MLB weather watch: Rain in New York and Seattle
Here is Monday's notable weather across the bigs to help with your capping:
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (-237, 8)
Site: Yankee Stadium
A 50 percent chance of rain with winds blowing from right to left at 10 mph. The Yankees were 16-11 in 2012 when the wind blew from right to left at home.
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs (-151, NA)
Site: Wrigley Field
Winds will blow out to left field at 12 mph.
Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals (-131, 9)
Site: Kauffman Stadium
Winds will blow out to left field at 13 mph.
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals (-131, 7)
Site: Busch Stadium
Winds will blow out to left field at 13 mph. The under was 5-2 in 2012 at Busch Stadium when the wind blew out to left.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners (+101, 8)
Site: Safeco Field
There's a 60 percent chance of rain in Seattle.
Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
Two starters on bad teams are pitching very well and could generate good profit for those looking for a live underdog.
Here's a look at Monday's streaking and slumping starters:
Lucas Harrell, Houston Astros (2-2, 4.08 ERA)
Don't let Harrell's numbers fool you. His stats are skewed because of a horrendous outing against Oakland on April 7, when he gave up eight earned runs in 4 1/3 innings. In his four other starts, Harrell has given up five earned runs and only two home runs. The Astros have won their last two with Harrell on the mound.
Jeff Samardzija, Chicago Cubs (1-4, 3.03 ERA)
Samardzija is another guy who is pitching gems without getting wins. The Cubs have lost all of his last four starts. But Samardzija has given up only 11 earned runs in his five starts, has struck out an average of 7.8 batters per game, and walked only 10 opponents. The under is 4-1 in his starts.
Mike Pelfrey, Minnesota Twins (2-2, 7.94 ERA)
Pelfrey is struggling in his first month in the American League. In his last three starts, Pelfrey's been rocked for an 11.57 ERA and has only five strikeouts. The over is 4-0 in Pelftey's outings.
Matt Cain, San Francisco Giants (0-2, 6.33 ERA)
Cain looks nothing like the pitcher that had a 3.60 ERA in the 2012 playoffs, pacing the Giants to the World Series. He has given up at least one home run in each of his last three starts, and has made it to the seventh inning once. San Francisco is 0-5 in Cain's starts.
Moneyball: Athletics over improves to 21-5
The Oakland Athletics over improved to 21-5 on Sunday after beating the Orioles 9-8, continuing the biggest betting story in baseball's first month.
Any $100 bettor would be up $1,530.37 if they picked the over in each of Oakland's 26 games.
The A's are first in baseball in runs scored (129, 5.2 per game), seventh in hits (212, 8.5 per game) and fourth in OPS (.757), heading into Sunday's action.
Combine this with a pitching staff with the 21st-ranked 4.19 ERA and the 22nd-ranked opponenst batting average of .260 and you have a lot of high scoring games.
Oakland has seen three totals of 8.5 this season and none above.
The A's begin a series against the Los Angeles Angels on Monday. The over went 3-0 in the previous series between the two teams. Daniel Straily is expected to pitch for Oakland, while Tommy Hanson has been activated from the bereavement list and is scheduled to start for the Angels on Monday.
Rounding the bases: The best bets in the bigs
Every week we take a look at the hottest and coldest teams as well as the best over and under bets in major league baseball.
For the week of April 22-28.
Hot team: Boston Red Sox
Last week: 6-1
Upcoming schedule: at Blue Jays, at Rangers
Skinny: The Red Sox knocked off the Astros 6-1 Sunday to complete the four-game series sweep of Houston and tie the club record for most wins in April (17).
Cold team: Toronto Blue Jays
Last week: 1-6
Upcoming schedule: vs. Red Sox, vs. Mariners
Skinny: The Jays dropped two of three to the Baltimore Orioles and were swept by the New York Yankees this past weekend. Toronto has dropped 10 of its last 13 games to fall into second-last in the American League, ahead of only the Houston Astros (7-18).
Over team: Oakland A’s
Last week: 6-1 over/under
Season: 21-5 over/under
Upcoming schedule: vs. Angels, at Yankees
Skinny: The A’s rank in the top five in nearly every offensive statistical category and their pitching, which was the backbone of the team last season, has been sub-par (4.19 ERA).
Under team: Chicago Cubs
Last week: 2-5 over/under
Season: 8-16 over/under
Upcoming schedule: vs. Padres, vs. Reds
Skinny: The Cubs are averaging only 3.30 runs per game and their pitching staff boasts a 3.29 team ERA – the fifth-best mark in the bigs.
-- Mets are 5-0 when Harvey starts (4-0, 1.54).
-- Wainwright is 4-0, 1.44 in his last four starts. Latos is 1-0, 0.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Pirates are 4-0 when Rodriguez starts (2-0, 2.08). Gallardo is 2-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.
-- Lilly allowed one run in five IP at Citi Field in his first '13 start.
-- Former Astro Pettitte is 3-1, 2.54 in four starts this season. Harrell is 2-0, 1.96 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- Straily won his only '13 start, allowing two runs in 6.2 IP. Hanson is 2-1, 4.24 in his first three '13 starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-4, 5.55 in his last four starts. Teheran is 0-0, 6.55 in four starts; Brave bullpen won all four games.
-- Fernandez is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Samardzija is 0-4, 4.38 in his last four starts. Richard is 0-2, 8.47 in his four starts this season.
-- Giants are 0-5 when Cain starts (0-2, 8.74 in last four). Kennedy is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Chatwood allowed five runs in six IP in his first '13 start.
-- Pelfrey is 1-2, 10.95 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez is 0-2, 14.73 in his last three starts. Davis has a 5.12 RA in his first four starts this season.
-- Saunders is 0-2, 13.97 in his last two starts. Britton was 0-2, 12.27 in his last two starts LY; this is his first '13 start.
-- Six of last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Eleven of last sixteen Met games went over the total.
-- Eleven of last fifteen Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis home games went over total.
-- 12 of last 14 Arizona games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Dodger Stadium went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Houston games.
-- Ten of last thirteen Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Kansas City games went over the total.
-- 21 of last 25 Oakland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- San Diego won its last four games by total of five runs. Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Pirates won 14 of their last 19 games. Brewers won 10 of their last 13.
-- Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won 14 of its last 19 games.
-- Detroit won four of its last five games. Twins won seven of last ten.
-- Royals won six of their last nine games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Atlanta lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Mets lost nine of their last twelve games. Miami lost ten of its first thirteen home games.
-- Reds lost three of their last four games. St Louis lost its last two games, outscored 14-3.
-- San Francisco lost its last six games on the road.
-- Colorado lost six of its last eight games.
-- Houston lost eleven of its last fourteen games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Oakland lost eight of its last ten games. Angels lost five of last seven games foreign soil.
-- Mariners lost 12 of their last 19 games.
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