Some Monday MLB Helpful Information
18 Replies | 288 ViewsOn 04/15/2013 07:09 AM in MLB
Cliff Notes - Monday Baseball
St. Louis at Pittsburgh: Pirates have been home while the Cardinals have been fighting the Brewers. Have to wonder if there isn't some sort of mental letdown for St. Louis. McDonald has certainly been someone we could get behind in the past. Freese and Beltran rested Sunday. McDonald owned the Cubs and was owned by the D-Backs (in Arizona). Truth is somewhere in the middle. But, he's pitched well against most all the Cardinals, save Molina, whose due a day off. He's caught about 6-8 straight games. Lynn also crushed by the D-Backs and was lights-out against the Reds, and at a time when the Reds were hitting. Given the struggles of the Cardinals bullpen, and the non-struggles of the Pirates relievers, you certainly have to lean Pittsburgh, I would think. As I type the Reds are out early, so we'll wait and see what happens like we always do.
Philadelphia at Cincinnati: I suppose if I'd been paying attention I'd have faded the Phillies in their last game against the Fish, strictly because of THIS game. Well, maybe. That games' just started, but it would have been a reason to think about it. A little hard to fathom the Reds being home dogs to many people, especially the perceived light hitting Phillies. For that reason (sounds like Shark Tank) I would have to think seriously about taking Philadelphia. Reds coming home from Pittsburgh would be yet another reason. Arroyo hasn't been walking many, but he's been very hittable. He's always been much tougher on RHH, and last I check Howard, Utley, and at least Brown hit from the left side of the plate. Votto's about the only Red that's had REAL success against Lee, so I do in fact lean Phillies and probably under here, although I have not checked weather and Sunday's impacts aren't known yet.
Washington at Miami: Similar situation here in that the Nationals have a big division series against Atlanta, and don't fare well in, I might have to think there's some emotional discomfort in their clubhouse. We'll see. Simply not laying -185 on the road, and could consider the RL either way. One of these days Miami will score, but still have only scored more than three runs once in there eleven games, Sunday pending. LeBlanc has actually pitched fairly well, and these two teams already faced each other in the season opening series. If LeBlanc is the one to make adjustments, who knows. These two pitchers faced each other in that series as well, in a game won by the Nats (duh) 6-1. He's been nothing short of consistent, but in what is probably a low scoring game (again) I could make the case fairly easily for the Fish RL.
Mets at Rockies: Colorado in a first game back after being in San Diego (nice weather) and it's supposed to be chilly, rainy, and wind blowing in hard in Colorado on Monday. Clearly the Mets should think this is summer after being in Minnesota on Sunday, and having a game "wintered out". Hence, they are also rested. Gee pitched well against the Padres but was simply hammered in Philadelphia his last start. Rockies really haven't seen enough of him to say one way or the other. Nicasio's first home start, and he's either walked the park or been hit when he does throw strikes in his first two games at Milwaukee and the Giants. The Mets have never seen Nicasio at all, so even though it's a tough spot for the Rockies, perhaps a first five inning bet. Doubt they're worth -135 against a rested team, and can't quite see 10.5 runs happening, given the weather.
San Diego at Dodgers: Los Angeles only averaging a little over three runs a game, and since the first homestand their bullpen has been simply awful. Only Billingsley's second start, and the first one was also against these Padres, a team that's done very little against him over the years. It is the Dodgers flying back from Arizona and playing the next night, which is always at least a yellow flag. Stults was lit up by the Dodgers in Petco last week, and inasmuch as I like to find a way to take the Padres, I probably can't. I suppose it's possible that we could consider the RL at -135, which I suspect might be more expensive later. Hard to say, but certainly not enough value at +115 for me to take the Dodgers RL either. If anything, I might wait til the total hits 7.5, if it does, and take the obligatory under in Dodger Stadium at night.
Tampa Bay at Boston: I won't touch this game, being played right before the Boston Marathon ends.