England will face off against Sweden at Allianz Riviera in Nice, France, on Saturday, July 6, 2019, in the battle for the bronze medal at the 2019 Women’s World Cup. The Lionesses are firm favorites to win third place with the odds at -275. However, Sweden is enjoying a wonderful tournament and will try its best to make another upset.
England vs. Sweden
Three-way: 1: England -133; X: +260 Draw; 2: Sweden +375
Spread -0.5: England -133; Sweden +104
Total 2.5 Goals: Over -133; Under +104
Both Teams to Score: Yes -152; No +110
The Lionesses couldn’t pull off an upset in the semifinal, losing to the reigning champions USA 2-1. They had a massive opportunity to even the game late in the second half, but the captain Steph Houghton missed the penalty kick. England trailed 2-1 after the first half and was the better team than the USA in the second half. The Lionesses controlled the middle of the park in the second 45 minutes, allowing just one shot to the USWNT and taking four in a return, but it wasn’t enough to force extra time.
England won all its five contests prior to the semis, recording an 11:1 goal difference. The Lionesses had an easy job against Cameroon in the round of 16, while they thrashed off Norway in the quarterfinal, winning both these games with an identical 3-0 result. Forward Ellen White (87 caps, 34 goals) scored her sixth goal of the tournament in the semifinal, while another forward Beth Mead (18 caps, 5 goals) is the team’s best assist-maker with three dishes.
- England won seven of its last nine games along with two losses
- Four of England’s last six contests had three or more goals in the total
- Both teams scored in three of England’s last ten outings
The Blue and Yellow were so close to making another surprise at the Women’s World Cup, but they lost to Holland 1-0 after extra time in the semifinal. Sweden had its chances and took 11 shots towards Holland’s goalie. Still, Peter Gerhardsson’s girls couldn’t find the net, while their sturdy defense kneeled in the ninth minute of the extra time.
Sweden finished second in the Group F behind the USA, and the Blue and Yellow upset the odds against Canada and Germany in the knockout stage to reach the semis. Sweden won five of its seven games at this tournament, tallying a 10:5 goal difference. Midfielder Kosovare Asllani (133 caps, 34 goals) and forward Stina Blackstenius (48 caps, 12 goals) are leading the way for the Blue and Yellow, scoring a couple of goals each, while Asllani is the team’s best assist-maker with two dishes.
- Sweden won six of its last 11 games along with three losses and a couple of draws
- Six of Sweden’s last eight games saw two or fewer goals in the total
- Both teams scored in two of Sweden’s previous eight outings
The Lionesses will try to retain the bronze medal after beating Germany in extra time back in 2015, so they know how it feels to play in the third-place playoff. On the other side, Sweden exited in the round of 16 in 2015, and this is a huge success for the Blue and Yellow. However, both teams will have a difficult job to overcome their semifinal losses. That’s why is hard to tell who will win this game.
The third-place playoff is always a tricky game, and the betting trends are not helping a lot. Each team has been victorious in two of their last six H2H duels, while two games were finished in a draw. I expect England to keep the ball in possession and Sweden to play cautiously and wait for its chances through counter attacks. Considering the stake, the eventual opening goal could easily lead to another on the other side.
When it comes to the side bet, I would rather wager on the Lionesses who have more attacking firepower. Keep in mind that Ellen White is tied with Alex Morgan at the top of the scoring chart. White is set at -120 odds to score anytime.
The Pick: Both Teams to Score YES (-152)
Additional Pick: England (-133)