04/29/2013 04:59 PM
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MLB | Apr 29 '13 (7:10p)
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Total
7 un+102 at 5dimes
15* NL Monday Total ANNIHILATOR on Nationals/Braves UNDER 7
There is a lot to like about this UNDER tonight between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. First and foremost, Atlanta is going to have a hard time scoring any runs against one of the best starters in baseball.
Stephen Strasburg gets the ball for Washington looking to improve upon his 1-4 start with a 3.16 ERA and 1.117 WHIP. He simply hasn't been getting any run support, which is the reason for his poor 1-4 record.
Julio Teheran had a great spring, but he got off to a slow start to the regular season for Atlanta. However, he is coming off his best start of the year, allowing just one earned run over 7 innings at Colorado on April 23rd.
In his last two starts against Atlanta, Strasburg has allowed a combined one earned run over 12 innings while striking out 17. Both teams are missing key hitters right now with the Braves playing without Jason Heyward and Brian McCann, and the Nationals without Ryan Zimmerman.
The UNDER is 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The UNDER is 9-4 in Strasburg's last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The UNDER is 27-10-1 in Braves last 38 home games. The UNDER is 26-9-1 in Braves last 36 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Take the UNDER in this game Monday.
MLB | Apr 29 '13 (7:10p)
New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Total
7 un-109 at 5dimes
15* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets/Marlins UNDER 7
I look for a pitcher's duel tonight between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins. Two of the most underrated starters in the league will be getting the ball tonight, and they'll be up against two of the worst line-ups in baseball.
Matt Harvey is 4-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.686 WHIP through five starts this season. The youngster is clearly proving he is going to be the face of the franchise alongside David Wright for many years to come. Jose Fernandez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.250 WHIP through four starts this season for Miami.
The Marlins have simply been atrocious at the plate this year. They are hitting .220 and scoring 2.7 runs/game on the season, including .190 and 2.4 runs/game at home. New York is hitting just .239 on the year.
Miami is 18-5 to the UNDER as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Marlins last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. The UNDER is 15-5-1 in Marlins last 21 home games. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.
MLB | Apr 29 '13 (8:05p)
San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs Total
9 un-114 at 5dimes
15* NL Non-Divisional PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres/Cubs UNDER 9
The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the soft-hitting San Diego Padres and Chicago Cubs. I look for a low-scoring, pitcher's duel in this one as two underrated starters will be getting the ball tonight.
Jeff Samardzija is one of the best young starters in the league. While he's only 1-4 this season, that's due to a lack of run support considering he has posted a 3.03 ERA and 1.102 WHIP with 39 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings.
Samardzija is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in two career starts against San Diego. While Clayton Richard has struggled in the early going for San Diego, he is 2-0 with a 0.57 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in two career starts against Chicago.
The Cubs are hitting just .229 and scoring 3.3 runs/game this season, including .204 and 2.2 runs/game against left-handed starters. The Padres are hitting .244 and scoring 3.5 runs/game this year, including .234 and 3.2 runs/game on the road.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Richard's last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 6-0 in Samardzija's last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Samardzija's last 7 starts vs. National League West. These four trends combine for a perfect 22-0 system backing the UNDER. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.
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