Last Updated: 2019-06-29
Jamaica will face off against Panama at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Sunday night in the 2019 Gold Cup quarterfinal clash. Los Canaleros are considered as slight -133 favorites to qualify for the semifinals, so we should see a thrilling battle whereas Reggae Boyz certainly have something to say.
Jamaica vs. Panama
Three-way: 1: Jamaica +190; X: +190 Draw; 2: Panama +140
Spread 0: Jamaica +105; Panama -135
Total 2 Goals: Over +105; Under -120
Both Teams to Score: Yes +120; No -164
Reggae Boyz topped Group C with five points and a 4:3 goal difference. They started the tournament with an excellent 3-2 victory over Honduras, while Reggae Boyz drew their next two contests with El Salvador 0-0 and Curacao 1-1. Jamaica was pretty unlucky against Curacao in the third round, allowing the equalizer in the dying moments of the second half, while they missed plenty of chances to score two or three goals.
Forward Dever Orgill (13 caps, 2 goals) is leading the way for Reggae Boyz with two goals, scoring a brace against Honduras in the opener. Defender Damion Lowe (23 caps, 2 goals) netted once versus Honduras, while striker Shamar Nicholson (9 caps, 2 goals) scored the only goal for Reggae Boyz against Curacao. Winger Leon Bailey (2 caps) is arguably the best player in this Jamaica team and will be the biggest threat for Panama’s defense after sitting out the matchup with Curacao.
- Jamaica is undefeated in four straight games, recording a couple of wins and draws
- Both teams scored in three of the last ten games overall
- Five of Jamaica’s last six games had two or fewer goals in the total
Los Canaleros finished the group phase at the second spot of the Group D standings with six points and a 6:3 goal difference. They clinched the knockout stage with a couple of wins at the start of the tournament, defeating Trinidad and Tobago 2-0 and Guyana 4-2, while Los Canaleros lost to the USA 1-0 in their ultimate contest of the group phase.
Five different players scored one goal each at the 2019 Gold Cup, while Panama’s sixth goal came from Guyana’s defender. Forward Gabriel Torres (81 caps, 15 goals) is only Panama’s player who scored and made a dish, but he’s one of a few guys who played all three games whereas the head coach Julio Dely Valdes mixed his starting eleven a lot. Valdes can count on many experienced players including midfielder Armando Cooper (107 caps, 8 goals) and defender Roman Torres (112 caps, 10 goals).
- Panama lost three of its last seven games along with a couple of wins and draws
- Both teams scored once in Panama’s last six outings
- Four of Panama’s last seven games had two or fewer goals in the total
The bookies expect to see a tight game with no more than a couple of goals in the total, and I cannot argue with them. Panama is a slight fave, but I think there’s no favorite in this clash, so picking the side bet is a really difficult job.
Los Canaleros defeated Reggae Boyz in three of their last five H2H duels along with two ties, and Jamaica couldn’t find the net in the previous three H2H encounters. However, this Jamaica team is dangerous at the front and possess plenty of talented and physically strong players, so I think they are capable of beating Panama.
I expect to see a cautious approach on both sides, but the eventual opener will be a massive game changer, considering a huge stake. Hereof, betting on the over 1.5 goals seems like a nice option even though the odds are not attractive at -175. If you want some greater wages, take a draw at halftime or wager on a tied game at the end of the second half. I just cannot separate these two sides.
The Pick: Over 2 Goals (+105)
Additional Pick: Draw at HT (-110)
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