It’s no surprise to see the Big 3 of Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Roger Federer firmly atop the odds to capture the 2019 U.S. Open. Djokovic has been in the finals in seven of the last nine years and has a pair of wins to his credit, while Nadal has three wins in the last nine years. After winning five straight years, between 2004 and 2008, Federer has just a pair of runner-up finishes in the last 10 years and really isn’t offering very good value at his odds, which climbed from +600 to +750 since we last looked at the Open.
Federer is the last man to repeat as champion and Djokovic will try to change that after sweeping Juan Martin del Potro in last years finals. Del Potro is a previous U.S. Open champion himself. Nadal saw a pretty decent drop in his odds the past few weeks, moving from +450 on Aug. 6 down to +315.
Daniil Medvedev made a huge move since our first look at the Open odds, moving from +6600 all the way down to +1400.
Among the bigger long shots, Stan Wawrinka captured the title in 2016 and is 40-to-1, and 2014 champion Marin Cilic moved from +4000 to +6600, so you can get a decent prize on a pair of previous winners. The man Cilic defeated in the 2014 finals, Kei Nishikori, is also listed at 40-to-1 odds, while 2017 runner-up Kevin Anderson is currently at 80-to-1 odds.
One of the more interesting long shots is Nick Kyrgios, who is listed at 40-to-1 odds. He’s playing well and just won the Citi Open in Washington, D.C., knocking off a pair of top 10 opponents in Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev, which moved him back into the top 30 for the first time this season. He has been ranked as high as No. 13 in the past.
From a betting standpoint, this is actually a pretty interesting event, as there a few red flags on the favorites and it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see one of the bigger long shots sneak in there and at least advancing to the semifinals, which allows you the opportunity to hedge your wager.
The tournament begins Monday, Aug. 26, and will run through Sunday, Sept. 8.
Here are the current odds at 5Dimes as of August 23:
2019 U.S. Open Men’s Championship Odds
|Kei Nishikori, Stan Wawrinka, Nick Kyrgios||+4000|
|Karen Khachanov, David Goffin||+5000|
|Marin Cilic, Roberto Bautista-Agut, Milos Raonic||+6600|
|Grigor Dimitrov, Borna Coric, Felix Auger-Aliassime||+10000|
|Alex De Minaur, John Isner, Sam Querrey, Denis Shapovalov||+15000|
|Gael Monfils,Kyle Edmund, Lucas Pouille, Diego Schwartzman, Andrey Rublev, Richard Gasquet, Reilly Opelka||+20000|
|Jack Sock, Taylor Fritz, Hubert Hurkacz||+30000|