2019 CONCACAF Gold Cup – Haiti vs. Mexico Betting Pick & Predictions

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2019-07-02

The first semifinal clash of the 2019 Gold Cup will see Haiti taking on Mexico at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, Tuesday night. Haiti has already made a huge surprise by reaching this stage of the tournament, and Mexico is considered as a runaway favorite to make it to the Final. Hereof, let’s take a closer look at each team and find the best bets.

Haiti vs. Mexico

Three-way: 1: Haiti +1200; X: +450 Draw; 2: Mexico -400

Spread +1.5: Haiti +100; Mexico -125

Total 2.5 Goals: Over -125; Under +100

Both Teams to Score: Yes +137; No -189

HAITI

The Grenadiers are undoubtedly the most pleasant surprise of the 2019 Gold Cup, winning all their four contests so far. They topped Group B ahead of Costa Rica, Bermuda, and Nicaragua, tallying a 6:2 goal difference, while the Grenadiers defeated Canada 3-2 as +425 underdogs in the quarterfinal. The Grenadiers trailed by two goals at halftime, but they overcame Canada with a terrific performance in the second half.

Forwards Duckens Nazon (36 caps, 18 goals) and Frantzdy Pierrot (10 caps, 5 goals) are leading the way for the Grenadiers, scoring a couple of goals each. Nazon also added two dishes, and he bagged the first goal for Haiti against Canada. Midfielder Steeven Saba (8 caps, 1 goal) scored one goal and made one assist, while winger Herve Bazile (4 caps, 1 goal) netted once, bagging an equalizer versus Canada.

Betting Trends:

  • Haiti won six of its last nine games along with three losses
  • Both teams scored in five of Haiti’s last six outings
  • Five of Haiti’s last six games had three or more goals in the total

MEXICO

The Tricolor won all three games in the group stage, recording a 13:3 goal difference. They topped Group A ahead of Canada, Martinique, and Cuba. However, Mexico had a really difficult job in the quarterfinal, eliminating Costa Rica after a breathtaking penalty shootout. The game was ended in a 1-1 draw, and Gerardo Martino’s boys kept their heads cool to win the penalty shootout 5-4.

The 21-year old midfielder Uriel Antuna (8 caps, 5 goals) is leading the way for the Tricolor, scoring four goals along with a couple of dishes. Striker Raul Jimenez (77 caps, 23 goals) also scored four goals and made one assist, while the captain Andres Guardado (160 caps, 28 goals) scored two goals and a made a couple of dishes.

Betting Trends:

  • Mexico won six of its last seven games along with a draw
  • Both teams scored in seven of Mexico’s last eight outings
  • Seven of Mexico’s last eight contests saw three or more goals in the total

Match Prediction

I’ve got burned on Haiti in the quarterfinal, backing Canada to win, but I think the Grenadiers are finally at the end of their road. Mexico is a far better team than Haiti, and after a lucky win over Costa Rica, I’m backing the Tricolor to thrashed off Haiti. Interestingly, the Grenadiers won all their four games despite trailing at halftime on three occasions. However, I think there will be no way back on this one.

Mexico won five of its six meetings with Haiti along with a draw, and four of those five wins came by three or more goals. Unlike Canada, Mexico is an experienced team who won’t blow a lead so easy. When it comes to the totals, the betting trends are suggesting the over, and I can only agree, looking for more than two goals in the total.

The Pick: Mexico AH -1.5 (-125)

Additional Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-125)

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