Last Updated: 2019-08-26
There wasn’t a whole lot of movement in the NCAA Basketball championship odds, since we first looked at them back in June, but with the start of the NCAA football season upon us, that also means that college basketball isn’t too terribly far behind, so it’s time to start devoting a little more attention to the hardwood.
Only a couple of teams saw decent movement in the last two months, with the Memphis Tigers moving from +1500 to +1250, while the Florida Gators had the biggest move of the contenders, as UF went from +3500 to +2000 and into a tie for the No. 11 position with the Louisville Cardinals. The Baylor Bears made a decent jump, as the Bears saw their odds move from +6600 to +4000, which still leaves them as a bit of a long shot.
We’ve listed the odds on all the teams who are below 300-to-1 to win the championship and there are plenty of teams who aren’t even listed, such as my Eastern Washington Eagles. But other than being able to tell friends I stand to win $250,000 if the Eagles win the title, there’s no reason for me to plop $50 down on EWU, as they have no chance.
It goes without saying that you’re much better off sticking to one of the top teams from the better conferences. Teams may make the ‘Cinderella Run’ in the NCAA Tournament, but the clock usually strikes midnight in the Sweet 16. Even Wichita State’s memorable run in the 2012-13 tournament still saw Louisville, the second betting choice before the season began, wind up winning the title.
The following season saw UConn win the title and the Huskies were No. 14 in the odds at the start of the year, while Duke was No. 4 at the start of the year in the 2014-15 season. Villanova was tied for No. 10 in 2015-16, North Carolina was No. 8 in 2016-17 and Villanova was tied for No. 7 when the ‘Cats won the title in 2017-18. So while a nice long shot might sound enticing, history says to stick with the usual teams.
2019-20 NCAA Basketball Championship Odds
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|Arizona, Tennessee, Texas Tech
|Florida State, Mississippi State, Texas, Baylor
|Washington, Wisconsin, LSU, Iowa State, Creighton
|Harvard, Illinois, Indiana, Arizona State, Alabama, Alabama A&M, Colorado, Mississippi, Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Texas A&M-CC, West Virginia, Western Kentucky, UCLA, USC
|Minnesota, St. John’s, Oklahoma, Penn State, Utah State, Wichita State, Missouri
|Saint Mary’s, Kansas State