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Cnotes NFL Week # 5 Best Bets 10/9-10/10 !

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On 10/03/2011 07:59 PM in NFL
Week 5 Openers

October 3, 2011

Heading into the second week of October, very few lines released by the M Resort in July are significantly different than the ones put on the board on Sunday night by oddsmakers. Week 5 currently has four games in which the spread differential is three points or more from the original openers put out in the summer. Three of these contests are upper-tier matchups, including the two primetime games. We'll start with the Texans, who go for their third home win in three tries with Oakland coming to town.

Raiders at Texans - 1:00 PM EST

July opener: Houston -3
Sunday opener: Houston -7

The Texans received a scare in Sunday's 17-10 victory over the Steelers when star wideout Andre Johnson suffered a hamstring injury in the first half. Johnson is questionable for Sunday's matchup against the Raiders, as Houston looks to improve to 4-1 on the season. Oakland pulled off a nice upset over the Jets in Week 3, but was humbled by the Patriots in a Week 4 loss to drop to 2-2.

The expectations for the Texans with this early number is they would probably be 2-2 with losses to the Saints and Steelers, but Houston's offense churned the clock and kept Pittsburgh's offense on the sidelines for the most part on Sunday. The Raiders' first two opponents weren't expected to do much this season (Denver and Buffalo), as the 2-2 record is pretty much on line. Oakland and Houston have each been strong ATS teams with 3-1 ATS marks through four weeks.

Jets at Patriots - 4:15 PM EST

July opener: New England -5 ½
Sunday opener: New England -9

These two AFC East rivals meet up for the first time since the Jets knocked the Patriots out of the playoffs in a divisional round victory. New York received a reality check in Sunday night's blowout loss at Baltimore, its second consecutive setback. The Jets couldn't win in Oakland in Week 3, but the Patriots were able to conquer the Black Hole with a 31-19 triumph over the Raiders on Sunday.

New England split a pair of regular season meetings with New York each of the last two years, while the Patriots' defense looks to duplicate a terrific effort in a 45-3 pounding of the Jets in Foxboro last November. The two regular season contests the previous two years at Gillette Stadium have been decided by 17 and 42 points, but the playoff win in January by the Jets came as a nine-point 'dog, 28-21.

Packers at Falcons - 8:25 PM EST

July opener: Green Bay -1
Sunday opener: Green Bay -4

The team to beat through the first month of the season is the defending Super Bowl champion Packers, who have rolled to a 4-0 start. Green Bay's offense dominated Denver in a 49-23 rout as 12-point favorites, the 12th win in the last 13 games at Lambeau Field. The Pack hits the road for a rematch of the NFC Divisional Playoff rout of Atlanta this past January, 48-21. The Falcons return to the Georgia Dome after sneaking by the Seahawks in a 30-28 victory, but Atlanta failed to cover as six-point 'chalk.'

Mike Smith's team has endured a tough road, literally, in the first four weeks with three away contests already. The Falcons outlasted the Eagles in their only home game this season to improve to 21-5 SU in Smith's tenure at the Georgia Dome. However, this is the third meeting between these two clubs in Atlanta since last November with the Falcons knocking off the Packers, 20-17 as two-point favorites in the regular season.

Bears at Lions - 8:30 PM EST (Monday)

July opener: Detroit -1
Sunday opener: Detroit -6

The Lions are turning heads week in and week out after another impressive comeback win on the road. Detroit overcame a 27-3 deficit at Dallas, thanks to a pair of interception returns for touchdowns to spark the rally. The Lions improved to 4-0 for the first time since 1980, as Detroit welcomes in rival Chicago to Ford Field to close out Week 5.

