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The Indians look to build on their 7-2 record in Ubaldo Jimenez' last 9 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Cleveland is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, APRIL 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.596; Atlanta (Teheran) 15.011
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+125); Under
Game 903-904: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 14.563; Miami (Fernandez) 13.452
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-170); Over
Game 905-906: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 15.492; Cubs (Samardzija) 14.625
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); N/A
Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 15.792; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 16.480
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Over
Game 909-910: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 15.827; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.337
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Over
Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.086; Arizona (Kennedy) 16.412
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under
Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 15.892; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over
Game 915-916: Houston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 12.862; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.510
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-240); Under
Game 917-918: Minnesota at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pelfrey) 15.846; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.510
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-230); Over
Game 919-920: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.868; Kansas City (Davis) 14.834
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under
Game 921-922: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Hanson) 14.894; Oakland (Straily) 14.516
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 15.772; Seattle (Saunders) 13.857
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under
Jim Feist's FREE MLB Play for Monday, April 29, 2013
Take: (914) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
The NL West is a real free for all right now with 3 1/2 games separating first from fourth. The Rockies hold the top spot at 15-9 with the Dodgers in fourth at 11-12. Colorado has cooled a bit though, winning just five of the last 10 after Sunday's loss at Arizona, 4-2. The Dodgers took two of three games from the red-hot Milwaukee Brewers after winning Sunday's rubber match behind Clayton Kershaw, 2-0. The addition of Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzales has been a shot in the arm to the lineup with both players hitting over .300 this season. Tyler Chatwood will start for the Rockies with a 0-0 Record and 6.00 ERA. Ted Lilly will toe the rubber for the Dodgers and also has no record this season with a 1.80 ERA. Lilly has been very good in his career against Colorado, posting a 10-2 mark with a 3.92 ERA in 14 games. Dodgers much better hitters at home than the road so don't mind laying a small price here with the home club. Colorado coming back down to earth these days too. Take the Dodgers here on Monday.
On Monday the Free MLB Play is on the New York Yankees. Game 916 at 7:05 eastern. I know what your thinking. I'm giving you snow in the winter. No worries we are using the run line at -1.5 and this game becomes much more reasonable. The Yankees have won all 6 times the last 10 seasons vs Houston, the last 5 by more than a run. The Yanks are off a come from behind win over Toronto, completing the sweep. They have Andy Pettite on the mound and we note that they are 13-0 when Pettite through more than 100 pitches in his last outing. New York has won 9 of those games by more than a run. Lucas Harell goes for Houston and he has lost his last 5 April Road starts. Finally we note that Houston has lost 17 of the last 20 as a road dog in this range with 16 of those losses by more than 1 run. Look for the Yankees to deal Houston another road loss. Take the Yankees on the run line.
Wandy Rodriguez has not had much luck in his career against Milwaukee. His team is 9-14 when he gets the start. Yovani Gallardo on the other hand has had an extremely successful career against Pittsburgh. He is 9-1 and his team is 13-1 when starting against the Pirates. He has a career ERA of 2.35 against Pittsburgh and he is coming off solid back to back performances against San Francisco and San Diego.
The Pirates are batting .207 on the road this season and they average just 3 runs per game. Going up against Wandy Rodriquez is a very favorable matchup advantage for the Brewers. Milwaukee is batting .282 against left handed starters and they have a .333 on base percentage. This will be the 8th consecutive road game for Pittsburgh and the Pirates have dropped the opening game of the series in three of their last four on the road.
The Cubs (9-15) will host the Padres (9-15) on Monday night at Wrigley. Chicago has actually looked a lot better this season than they did a year ago. While they have a losing record, they have played some stiff competition early this season, and against a weaker Marlins team, they have just taken 3-of-4 in Miami.
Jeff Samardzija will toe the rubber on Monday night, and he'll be looking to put an end to a four game losing streak. Samardzija (1-4, 3.30 ERA) has pitched quite well this season, and deserves better than his 1-4 record. He tossed six innings allowing one run on seven hits in a 1-0 loss to Cincy his last time out.
The Padres will send Clayton Richard to the mound at Wrigley, and the left-hander was rocked in his last start. Richard (0-2, 7.04 ERA) only went 1 2/3 innings, allowing six runs on six hits. Richard gave up 31 home runs in 33 starts last season, and that's a scary thought for the southpaw heading into Wrigley.
The Padres are coming off a three game sweep of the Giants, and they have won four in a row at home. They haven't been nearly as successful on the road though, with a record of 4-8 this year.
This is a favorable matchup for the Cubs, and the price is more than reasonable to back the home team with superior pitching.
My free play for tonight is a momentum play in Major League Baseball, as I'm taking a look at one of the worst team in the bigs - the Miami Marlins - catching a decent price against the New York Mets. Sometimes, you have to pinpoint the right times to side against a much-better team in a predicament, and tonight the value is with the Fish.
New York arrives after a tough homestand in which it lost its last four and six of nine in Queens against the Nationals, Dodgers and Phillies. After starting off with a decent 2-1 showing against preseason favorite Washington, the Mets dropped two of three to the Dodgers and then were swept by division-rival Philadelphia. Now, to have to travel and take on a Miami team that would love to kick any dog while its down, I think the Mets could be in trouble tonight.
The Marlins just beat the Cubs to snap a three-game skid, and have this last three-game set before heading out for a 10-game road trip that will send them to Philly and the West coast. They're going to want to start this series out on the right foot.
My free winner for Monday is on the San Francisco Giants, snapping this five-game losing streak, as I think they go into Phoenix saying enough is enough! The Arizona Diamondbacks are a formidable opponent, but they're beatable, and the Giants are the defending World Series champs.
So just because the Snakes are sitting in a first-place tie with the Colorado Rockies, in the National League West, doesn't mean the Giants can't take over the division lead by midweek. They're 2 games back of the Diamondbacks, and with a sweep would be in front, presumably if the Rockies don't go into Los Angeles and sweep the Dodgers.
That's the kind of mindset the Giants play with, generally, is that nothing is impossible, and I think they're going to be pissed off after being swept by last-place San Diego over the weekend.
Enough is enough! Take the Giants as a short road dog.