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Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
117-73 since 1997. ( 61.6% 48.0 units )
0-3 this year. ( 0.0% -3.3 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB TORONTO at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 43-18 (+26.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.3) , OPPONENT (3.8)
On Monday the Free MLB Totals system play is on the Over in the Cubs at Reds Game. Rotation numbers 955/956 at 7;10 eastern. We want to play the over for teams like the Reds, off a home favored win at -200 or higher in their last game if they scored 10 or more in the win and the opponent is coming off a road dog loss where they scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and the total is 8 or less. These home favorites are 8-1 to the over since 2004. The Reds average 5.7 runs at home and over 6 runs vs left handers. Mike Leake will make the starts for the Reds and he has flown over in 7 of 8 April home starts the past few years. T. Wood goes for Chicago and he allowed 7 runs in 5 innings in his lone start here vs the Reds. The Cubs follow him up with a weak bullpen era at 5.19. Look for both offenses to score and push this one over the total.
Jim Feist's FREE MLB Play for Monday, April 22, 2013
Take: (957) ATLANTA BRAVES
Arguably the two best teams thus far in the NL matchup here at Coors Field on Monday as the Rockies host the Braves. Atlanta has started the season 13-5, though they did lose Sunday at Pittsburgh, 4-2. In fact, the loss was the third straight for the Braves after starting the season 13-2. Meanwhile, the talk in the NL West has been all about the defending champion Giants and rebuilt Dodgers. So the Rockies occupying first place right now has many people shaking their head. The Rockies were a perfect 8-0 at home this season until they lost Sunday to the Diamondbacks, 5-4. Still, Colorado has won nine of their last 10 games overall. Jeff Francis will try and keep the home record spotless today. Francis is 1-1 this season but does have a high 8.25 ERA. Mike Minor will toe the rubber for the Braves with a 2-1 mark and 0.95 ERA. Minor is 1-0 in two games against Colorado in his career with a 6.00 ERA. Now that Colorado has lost a home game, I look for that to continue here on Monday. We get a very good team with a very good pitcher as a dog and that's too much to pass up on. Take the Braves in a nice dog role.
My free play winner for Monday is the Over in the Texas-L.A. Angels game tonight.
Derek Holland is off to a fine start at 1-1 with a 1.64 ERA, but Holland's numbers against the Angels suggest he will be giving up a few runs tonight. Over his last 5 starts versus the Halos, Holland is just 2-2 with a 6.09 ERA.
His counterpart Joe Blanton has been a bust thus far for his new team, as Blanton is off to an 0-3 start with the Angels and is toting in an ERA over 8.
These teams played Overs in 2 of their 3 meetings earlier this month in Arlington, and are now 5-1 Over the total since last year, and 7-2-1 Over the total the last 10 times they have faced one another.
Add another Over to the tally.
Rangers and Angels to head Over the total on Monday night in Anaheim.