The Bears failed to cover in a five-point home victory over the Panthers, but Chicago managed to sneak back to the .500 mark to remain two games behind Green Bay and Detroit in the NFC North. Chicago has beaten Detroit six straight times, while taking five of the previous six meetings at Ford Field. Those numbers don't seem as important with Detroit's rapid improvement on both sides of the ball, while the Lions are now 4-0 SU/ATS the last four times as a home favorite.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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10/03/2011 08:01 PM
Tennessee Titans Seek Revenge At Pittsburgh Steelers

Very few NFL insiders would have predicted the Tennessee Titans (3-1) entering this Week 5 matchup with a better record than the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2).

That’s exactly what has played out with both teams set to face off at Heinz Field at 1:00 p.m. (ET) on Sunday afternoon. The game will be televised on CBS.

Oddsmakers have yet to establish betting odds in this contest due to Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger suffering an apparent foot injury in Week 4's 17-10 loss to the Houston Texans as 4-point road underdogs. The two-time Super Bowl winning quarterback was seen leaving Reliant Stadium in a walking boot and is currently listed as questionable on the injury report.

He has been a man under siege behind an offensive line that included two new starters versus the Texans, getting sacked five times and chased out of the pocket on a regular basis.

Pittsburgh hasn’t been very good offensively this year, failing to go over the 24-point mark in all four contests. The Steelers rank 13th averaging 359.2 total yards a game, but are scoring just 16 points a game.

On the other side of the ball, the Steel City is putting up good defensive numbers overall, sitting just behind the Cincinnati Bengals for the top spot in terms of total yards allowed. It’s important to point out that the unit is allowing 119.5 rushing yards a game, almost double last year’s mark of 62.8, which was the third-lowest in the NFL since the 1970 campaign.

Bettors will find that the Steelers are 1-3 ATS in their last five meetings with AFC South opponents, while the ‘under’ is 3-1 in those contests.

Tennessee lost star wide receiver Kenny Britt to a season-ending knee injury last week, but that didn’t stop the team from posting a 31-13 win over the Cleveland Browns as one-point road underdogs. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck completed 10-of-20 passes for 220 yards and three touchdowns, continuing a strong start to the 2011 season, ranking fourth in the league with a 104.7 passer rating.

The Titans also benefited from running back Chris Johnson’s best performance through the first four games of the year, gaining 101 yards on 23 carries. He has still failed to reach the end zone after scoring a combined 25 rushing touchdowns the previous two years.

Tennessee will be seeking revenge from a 19-11 loss to Pittsburgh in last year’s meeting, failing to deliver as 6-point home favorites, while the game fell under the posted total of 36½.

Defensively, the team has carried over its strong play from the preseason when it allowed a league-low 10.5 points a game, holding all four regular-season opponents to 16 points or less. Over the last two-plus seasons, the Titans are 4-5 ATS in October and the ‘over’ is 7-2 in that particular situation.

Early weather forecasts suggest sunny skies and game-time temperatures in the mid-70s for this important AFC clash.
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10/03/2011 08:04 PM
Trending: The Power of the Bye (Oct. 9)

The NFL “open dates” start in Week 5 this season, and if you’ve been a regular visitor to StatFox.com in recent seasons, you probably count the days until we run our annual articles highlighting the top team trends for pre- and post-bye week games. Well, wait no more.
If you haven’t ever studied teams’ performances in and out of the bye week, what you’ll see here should open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of these powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of at least 65 percent or at most 35 percent.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (1-3)

at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (0-4)



OVER the total is 6-1-1 in Arizona’s last eight games heading into the team’s bye week. That high-scoring train kept rolling last year in the Cardinals’ 30-20 home victory over the defending Super Bowl Champion Saints in a game where the total was 45½.
Play On: OVER the Total.


SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (1-3)

at NEW YORK GIANTS (3-1)



HOME TEAMS have managed to win nine of the last 10 Seattle pre-bye week games, and those teams are 7-3 ATS over that span. The Seahawks’ pre-bye week game last season was in St. Louis. The Rams were a slight underdog at home, yet came away with a convincing 20-3 victory over their NFC West rival.
Play On: NEW YORK GIANTS (SU & ATS).


SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (3-1)

at DENVER BRONCOS (1-3)



OVER the total is 14-2 in San Diego’s last 16 games heading into the team’s bye week. Keeping that streak going last season was quite a challenge, being that the Over/Under was a whopping 50 points in the Chargers’ pre-bye week game at Houston. The 29-23 San Diego victory was just enough to eclipse the number.
Play On: OVER the Total.

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10/04/2011 10:40 PM
Bengals And Jaguars In Rookie QB Clash

Two rookie quarterbacks will duel this weekend in the National Football League when the Cincinnati Bengals (2-2) head to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars (1-3) at EverBank Field. This matchup out of the AFC will be on the early Sunday slate with kickoff set for 1:00 p.m. (ET).

Currently on the Don Best odds screen, the Jags are a 2½-point favorite with a total that opened at 35½ but has already moved up to 37.

Second-round pick Andy Dalton of the Bengals and top-10 pick Blaine Gabbert of the Jaguars will be at the forefront of the storylines, but defense is really the name of this game.

Through four weeks of football, Cincinnati has the league’s top ranked defense in terms of total yards, and is No. 6 by giving up just 18.5 points per game. Defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer is really getting a nice all-around team effort in 2011.

Cincy only has one interception on the year, but the Bengals have forced six fumbles, the third-most in the league.

Jacksonville was ranked highly on defense until running into the New Orleans Saints last week. As far as rankings go, the Jaguars are now in the middle of the pack, but rankings are not the whole story. With an anemic offense not doing them any favors, the ‘D’ has really given them the opportunity to win all four games.

For a couple of examples, rookie sensation Cam Newton has amassed passing yard totals of 422, 432, 158 and 374. The 158 was at home against the Jags. Also, last week against the Saints may have knocked down yardage rankings, but the 23 points New Orleans scored against Jacksonville is the Saints' lowest total this year. Drew Brees’ No. 2 ranked offense was held to just three field goals in the second half.

As far as each team is concerned, the offensive side of the ball is not as pretty.

The Bengals are No. 23 in both points scored and passing yards. However, Dalton has played pretty well especially for a rookie. He also may have grown up quickly before everyone’s eyes last week. After a dismal first half against the Buffalo Bills and down 17-3, the TCU product led his team to a 23-20 victory.

Running back Cedric Benson is also having a great season so far with 348 yards on the ground and averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Trouble is brewing for Benson, though, as he appears to have a three-game suspension looming.

It is currently unclear when that will take place. It could be this week which would be a big blow to the team.

Nothing takes the cake quite like the Jags’ offense. Get this; They are averaging 9.8 points per game, and it goes without saying that is the lowest in the NFL. The simple fact is the progression and maturation of Gabbert will directly influence whether the team wins or loses. He has the defense behind him, but to win games everyone around him on offense needs to elevate their game.

Maurice Jones-Drew is certainly not the problem as the star running back is still off to his best start to a season as a pro. MoJo’s 391 rushing yards is good for second in the entire NFL.

The ‘under’ really seems to make a lot of sense here, maybe too much sense. After all, there is no “sure thing” in the NFL.

The Bengals are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog while the Jags are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a favorite. Cincy has also experienced a lot of trouble covering on the road against the Jaguars, going 1-5-1 ATS in Jacksonville.

Very early weather reports call for a chance of thunderstorms with temperatures in the 70s.
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10/04/2011 10:41 PM
Bye Weeks Bring Twist To NFL Betting Slate

With the first month of the NFL season officially in the books, we move on to Week 5 where the card is cut down to 13 games as six teams take their bye weeks. Week 4 saw the favorites go 10-6 against the spread, while total betting split down the middle with eight games going ‘over’ and eight staying ‘under.’

As is the case with every NFL season, plenty of surprises have been revealed through the first few weeks. The Detroit Lions are undefeated, while preseason favorites such as the Atlanta Falcons (2-2), New York Jets (2-2), Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2) and Philadelphia Eagles (1-3) are off to disappointing starts.

