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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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05/01/2013 03:42 PM
Today's MLB Picks
Colorado at LA Dodgers

The Rockies look to take advantage of a Dodger team that is 1-5 in Josh Beckett's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Colorado is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 1
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: NY Mets at Miami (12:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 13.543; Miami (LeBlanc) 14.472
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gomez) 15.726; Milwaukee (Burgos) 16.545
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Over

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.980; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.185
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under

Game 907-908: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.037; Atlanta (Maholm) 14.569
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.665; Cubs (Feldman) 14.452
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); N/A

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.844; Arizona (McCarthy) 15.655
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 16.576; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.481
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over

Game 915-916: Minnesota at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 15.386; Detroit (Sanchez) 16.971
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.446; Oakland (Milone) 13.964
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 919-920: Houston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 13.500; NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.872
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-230); Under

Game 921-922: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 16.415; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.999
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 15.045; Texas (Tepesch) 14.102
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.823; Kansas City (Mendoza) 16.656
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+105); Under

Game 927-928: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.595; Seattle (Harang) 14.034
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-130); Over

Game 929-930: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.375; Cleveland (Bauer) 15.946
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over
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Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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05/01/2013 03:44 PM
Marc Lawrence
Free play

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

When Brandon McCarthy and the Diamondbacks host Tim Lincecum and the Giants in the finale of this three-games series in Arizona Wednesday night they will do so knowing McCarthy is in fine KW form with 13 strikeouts and 2 walks in his last three starts. With Lincecum 0-6 with a 6.36 ERA in his last three team starts in this series, look for more of the same this evening. We recommend a 1-unit play on Arizona.
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05/01/2013 03:45 PM
Bruce Marshall
Free play

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay seemed to be in control on Tuesday night at the Big K before starting pitcher Alex Cobb weakened in the sixth inning, and five straight Royals hits quickly erased a 2-0 Rays lead as KC proceeded to roll. But there are a couple of differences on Wednesday for visiting Tampa Bay. First, the Rays aren't going against Royals ace James Shields, who was also making his first appearance in an emotional night vs. his old Tampa Bay team since the offseason trade that sent him to KC. The Rays offense, which had scored 19 runs in two outings preceding Tuesday's game, should have better luck vs. emergency Royals starter Luis Mendoza, pulled from the rotation in mid-April due to some disastrous results. And second, don't expect Tampa Bay workhorse starter Jeremy Hellickson, with a 1.17 ERA in two previous starts vs. the Royals, to falter as did Cobb, as Hellickson has completed at least six innings in 21 of his last 27 starts.
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05/01/2013 03:45 PM
Art Aronson
Free play

Oakland A's -108

CJ Wilson (2-0, 4.30 ERA) gets the start for the visitors; Wilson gave up three runs off seven hits over 5 1/3's frames in his team's eventual 6-3 win over the soft-hitting Mariners on Friday. Wilson was able to work himself out of several jams vs. Seattle, but wasn't so lucky when he faced the A's back on April 9th, giving up four runs over six innings in the no-decision. Wilson will be opposed by Tommy Milone (3-2, 3.38 ERA) who is coming off a tough luck loss in which he gave up one unearned run off six hits over 6 2/3's frames of work in his team's 3-0 setback to the Orioles on Friday; he'd finish with one walk and five K's (note though that Milone was 7-4 with a very respectable 2.74 ERA in front of the home town crowd last year). The A's come into this game with momentum having won eight of the last nine in this series including all five this year; they're collectively hitting .310 with eight home runs, eight stolen bases and 48 total runs vs. LA thus far. Milone has been a "different" pitcher at home this year, going 2-1 with a 1.77 ERA; he's also 3-1 in his last four vs. the Angels. I believe the surging home side is worth a second look in this one.
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05/01/2013 03:45 PM
Bryan Power
Free play

Boston vs. Toronto
Pick: Toronto

I won with the Blue Jays yesterday (at a nice underdog price!) and am going to recommend a small wager on them again here. To rehash from Tuesday's analysis, I simply am not ready to buy into this start from Boston just yet. Coming into this series on a five-game win streak, they were due to start giving some back, while Toronto was bound to go the other way after losing four in a row.......

You had to take the Red Sox win streak with a grain of salt considering four of the wins came via a sweep of lowly Houston. Wednesday's starter Clay Buchholz has enjoyed a tremendous start to 2013, winning his first five starts to go along with a 1.19 ERA and 1.009 WHIP. But like his team, the run is unsustainable. This will be his first time facing Toronto as he did not see them in the earlier series the teams played. He's had plenty of success in the past North of the Border, but again, I don't see a pitcher who ended 2012 so poorly keeping this up.

Toronto counters with Mark Buehrle, who has disappointed in his first month with the club. But he faces a Boston lineup that struggles somewhat against lefties (4.0 runs/game). Buehrle has a 9-1 TSR in the month of May the previous two seasons.
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05/01/2013 03:47 PM
Kevin
MLBPredictions W/writeup

2 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners - ORIOLES TO WIN (-129)
Listed Pitchers: Chen vs Harang
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.55 units)

The Orioles and Mariners have split the first two games of this series, with Seattle winning 6-2 on Monday and Baltimore winning 7-2 last night. The Orioles are 16-11 on the season and 9-6 on the road while the Mariners are 12-17 on the year and 8-8 at home. Lefty Wei-Yin Chen will take the mound for Baltimore and he is 2-2 on the season with a 2.53 ERA, .211 OBA and 1.00 WHIP. Chen has been impressive against some team off to hot starts this year (he has faced Tampa Bay, Boston, Yankees, Dodgers, and Oakland). Over his last 3 starts he has pitched 20 innings of work giving up just 4 earned runs. Last year he was 12-11 on the season with a 4.02 ERA, .250 OBA and 1.26 WHIP. The Mariners will go with righty Aaron Harang who is looking for his first win since joining the team in the off-season. He has three starts and is 0-3 with a 11.37 ERA, .362 OBA and 1.97 WHIP. The longest outing he has had was 5 innings giving up 3 earned runs, and his latest start was 3 innings at home vs the Angels where he gave up 5 earned runs. He has faced some good hitting American League teams in Detroit, Texas and Los Angeles and will face another tonight in Baltimore. The Orioles are 6th in the Majors in team batting average, while Seattle is 22nd. Note that Baltimore has won 9 of their last 13 games overall, and are 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts as a favorite between -110 to -150. Baltimore is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with Seattle and 6-1 in their last 7 in Seattle. Chen is pitching great right now and not getting enough credit here and I will happily take the line we are getting on the Orioles tonight vs a struggling starting pitcher.
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05/01/2013 03:47 PM
5Lines

Total Line for 05/01/2013
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Seattle Mariners : u7.5
Cost: -115

Run Line for 05/01/2013
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Philadelphia Phillies : -1.5
Cost: -105
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