The reigning champions are back among the last four, and the USA will face off against England at Parc Olympique Lyonnais in Decines-Charpieu, France, on Tuesday, July 2, 2019, in the first semifinal clash of the 2019 Women’s World Cup. The USWNT is a firm favorite to qualify for the championship game with the odds at -225, but England is enjoying a great tournament and will be a tough rival to beat.
England vs. USA
Three-way: 1: England +320; X: +250 Draw; 2: USA -118
Spread +0.5: England +100; USA -118
Total 2.5 Goals: Over +110; Under -140
Both Teams to Score: Yes -111; No -125
The Lionesses cruised through the first two rounds of the knockout stage. First, they outlasted Cameroon 3-0 in the round of 16, while the Lionesses surprisingly had an easy job in the quarterfinal, defeating Norway 3-0. The head coach Phil Neville is certainly pleased with his team, especially with the defensive effort whereas England kept its net intact in four straight games, allowing just one goal at this tournament. The Lionesses topped Group D with three wins and a 5:1 goal difference.
The 30-year forward Ellen White (86 caps, 33 goals) is leading the way for England with five goals, netting once in each of the Lionesses’ two outings in the knockout stage. Six different girls scored a goal each including defender Lucy Bronze (73 caps, 8 goals) who also made a couple of assists. Forwards Beth Mead (17 caps, 5 goals) and Toni Duggan (75 caps, 22 goals) couldn’t find the net, but they both made a couple of dishes each.
- England lost two of its last nine games along with seven wins
- Four of England’s last seven games had two or fewer goals in the total
- Both teams scored in two of England’s last ten outings
After a narrow 2-1 victory over Spain in the round of 16, the USWNT had the toughest possible challenge in the quarterfinals. The reigning champs outlasted the host nation France 2-1 thanks to some excellent defense. France had the ball in possession for 60.0% of the time and took 20 shots towards Alyssa Naeher, but the USWNT escaped with a victory. Forward Megan Rapinoe was a hero once again, scoring another brace after hitting two goals against Spain.
Megan Rapinoe (157 caps, 49 goals) became the first player to score four straight goals for the USWNT at the World Cup, and she bagged five goals along with two assists at this tournament. Another forward Alex Morgan (167 caps, 106 goals) scored five goals and made three dishes, while midfielder Sam Mewis (54 caps, 14 goals) bagged a couple of goals and made three assists. The USWNT netted 22 times at the 2019 Women’s World Cup, allowing two goals in a return.
- USA won 11 straight games
- Nine of the USA’s last ten games had three or more goals in the total
- Both teams scored in five of the USA’s last 13 outings
While the USA’s front line looks pretty sharp, England’s defense impressed over the last three weeks, so this will be a very interesting clash. Both teams are physically strong and know how to keep the ball in possession, so we should see a tight battle for all 90 minutes, and extra time is a real possibility.
These two teams already met each other in 2019, playing a 2-2 draw at SheBelieves Cup in the USA. The USWNT won three of the last five H2H duels, while England won one game in that span. Also, all these four meetings were finished with just a goal in the total.
Considering the massive stake at this one, I expect to see a similar scenario with no more than a couple of goals in the total. When it comes to the side bet, I’m backing the reigning champions to win, expecting their attack to make a difference whereas both teams can play some tough defense.
The Pick: USA (-118)
Additional Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-140)