Philadelphia is in need of a win Sunday when the Eagles visit the Buffalo Bills. The game starts at 1:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised on CBS.

Michael Vick stayed on the field last week against San Francisco, but the Eagles still lost as a big favorite at home for the second straight week. The defense has not been nearly as good as advertised, giving up 357.3 yards per game and 25.3 points per game (23rd in the NFL).

Buffalo came from behind to beat Oakland and New England to improve to 3-0 on the season, but Week 4 saw the Bills on the wrong end of a late comeback as Cincinnati stole the game away in the fourth quarter. Now back at home, Buffalo will try to keep its surprise-start to the season on track.

Philadelphia is a 3-point favorite for the matchup with a 49½-point total.

The Jets head to New England this week to take on the New England Patriots. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (ET) on CBS.

Rex Ryan's club has now lost two straight games by double digits, and looked completely out of sync on offense Sunday night against Baltimore, giving up three defensive touchdowns. New York fell to 1-3 ATS with the big loss.

New England is a tough team to try and get back on track against. The Patriots are averaging 33.8 points per game, and are 3-1 both SU and ATS. They bounced back from the Buffalo loss with a blowout win over Oakland last week.

New England is a big 9-point favorite at home with the total ranging from 49-50 points.

Sunday Night Football on NBC starts at 8:20 p.m. (ET) and features the undefeated Green Bay Packers going on the road to face the Atlanta Falcons.

The Packers have picked up where they left off last season, rolling over opponents on offense and shutting them down with a stingy defense. They easily covered as a 12-point favorite last week at home, beating the Broncos 49-23.

Atlanta will try to get over .500 for the first time this season, but also to get revenge for last season. The Packers came into Atlanta and beat the Falcons 48-21 to knock them out of the playoffs, a result Matt Ryan and the Falcons certainly haven’t forgotten.

Green Bay is a 5 ½-point favorite Sunday night in a game that currently features the week's highest betting total, 54.

Detroit will look to stay undefeated as a 6-point home favorite at home against the Chicago Bears Monday night, while the Minnesota Vikings (-2 ½ at home against the Arizona Cardinals) and Indianapolis Colts (-2 ½ at home against the Kansas City Chiefs) will both try to get their first wins of the season.

The Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, St. Louis Rams, Miami Dolphins, Washington Redskins and Baltimore Ravens are the teams taking the week off.
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10/04/2011 10:43 PM
Drew Brees And Saints At Cam Newton, Panthers

The New Orleans Saints (3-1) will look to make it three wins in a row when traveling to face the Carolina Panthers (1-3) in Week 5 of the 2011 NFL regular season. Sunday’s kickoff from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised on FOX.

Las Vegas oddsmakers sent out New Orleans as 6 ½-point road favorites, only to see the line drop by a full point within minutes before settling at six currently. The total has moved up a point from its opening number and sits at 52 ½.

The betting odds are not shocking to the market due to the Saints covering three consecutive games as favorites, including a 23-10 road win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees continues to be one of the best in the league, completing 33-of-44 passes for 351 yards and a touchdown, but also throwing two interceptions. He led the team to an astounding 503-274 total yards advantage.

Many bettors will be very eager to play the Saints due to covering as 5 ½-point road favorites with ease in last year’s meeting, coming away with a 34-3 win. Brees finished that contest with 253 yards, two touchdowns and an interception.

The difference in this meeting is many sharp bettors aren’t going to anticipate the Panthers being held to just 68 passing yards this time around, as rookie quarterback Cam Newton sits behind Sunday’s opposing quarterback in third place in the league with 1,386 yards.

Total bettors may find the move up in this matchup to be justified, as the ‘over’ is 21-10 in the Saints' last 31 games as a road favorite. It’s important to note that this series has fallen below the number in eight consecutive meetings.

