cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
On 10/05/2011 06:12 PM in NBA

Cnotes WNBA Series Best Bets !

Minnesota Lynx, Atlanta Dream WNBA Finals

The Minnesota Lynx look to instill some much-needed civic pride when they host the Atlanta Dream for Game 2 of the WNBA Finals on Wednesday night.

The Don Best odds screen has the Lynx as 5 ½-point favorites with a total of 163 points. They lead the best-of-five series 1-0, with ESPN2 having the tip from Target Center at 8:00 p.m. (ET).

The sports scene has been bleak for the state of Minnesota. The Twins suffered through a disappointing 63-win season. The Vikings are 0-4 and one of the NFL’s worst teams. The NHL Wild and NBA Timberwolves aren’t expected to do much this season.

The one bright spot has been the Lynx (32-8 straight up, 25-15 against the spread) who are two games away from their first WNBA title in 13 years of existence. They hadn’t even won a playoff series before this year.

Game 1 of this series was on Sunday. The contest was all-tied at 62-62 before a 13-0 run in the fourth quarter blew it open. The game was never close after that and the 88-74 final easily ‘covered’ the 6 ½-point spread.

The Lynx are now 18-3 SU and 15-6 ATS at home this season. That includes 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the playoffs.

Minnesota has been the league’s best team all year due to its balance and that’s continued in the postseason. All five starters are averaging at least 9.4 PPG, led by Seimone Augustus (20.4 PPG). Rookie of the Year Maya Moore is at 15.2 PPG as she tries to build on her two college championships at UConn.

Augustus had 22 points in the opener and Moore had 11, but the big surprise was Rebekkah Brunson. The 6-foot-2 forward powered her way to a season-high 26 points. She also pulled down 11 boards.

The Lynx out-rebounded Atlanta 40-28 with center Taj McWilliams-Franklin adding 10. They also had a whopping 11 blocks. Atlanta will be getting back center Erika de Souza for Wednesday and that can’t come soon enough after also getting killed in points in the paint (52-30).

The Dream (24-16 SU, 17-21-2 ATS) are making their second straight Finals appearance, getting swept by Seattle last year. This year’s regular season started slow at 3-9 SU (1-10-1 ATS) before finishing 17-5 SU (13-8-1 ATS).

Atlanta stayed hot through the Eastern Conference playoffs, sweeping Connecticut and then beating the Indiana Fever (83-67) on their court as 1-point favorites to end that series 2-1.

The last two games against Indiana were played without the 6-foot-5 de Souza, who left to play for her Brazilian national team. Atlanta was able to thrive with a smaller, quicker lineup, but that looked disastrous against Minnesota.

Angel McCoughtry will now get to move back from power forward to small forward. She kept the team in last game with 19 third-quarter points and 33 overall. She was also easily the leading scorer in the regular season (21.6 PPG).

Iziane Castro Marques can now go back to the bench, She was incredible in the final two games versus Indiana (27.5 PPG) but struggled in this Game 1 with 10 points (5-of-15 shooting from the field).

Atlanta is 11-10 SU and 9-11-1 ATS on the road. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in its last five games overall, with the 162 combined points scored in the opener just going ‘under’ the 163 ½-point total.

The ‘under’ is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last seven home games, surrendering just 68 PPG.

Minnesota has won and ‘covered’ all three meetings against Atlanta this year. All have been double-digit wins with an 87-74.3 average score.

Game 3 of this series will shift to Atlanta on Friday night.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/05/2011 06:15 PM

WNBA Finals Preview: Atlanta vs. Minnesota

2011 WNBA Finals Preview
ATLANTA DREAM (24-15)

vs. MINNESOTA LYNX (31-8)


Series Schedule (Best of 5):
Game 1 at MIN: Sunday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Game 2 at MIN: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Game 3 at ATL: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Game 4 at ATL: Sunday, Oct. 9, 4:00 p.m. EDT (if necessary)
Game 5 at MIN: Wednesday, Oct. 12, 8:00 p.m. EDT (if necessary)

The WNBA Finals tip-off Sunday night, with the Atlanta Dream back as the underdog, this time against the Minnesota Lynx.

