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Tuesday Starters with a Combined 17-2 UNDER Record
Here's a look at four MLB starters taking the hill on Tuesday who combined have a 17-2 under record and have made $1,352.31 for $100 bettors in their 19 starts:
Jose Quintana, Chicago White Sox (2-0, 2.78 ERA, 1-3 O/U)
Since getting torched for five earned runs in four innings in his first start, Quintana has given up only two earned runs in his next three starts. He hasn't allowed a home run to 94 consecutive batters.
Kevin Slowey, Miami Marlins (0-2, 2.43 ERA, 0-5 O/U)
Slowey's under record is strengthened by his offense giving him six runs of support in his five starts, but the under will usually stay strong when you yield only eight earned runs in those outings. Slowey has displayed pinpoint control, walking only six batters this campaign.
The lowest total Cahill has seen this season is 8.5, but he has gone well under that in his four other starts. Cahill gave up no earned runs in two outings and 10 earned runs in his other three starts combined.
Jorge De La Rosa, Colorado Rockies (2-2, 2.86 ERA, 1-4 O/U)
De La Rosa's last four starts have been eerily similar. He pitched six innings, giving up a combined five earned runs, and has given up an average of 4.3 hits per outing, with each game going under. The Rockies' offense has scored only 10 runs in his last four starts.
Mets at Miami: Hefner shut down the Dodgers, but everyone does that. He's not gonna pitch deep and the Marlins owe him one from his first start of the season. Because Wright may not be back, it's the Fish or nothing.
Washington at Atlanta: I've been leary of Hudson most of the year as I do think he's wearing down, but he had a way of coming up big. Gio has been Gio most of the year, but I have to think he avenges his only loss this season. Braves pen has been underperforming and with Ramos back I like the Nationals.
Padres at Cubs: Shocking to see the Cubs -145 over too many people, and simply by process of elimination I would take the Padres. How the mighty (Volquez) have fallen, but he has pitched against either good or hot teams, shut down Milwaukee, and has been keeping the ball on the ground.
Pirates at Brewers: Estrada a very under rated pitcher (1.29 WHIP) but he does give up the long ball. MacDonald is feast or famine and has been owned by the Brewers. Lean Brewers and over, if the roof is open, but if it's closed there's a stiff breeze blowing in from right, so in that case, under.
Reds at Cardinals: Both Arroyo's beatings have come on the road, so there is no chance of taking Cincinnati. However, I am always wrong on the Reds, and even factoring in his bad starts his WHIP is 1.09. Perhaps. If nothing else Garcia typically keeps the ball in the park, and has typically been better at home.
Giants at Arizona: I'd normally not look much further than Bumgarners' 0.89 WHIP and be done with it, especially with the D-Backs injuries, and that's against Cahill who has been brutalized on the road. Giants pen has been great at home and not so much on the road. I still like the under in this one, and the Giants.
Rockies at Dodgers: Tempted to make the auto-under bet with tow lefties in Dodger Stadium at night. De La Rosa has pitched well in every game and Ryu can get the ball up at times. Rockies and under.
Houston at Yankees: We aren't laying -300 but could use them in a parlay somewhere. No chance of taking the over because we might need the Yankees to get all nine and they won't get the ninth at bat. Humber hasn't pitched five inning total in his last two starts, so his stock is the lowest in the league. Since he has pitched well against the Yankees, the RL or even a flyer on +280 isn't out of the question.
Minnesota at Detroit: Interesting that Verlander is .60 less against a pitcher like Worley who's been lit up. He pitched decent in his last two games, but threw over 100 pitches in both of them. Not many teams know Verlander as well as the Twins, so nothing would surprise me here. Lean under simply because of the wind and JV, but the Tigers could well get all of them.
Boston at Toronto: So Toronto hasn't been hitting very well, and my guess is that Lester wakes the bats up, simply because they owe him one and are rested. The bad news is Morrow has been terrible and threw 112 pitches last game. Almost have to lean over in this one.
White Sox at Texas: There is no chance of laying -200 with Darvish against a team like Chicago that CAN score a ton of runs via the long ball. It is warm in Dallas but the wind is blowing in pretty hard from right, so I could clearly see taking the under here, with a flyer on Quintana and the White Sox bullpen. All those -200 favorites won't all win. They never do.
Tampa Bay at Kansas City: I'd love to take the suddenly hot-hitting Rays but not against Shields, whose pitching against his old team. Wanted to take the under here, but there's a big boy breeze blowing out to left and it's warming up in KC, so I might think about the over, especially at 7.5 (+105) or so.
-- Slowey has a 2.43 RA in five starts, but no wins (Miami 1-4).
-- Estrada is 2-1, 3.55 in his last four starts. McDonald is 1-0, 3.27 in his last two starts.
-- Volquez is 1-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
-- Garcia is 0-0, 2.03 in his two home starts.
-- Cahill is 1-1, 2.33 in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.87 in his five starts this season.
-- de la Rosa is 1-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 2-1, 1.71 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 3-0, 2.28 in his last four starts.
-- Verlander is 2-2, 2.23 in five starts this season.
-- Red Sox are 5-0 when Lester starts (4-0, 2.27).
-- Darvish is 4-1, 1.65 in five starts this season. Quintana is 2-0, 0.96 in his last three starts.
-- Former Ray Shields has a 2.74 RA in his last three starts. Cobb is 3-1, 2.12 in four starts this season.
-- Orioles won last three Hammel starts (2-0, 4.00). Maurer is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Mets are 0-4 in Hefner starts (0-2, 4.50).
-- Hudson is 0-1, 8.10 in his last couple starts. GGonzalez is 1-1, 6.50 in his last three starts.
-- Jackson is 0-2, 6.94 in his last four starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 7.50 in two road starts this season.
-- Ryu is 2-2, 4.02 in five starts this season.
-- McAllister is 1-3, 5.09 in four starts this season.
-- Morrow is 0-2, 7.59 in his last four starts.
-- Humber allowed 15 runs in six IP in losing his last two starts.
-- Worley is 0-1, 2.25 in his last two starts.
-- Parker is 0-4, 8.10 in five starts this season. Richards is 1-1, 3.98 in three starts this season.
-- Seven of last nine Washington games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 17 Met games went over the total.
-- Eleven of last sixteen Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Arroyo starts stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 15 Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight games at Dodger Stadium went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Houston games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Toronto games.
-- Ten of last fourteen Detroit games went over the total.
-- Last three White Sox games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Kansas City games.
-- 22 of last 26 Oakland games went over the total. (Monday included).
-- Five of last six Baltimore games went over the total.
-- San Diego, Cubs both won four of their last five games.
-- Pirates won 14 of their last 20 games. Brewers won 11 of their last 14.
-- Cincinnati won 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Arizona won six of its last nine games.
-- Phillies won their last three games, allowing five runs.
-- Bronx won 14 of its last 20 games.
-- Boston won its last five games, scoring 34 runs.
-- Detroit won five of its last six games. Twins won seven of last eleven.
-- Rangers won seven of last ten games, but lost last two.
-- Tampa Bay won seven of its last ten games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last twelve games. Seattle won four of last five.
-- Washington lost six of its last nine games. Atlanta lost seven of its last ten games, but won eight in row vs Nats.
-- Mets lost ten of their last thirteen games. Miami lost ten of its first fourteen home games, but won last two.
-- St Louis lost its last three games, outscored 16-4.
-- San Francisco lost six of its last seven games on the road.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven home games. Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last thirteen games.
-- Houston lost eleven of its last fifteen games.
-- Blue Jays lost eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last nine games.
-- Royals lost last two games by combined score of 19-3.
-- Oakland lost eight of its last ten games. Angels lost five of last seven games on foreign soil. (Monday night's result is not included here).
-- NY-Mia-- 11 of last 13 Meals games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Five of last six Timmons games went over the total.
-- SD-Chi-- Favorites won ten of last thirteen Davis games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Visitors won nine of last eleven Barry games.
-- Cin-StL-- Last seven Hernandez games went over the total.
-- SF-Az-- Favorites won 12 of last 16 Miller games.
-- Col-LA-- Visitors won nine of last thirteen Bell games.
-- Hst-NY-- Last six Wolf games stayed under the total.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs won six of last ten Fairchild games.
-- LA-A's-- 10 of last 12 Carapazza games stayed under total.
-- Blt-Sea-- Five of last six Gibson games stayed under the total.
The Blue Jays look to build on their 19-9 record in Brandon Morrow's last 28 home starts against teams with a winning record. Toronto is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, APRIL 30
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hefner) 13.552; Miami (Slowey) 14.063
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+105); Under
Game 953-954: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 14.537; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.069
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Over
Game 955-956: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 16.509; Cubs (Jackson) 15.008
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); N/A
Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 16.123; Milwaukee (Estrada) 17.648
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under
Game 959-960: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.079; St. Louis (Garcia) 16.086
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over
Game 961-962: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.641; Arizona (Cahill) 15.858
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Under
Game 963-964: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.447; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.810
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
Game 965-966: Houston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Humber) 14.904; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.669
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-300); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+250); Under
Game 967-968: Minnesota at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Worley) 15.813; Detroit (Verlander) 17.544
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-250); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-250); Over
Game 969-970: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.209; Toronto (Morrow) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Under
Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.413; Texas (Darvish) 14.734
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+170); Under
Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.490; Kansas City (Shields) 15.989
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Over
Game 975-976: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 14.757; Oakland (Parker) 13.654
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Under
Game 977-978: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.503; Seattle (Maurer) 14.526
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Over
Game 979-980: Philadelphia at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.053; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.868
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under