Carolina may sit two games below .500 heading into this game, but the team is starting to draw fans in Vegas due to being just a point away from a perfect 4-0 ATS record. The Panthers have used a resurgent passing attack led by Newton to out-gain all four opponents this year, but the rushing attack was losing ground in the play calling until last week’s performance.

Running backs Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams helped lead the squad to a season-high 169 yards on 26 carries, while also averaging a staggering 6.5-yard average. If the youthful offense can continue to find a balance between the air and ground attacks, Carolina will prove to be difficult to defense from here on out.

None of it may matter if the defensive unit continues to rank 31st in the league against the run, allowing the Chicago Bears to rush for 224 yards on 31 carries in last Sunday’s 34-29 loss as seven-point road underdogs. New Orleans has the ability to pound the rock with a stable of running backs, ranking 10th in the league in gaining 119 rushing yards a game, while averaging 4.5 yards a carry.

From a betting perspective, the road team’s 20-8 ATS record in this series may be too much for the Panthers to overcome.

Weather forecasts suggest partly cloudy skies and game-time temperatures in the mid-70s in the Charlotte area Sunday.
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10/04/2011 10:44 PM
Oakland Raiders At Houston Texans Week 5 NFL Betting

The Houston Texans are coming off of one of the biggest wins in franchise history. However, they have a new test coming to Reliant Stadium in Week 5 NFL betting action, as the Oakland Raiders pay a visit to the Lone Star State.

Kickoff from Houston is slated for 1:00 p.m. (ET), and there will be regional television coverage on CBS.

Houston (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) really had a case of some good news and some bad news in last Sunday's win over the Steelers. The good news is that Arian Foster is back in the fold and looks completely healthy. He had 30 carries for 155 yards, and in there was the game-winning touchdown scamper in the fourth quarter after the Pittsburgh Steelers had erased a 10-0 deficit.

The bad news is that the best player in franchise history, Andre Johnson, spent the entire second half on the sidelines with a leg injury that might also keep him out of this one. Johnson is considered doubtful as of Tuesday, but head coach Gary Kubiak hasn't dismissed the idea that his perennial Pro Bowl receiver could be in the lineup against the Raiders.

In other injury news, neither Ben Tate nor Derrick Ward is expected to be able to give it a go, and if that's the case, it will only be Foster and rookie Chris Ogbonnaya available to tote the rock.

If Foster is able to carry the ball 20-25 times again this week, he will probably find a tremendous amount of success. The Raiders rank No. 29 in the league in rushing defense at 136.0 YPG.

Meanwhile, Oakland (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS) is in search of a big time road win against a playoff caliber team, and the Raiders will use their own rushing prowess to try and get the job done.

Darren McFadden ranks No. 1 in the NFL on the ground with 468 yards, but the back that is with him in the backfield, Michael Bush, is dealing with an ankle injury that could keep him out of the fold.

That could put some added pressure on Jason Campbell to stand in there and try to pick apart the Houston secondary. The former Auburn Tiger has thrown for 928 yards and four scores this year, but also has three INTs to his credit.

The good news for Campbell is that he should have a relatively full arsenal of receivers to work with. Denarius Moore, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Jacoby Ford and Derek Hagan should be available for the second straight week.

Oakland hasn't had much in the way of luck against the Texans. The Raifers are only 1-5 SU and ATS in the last six meetings, and are 0-2 SU and ATS at Reliant Stadium. Both of those losses resulted in double-digit victories for the hosts.

The good news for the Raiders though, is that they have covered five games in a row following a defeat, and they are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS defeat.

Meanwhile, Houston is 1-5 ATS the last six games following a win. The Texans are also 0-6 ATS the last six seasons in Week 5 games.

The Texans opened up as 7-point favorites on the Week 5 betting lines, but they have since dropped to -6. The total has been set at 49.

Temperatures are likely going to be too warm to keep the Reliant Stadium roof open, as highs are forecast in the upper-80s. There is also a 30 percent chance of rain.
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10/04/2011 10:46 PM
Struggling Seahawks Hit Road Against NY Giants

The New York Giants (3-1) begin a three-game homestand Sunday afternoon at MetLife Stadium against the struggling Seattle Seahawks (1-3).

Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. (ET), with the game being carried by FOX to the New York and Seattle areas.

This will be the Giants' third game against an NFC West opponent in the early going, with New York already defeating the Rams and Cardinals. The Seahawks won the NFC West last season with a 7-9 record and made the playoffs on the final night of the regular season with a victory over St. Louis.

New York pulled out a very frantic and unexpected victory last week in the desert against the Cardinals. The play that turned the game occurred on a long catch by Victor Cruz, in which he fell to the ground, dropped the ball and simply "gave himself up" to the defense according to referee Jerome Boger. The referees called Cruz down, even though no contact had taken place between Cruz and any defender. New York ended up winning the game 31-27 a few plays later.

The Giants opened up as an 11 ½-point favorite against Seattle, with the number now as low as 9 ½ at various pro football betting shops. The initial total of the game was 41 ½ and is now a half-point higher at 42.

The Seahawks have dropped their last six road games, and seven of their last eight away from home. Seattle has always had a ton of trouble coming up with victories outside CenturyLink Field where their “12th Man” gives them a big lift.

The last six meetings between the Seahawks and Giants have seen Seattle outgained through the air every single contest. I do not see that streak ending Sunday with Eli Manning (1066 passing yards) and Tavaris Jackson (846 passing yards) quarterbacking the two clubs.

Seattle and New York go into this game with plenty of big names listed on the injury report.

The Seahawks have four players who are questionable – CB Byron Maxwell (ankle), DB Kam Chancellor (quad), DE Anthony Hargrove (hamstring) and WR Mike Williams (concussion).

New York’s early injury report includes several key players, including defensive linemen Justin Tuck (groin) and Rocky Bernard (ribs) who are both questionable. Joining that pair on the same questionable status are WR Brandon Stokley (quad) and center David Bass (keck).

The good news is CB Prince Amukamara (foot) could be close to returning. Amukamara, an All-American at Nebraska, has yet to play this season after he fractured a metatarsal bone in his left foot during training camp.

The ‘over’ is 6-2 in the most recent eight matchups between the two clubs. Home teams are 9-1 SU in their last 10 meetings dating all the way back to 1986 and the Seahawks are 2-15 ATS as road underdogs in their last 17 games overall since 2009.

The Giants are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games versus a team with a losing road record.

Early weather reports show a beautiful sunny day for football in New York with temperatures reaching the upper-70s to low-80s during the contest.
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10/04/2011 10:56 PM
Inside the Numbers - Week 5

October 4, 2011

Sunday, Oct 9 (1:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Inside the Numbers


KC at IND

KC: 9-4 ATS L13 away underdog
KC: 7-2 ATS L9 away vs non-div
IND: 7-3 'under' L10 home
IND: 3-5 ATS L8 home vs non-div

ARZ at MIN

ARZ: 2-6 ATS L8 away underdog
ARZ: 6-2 ATS L8 off home loss
MIN: 1-4 ATS L5 vs ARZ
MIN: 1-6 ATS L7 home

Philly at BUFF

PHI: 6-3 ATS L9 away off home loss
PHI: 4-7 ATS L11 vs AFC
BUF: 3-6 ATS L9 vs NFC
BUF: 1-6 ATS L7 home off loss

Oak at Houston

OAK: 3-8 ATS L11 away vs non-div
OAK: 11-1 ATS L12 as 'dog off loss
HOU: 1-7 ATS L8 off win
HOU: 1-6 ATS L7 home vs non-div

NO at CAR

NOR: 4-8 ATS L12 vs division
NOR: 2-8 ATS L10 off away win
CAR: 7-3-2 'over' L12
CAR: 1-5 ATS L6 vs division

CIN at JAX

CIN: 4-2 ATS L6 away underdog
CIN: 4-1 ATS L5 off win
JAX: 3-11 ATS L14 home favorite
JAX: 2-5 ATS L7 home off loss