The Lynx swept the regular season series from Atlanta, winning handily both times. While those meetings were back in June, Minnesota still clearly has the edge. This is the first trip to the Finals for the Lynx. They have the best record in the WNBA, the right mix of young talent (Seimone Augustus, Maya Moore) and veteran experience (Taj McWilliams-Franklin), not to mention home-court advantage, where the Lynx are 17-3 SU at home this year. Minnesota has won 13 of its past 15 games, and easily disposed of Phoenix in the Western Conference finals. None of their past three games were closer than 17 points. Plus, the Western Conference has won 11 of 14 WNBA titles, and among Eastern Conference teams, only Detroit has won it all. The pick here is MINNESOTA to win the series.

The Dream were swept in the Finals by Seattle a year ago. This year’s team is playing some hard-nosed defense in the postseason, holding opponents to 39% shooting, and the strong play of Angel McCoughtry (18.4 PPG in the playoffs) has led a balanced offensive attack. But the emergence of Izi Castro Marques is what pushed them back into the finals. After coming off the bench in their first three playoff games, the Brazilian swingman moved into the starting lineup after a Game 1 loss to Indiana and went for 30 in Game 2 and 23 in Game 3, shooting 54% from the field and 7-for-12 from three in those games. It was a stunning turnaround, and considering Castro Marques’ regular-season numbers (7.6 PPG, 36% FG, 21% 3-pt FG), it also may have been a fluke.

The teams played a home-and-home on June 17 and 19, with the Lynx winning easily both times, 96-85 at home, then 77-64 in Atlanta. They shot just 6-for-25 from three in those two games, but Augustus was nearly unstoppable in the paint. She averaged 22.0 PPG while shooting 59% from the field and 11-for-12 from the line in the two games. She’s averaging 20.4 PPG on 49% shooting from the field and 14-of-15 from the line through five postseason games. And Moore, who won two national titles at the University of Connecticut, hasn’t shrunk in her first WNBA postseason, averaging 15.2 PPG and shooting 46% from three.

A big part of the reason Minnesota won those two games easily in June was the defensive job point guard Lindsay Whalen did on Lindsey Harding, the Atlanta point guard. Harding, who averaged 10.5 PPG on 46% shooting and 4.8 APG during the regular season, shot 5-for-21 and handed out a total of four assists in those losses. McCoughtry scored 27 in the teams’ first meeting, but was held to 10 in the second, and her 2-for-13 shooting was a big contributor to Atlanta’s 30% shooting from the field.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/05/2011 06:18 PM

2011 Playoff Results

September 27, 2011

WNBA Finals

Winners in BOLD

WNBA Finals

Home team is 1-0
Favorite is 1-0 straight up

Favorite is 1-0 against the spread

The 'under' is 1-0


Visitor Home Final Score ATS OVER/UNDER

Game 1 - Sunday, Oct. 2
Atlanta Minnesota (-6.5) 88-74 FAVORITE UNDER 164

Game 2 - Wednesday, Oct. 5
Atlanta Minnesota

Game 3 - Friday, Oct. 7
Minnesota Atlanta

*Game 4 - Sunday, Oct. 9
Minnesota Atlanta

*Game 5 - Wednesday, Oct. 12
Atlanta Minnesota




Winners in BOLD

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/05/2011 06:20 PM

8:00 PM ETAtlanta at Minnesota

Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

ATL 653 0-1 (0-1 V) - ( 162.5 UNDER )

MIN 654 1-0 (1-0 H) - -5 ( MIN - 5 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/05/2011 06:22 PM

WNBA Finals
Dunkel

Atlanta at Minnesota
The Dream look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Atlanta is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 5

Game 653-654: Atlanta at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.681; Minnesota 119.053
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 163
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+5 1/2); Over




WNBA Finals
Long Sheet


Wednesday, October 5

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ATLANTA (24 - 16) at MINNESOTA (32 - 8) - 10/5/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA Finals


Wednesday, October 5

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. MINNESOTA
Atlanta is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/07/2011 06:19 PM

8:00 PM ETMinnesota at Atlanta

Teams ROT Record Consensus Odds

MIN 655 2-0 (0-0 V) -( 167 OVER )

ATL 656 0-2 (0-0 H) - -5 ( ATL -5 )

Stats: Matchup | Preview | Trends | Line Moves My Scores
Opinion: Consensus | Team Experts

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/07/2011 06:24 PM

WNBA Finals
Long Sheet


Friday, October 7

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MINNESOTA (33 - 8) at ATLANTA (24 - 17) - 10/7/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




WNBA Finals


Friday, October 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24417 Followers:32
10/07/2011 06:26 PM

WNBA
Dunkel


Minnesota at Atlanta
The Dream look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games as a favorite. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 655-656: Minnesota at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.301; Atlanta 120.681
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 165
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4);

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: