2019 CONCACAF Gold Cup – Haiti vs. Canada Betting Pick & Predictions

Date | AuthorAdmir Aljic

Last Updated: 2019-06-29

The knockout stage of the 2019 Gold Cup starts Saturday night. Haiti will face off against Canada at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, in the first quarterfinal matchup. Canada is a massive -280 favorite to qualify for the semifinals, but Haiti will try its best to upset the odds. The Gold Cup is always exciting and unpredictable tournament, so we expect to see a great game.

Haiti vs. Canada

Three-way: 1: Haiti +400; X: +260 Draw; 2: Canada -140

Spread +0.5: Haiti +115; Canada -140

Total 2.5 Goals: Over +125; Under -164

Both Teams to Score: Yes +110; No -152

HAITI

The Grenadiers made a huge surprise in the Group B, recording all three wins with a 6:2 goal difference to finish at the top spot ahead of Costa Rica. Haiti opened the tournament with a 2-1 victory over Bermuda, overcoming a deficit from halftime, while the Grenadiers easily defeated Nicaragua 2-0 in the second round. They made a huge upset in the third round, beating Costa Rica 2-1, overcoming a one-goal deficit from halftime once again.

Forward Frantzdy Pierrot (9 caps, 5 goals) is leading the way for the Grenadiers with two goals at this tournament, scoring a brace against Bermuda. Defender Djimy Alexis (3 caps, 1 goal), midfielder Steeven Saba (7 caps, 1 goal), and forward Duckens Nazon (35 caps, 17 goals) all added one goal each, while two times Haiti’s rivals scored an own goal.

Betting Trends:

  • Haiti won five of its last eight games along with three losses
  • Both teams scored in four of Haiti’s last five outings
  • Four of Haiti’s last five games had three or more goals in the total

CANADA

The Canucks finished the group stage at the second spot of the Group A three points behind Mexico, recording two wins and a loss with a 12:3 goal difference. Canada started its journey with a convincing 4-0 victory over Martinique, while the Canucks suffered a 3-1 loss to Mexico in the second round. They thrashed off Cuba 7-0 in the ultimate game of the group phase.

The 19-year old forward Jonathan David (7 caps, 9 goals) is leading the way for the Canucks with five goals, scoring a brace against Martinique along with a hat-trick versus Cuba. Another forward Lucas Cavallini (14 caps, 9 goals) added four goals including a hat-trick against Cuba, while midfielder Junior Hoilett (24 caps, 6 goals) scored two goals along with a couple of dishes.

Betting Trends:

  • Canada won eight of its last nine games
  • Both teams scored twice in Canada’s last ten outings
  • Four of Canada’s last five games had three or more goals in the total

Match Prediction

Haiti is playing well at the moment, but Grenadiers were pretty lucky to beat Costa Rica and clinch the top spot in their group. Canada should learn the lesson, and I think the Canucks won’t underestimate the Grenadiers on this one as the Ticos did in that group-stage contest.

Also, the Grenadiers are arguably pretty limited team, especially at the offensive end, while Canada is a far better team than Bermuda or Nicaragua. The Canucks have some young and talented players at the front, and I believe they will dominate Haiti on this one. Therefore, lay the odds on Canada to win this game, and if you want some greater wages, take the Canucks to cover a one-goal spread at +137 odds.

Canada defeated Haiti in four of their five head-to-head duels along with one draw, and all four wins came by an identical 2-0 result. I would stick with the side bet while wagering on the totals could be a tricky job. The bookies expect to see a low-scoring affair, but if someone breaks the deadlock in the first half, we could easily see three goals in the total.

The Pick: Canada (-140)

Additional Pick: Canada AH -1 (+137)

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