TEN at PITT

TEN: 4-7 ATS L11 away vs non-div
TEN: 3-8 ATS L11 off win
PIT: 5-2 ATS L7 home off loss
PIT: 7-3 ATS L10 home favorite

SEA at NYG

SEA: 2-15 ATS L17 away underdog
SEA: 3-7 ATS L10 off ATS win
NYG: 5-10 ATS L15 home favorite
NYG: 3-7 ATS L10 home vs non-div




Sunday, Oct 9 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
TAM at SFO

TAM: 8-0 ATS L8 away underdog
TAM: 5-0 ATS L5 off home win
SFO: 1-10-1 ATS L12 off ATS win
SFO: 10-5-2 ATS L17 home





Sunday, Oct 9 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
NYJ at NE

NYJ: 6-11 ATS L17 off loss
NYJ: 6-2 ATS L8 vs division
NEP: 7-4 ATS L11 home off win
NEP: 13-1 'over' L14

SDG at DEN

SDG: 2-4 ATS L6 away off win
SDG: 2-6 ATS L8 away favorite
DEN: 2-9 ATS L11 off road loss
DEN: 7-18-1 ATS L26 home





Sunday, Oct 2 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
GB at ATL

GBP: 13-8 ATS L21 away favorite
GBP: 3-5 ATS L8 off home win
ATL: 10-2 ATS L12 off ATS loss
ATL: 10-4 'over' L14





Monday, Oct 10 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
CHI at DET

CHI: 5-10-1 ATS L16 as away underdog
CHI: 3-6 ATS L9 vs DET
DET: 8-1 ATS L9
DET: 5-2 ATS L7 vs division






Inside the Numbers - Week 5

October 4, 2011

Sunday, Oct 9 (1:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Inside the Numbers


KC at IND

KC: 9-4 ATS L13 away underdog
KC: 7-2 ATS L9 away vs non-div
IND: 7-3 'under' L10 home
IND: 3-5 ATS L8 home vs non-div

ARZ at MIN

ARZ: 2-6 ATS L8 away underdog
ARZ: 6-2 ATS L8 off home loss
MIN: 1-4 ATS L5 vs ARZ
MIN: 1-6 ATS L7 home

Philly at BUFF

PHI: 6-3 ATS L9 away off home loss
PHI: 4-7 ATS L11 vs AFC
BUF: 3-6 ATS L9 vs NFC
BUF: 1-6 ATS L7 home off loss

Oak at Houston

OAK: 3-8 ATS L11 away vs non-div
OAK: 11-1 ATS L12 as 'dog off loss
HOU: 1-7 ATS L8 off win
HOU: 1-6 ATS L7 home vs non-div

NO at CAR

NOR: 4-8 ATS L12 vs division
NOR: 2-8 ATS L10 off away win
CAR: 7-3-2 'over' L12
CAR: 1-5 ATS L6 vs division

CIN at JAX

CIN: 4-2 ATS L6 away underdog
CIN: 4-1 ATS L5 off win
JAX: 3-11 ATS L14 home favorite
JAX: 2-5 ATS L7 home off loss

TEN at PITT

TEN: 4-7 ATS L11 away vs non-div
TEN: 3-8 ATS L11 off win
PIT: 5-2 ATS L7 home off loss
PIT: 7-3 ATS L10 home favorite

SEA at NYG

SEA: 2-15 ATS L17 away underdog
SEA: 3-7 ATS L10 off ATS win
NYG: 5-10 ATS L15 home favorite
NYG: 3-7 ATS L10 home vs non-div




Sunday, Oct 9 (4:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
TAM at SFO

TAM: 8-0 ATS L8 away underdog
TAM: 5-0 ATS L5 off home win
SFO: 1-10-1 ATS L12 off ATS win
SFO: 10-5-2 ATS L17 home





Sunday, Oct 9 (4:15 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
NYJ at NE

