2018 American Athletic Conference College Basketball Power Ratings

Date | AuthorAllen Moody

Last Updated: 2018-12-05

We started off our college basketball power ratings with the America East Conference here and now will jump to one that most people are a little more familiar with in the American Athletic Conference, which has six to seven of the top 100 teams in the country and was ranked No. 7 in the preseason power ratings and are still holding steady there.

American Athletic Power Ratings
Cincinnati 87
Central Florida 84
Houston 84
Temple 80
Connecticut 80
Wichita State 79
Memphis 78
SMU 78
Tulsa 73
Tulane 70
South Florida 69
ECU 66

American Athletic Two-Tiered Ratings
Cincinnati 75 – (-17) AOPR 66
Central Florida 73 – (-11) AOPR 73
Houston 77 – (-16) AOPR 58
Temple 75 – (-6) AOPR 68
Connecticut 85 – 0 AOPR 65
Wichita State 75 – (-3) AOPR 72
Memphis 78 – 5 AOPR 75
SMU 77 – (-5) AOPR 60
Tulsa 76 – (-3) AOPR 63
Tulane 70 – (-1) AOPR 72
South Florida 75 – (-7) AOPR 59
ECU 73 – (-5) AOPR 59

For a more detailed explanation of how to use the two-tiered power ratings in college sports, see Using Two-Tiered Power Ratings in College Sports.

The American Athletic is a good example of how different teams approach the early going in college basketball, as a team like Houston has had one of the softest non-conference schedules around, as have South Florida and East Carolina, who happen to be the two lowest-rated teams in the conference, but both have positive point differentials on the basis of playing schedules that rank in the bottom 15% of college basketball.

A team like Memphis doesn’t have a great record at 4-4, but they’re playing some decent teams and their strength of schedule is right around No. 50, which they hope will help them when conference season picks up. The Tigers were predicted to finish fourth in the conference, but a tough early slate has taken a bit of a toll.

Tulane is a team who could show some improvement in the near future, as the Green Wave are holding their own while playing some competition and SMU is another team who may be a little better than they’re showing right now, as they don’t typically win by big margins, which hurts them a little when you consider they’re playing a relatively soft schedule. The weak schedules of USF and ECU will likely catch up to them, as they lack the caliber of player that SMU can typically recruit.

Connecticut is a team that may drop who could be due for a little bit of a fall, as they’re allowing too many points for the level of competition they have faced so far. Sure, they’re scoring, but look at the defensive numbers of the four teams in front of them.

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