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December 2009 Picks Record: 7-6 -2.80units - All plays are on a 1-5* scale all plays are on a 1-3 unit scale, for current pick please visit the Expert Basketball Picks page.
12/28: Arizona +5.5 5 * Loss
The Wildcats play some good basketball and have one of the better and younger teams they have had in a while. They have a tough test tonight when they face 12-1 BYU. The Wildcats are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 as a home underdog and they are 16-6-1 ATS in the last 23 games overall at home. Take the Cats to spring the upset!
12/23: Missouri +2 3* Win
In one of the better games today the Missouri Tigers battle Illinois. Missouri try to remain unbeaten at home where they are 6-0 this year. They have been winning games with defense and depth on the bench. The Fighting Illini is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the Tigers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games. Take the home team and the points.
12/21: UTEP +3 4 * Win
Don’t sleep on the UTEP Miners. They have an explosive offense that can score with any team in the country and they average 82 points a game. Oklahoma is good but have been inconsistent in their play at times.The Miners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the Sooners are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UTEP pulls off the upset and beats Okalahoma!
12/19: Alabama +3 5* Loss
Kansas ST has two things going against them when they face Alabama. They are off a hot shooting performance and they are off an upset of a top ranked team. This will set up for a huge letdown against an improving Alabama team. The Wildcats are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Alabama has an edge on defense and will win the game with clutch free throws down the stretch.
12/17: Auburn +10.5 2* Win
This is just too many points for Florida St to give to the Auburn Tigers. The Seminoles are the better team but this is a bad spot for them. They are just 2-5 ATS in the last seven and in the last five games Auburn has put up better numbers on both sides of the ball. The Tigers are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS loss and cover the number tonight.
12/16: UAB +2 3* Win
The Bearcats and the UAB Blazers tangle in a conference matchup and both of these teams are off to a great start. UAB has won 7 straight and are 6-0 at home this year and this will be the first big test. The Bearcats are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Conference USA and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. UAB pulls the mild upset and beat the Bearcats.
12/12: Alabama +4.5 2* Loss
Purdue has been winning plenty of games on the season but they may be running out of luck. They have beaten teams while shooting poorly from the field but against Alabama this will catch up with them. Purdue has not played well as road chalk as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Tide on the other hand thrive as underdogs as they are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Play the Tide in this game.
12/8: TCU +1 4* Loss
Texas Tech is off an upset win in overtime against a ranked team. Because of that win they are now small chalk on the road. This line is inflated and it will cost red Raider backers. Tuesday seems to be a great day to be a frog and not a Raider. The Red Raiders are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 Tuesday games and the Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Tuesday games. Play the Frogs
12/7: Virginia +4.5 3* Win
The Cavs travel to take on Auburn Monday night and this is a good spot to back the Cavaliers. Auburn beat them last year and so the Cavs have revenge and Auburn has been a train wreck trying to cover the number this year. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and the Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.
12/5: Wake Forest +6 Win
Wake takes on Gonzaga in another great match-up on Saturday. Gonzaga is #16 in the country but may have their hands full when they take on the Demon Deacons. The Deacons rise to the occasion against good teams as they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. On the other hand the Bulldogs don’t get excited about playing out of conference as they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Take Wake plus the points and look for the possible upset.
12/4: Kent St +14 Loss
Kent St hits the floor and they are a team that is not getting a lot f credit in this game as they have been installed as double digit dogs against Xavier. Kent St plays well on the road and has the edge in defensive rebounding and causing turnovers. Kent St plus the points is the way to go here.
12/2: Wisconsin +4 - Win
The Badges have a tough draw in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge when they face the Duke Blue Devils but being at home will help a lot. The Badgers defense will be tested with great Blue Devils like Nolan Smith but they will play a physical basketball that will wear on the badgers.The Badgers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Atlantic Coast and the Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Take the Badgers to pull the upset!
11/29 - Arkansas St +2 - Loss
The great thing about college basketball is that you can find some great value betting lesser known teams. This is the case with Arkansas St. Arkansas St has the edge in scoring and rebounds and that will be good enough to cash this ticket. Arkansas St is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and won’t need the points here they win outright.
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