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Houston vs. Boston, 04/25/2013 18:35
Point Spread: -1½/-127 Boston
Free Play for 4/25/13
Boston Red Sox -1.5 -127
The Key: Right away I like the fact that plays against road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more that are hitting .260 or worse and are up against an AL starter with an ERA of 4.20 or better, provided their starter gives up 0.5 homers or less per start, are 42-3 since 1997. This system, which carries an average winning margin of 3.4 runs, is a perfect 8-0 the last 3 seasons. Houston's Philip Humber is 0-4 with a 6.63 ERA, and each of these 4 losses came by at least 3 runs. Boston's Clay Buchholz is 4-0 with a 0.90 ERA, and 3 of his 4 wins came by at least 2 runs. Bet Boston on the run line.