000
KEVIN STADLER +150000
MARTIN TRAINER +200000

 

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