NYJ: 6-11 ATS L17 off loss
NYJ: 6-2 ATS L8 vs division
NEP: 7-4 ATS L11 home off win
NEP: 13-1 'over' L14

SDG at DEN

SDG: 2-4 ATS L6 away off win
SDG: 2-6 ATS L8 away favorite
DEN: 2-9 ATS L11 off road loss
DEN: 7-18-1 ATS L26 home





Sunday, Oct 2 (8:25 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
GB at ATL

GBP: 13-8 ATS L21 away favorite
GBP: 3-5 ATS L8 off home win
ATL: 10-2 ATS L12 off ATS loss
ATL: 10-4 'over' L14





Monday, Oct 10 (8:35 p.m. ET)
Matchup Inside the Numbers
CHI at DET

CHI: 5-10-1 ATS L16 as away underdog
CHI: 3-6 ATS L9 vs DET
DET: 8-1 ATS L9
DET: 5-2 ATS L7 vs division










Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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10/04/2011 10:58 PM
NFL Notebook - Week 5

October 4, 2011

Just Green Bay and Detroit remain unbeaten through four games.
The defending Super Bowl champion Packers' offense is even better than last season with Aaron Rodgers still improving, Jermichael Finley and Ryan Grant healthy and Randall Cobb boosting the return game.

The Packers are on pace to score 592 points and Rodgers is on track to throw for 5,300 yards. Both marks would be single-season NFL records.

Certainly the Packers are for real. But what about the Lions? Just how good are they?

The Lions pulled off an overtime road victory against Minnesota two weeks ago after trailing by 20 points and then came from a staggering 24 points down in the third quarter to beat the Cowboys in Dallas. Minus those two improbable comebacks, Detroit would be an improved 2-2, but not worth being mentioned in the same breath as the mighty Packers.

Note, the Lions and Packers don't tangle until Thanksgiving Day on Nov. 24. They've never met that late in the season during a non-strike year.

It's the Lions who are the hottest team with eight straight victories. If you count preseason, the Lions have won 12 in a row. Are the Lions really this good?

Yes and no.

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Yes in the sense that wide receiver Calvin Johnson is the best in the game. Even Dallas defensive coordinator Rob Ryan should admit that now. Before Johnson burned the Cowboys for two touchdowns, Ryan ridiculously stated that Johnson wasn't as good as Dallas' two top wideouts, Dez Bryant and Miles Austin.

Yes in that Matthew Stafford is a major talent capable of making all the throws. When healthy he rates among the top seven quarterbacks and he's healthy now.

Yes, in that the Lions' defensive line could be the best in the league sparked by dominant tackle Ndamukong Suh.

Detroit last went 4-0 in 1980. The Lions didn't make the playoffs that year.

The Lions aren't a fluke this year. Matt Millen is far in the rear view mirror. Improvement has occurred each of the last two years as Jim Schwartz has upgraded the talent while providing solid coaching and leadership, something the Lions have consistently lacked since the 1950s.

But let's not get carried away. The Lions aren't nearly a complete enough team to be considered among the elite teams yet. Stafford has never lasted an entire season and Jahvid Best, by far the Lions' top runner, also has proven injury prone.

The Lions' offensive line is average-to-below average. The linebacking isn't anything special although Stephen Tulloch is a tackles machine and their secondary has gone from terrible to semi-respectable. Depth is a problem at linebacker.

It's easy to overlook these mediocre areas right now in the glow of the Lions' 4-0 mark and upcoming Monday night home game against the Bears. The spotlight and center stage clearly is on the Lions now. They are favored against the Bears for the first time since 2005.

This is the Lions' time now. Keep in mind, though, that they have tough matchups in five of their final six games hosting Green Bay on Thanksgiving followed by a road game against New Orleans, a home game versus Minnesota then at Oakland followed by a home matchup against San Diego and then a regular-season finale at Green Bay.

So don't anoint a playoff spot yet for the Lions.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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