cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/05/2011 07:17 PM

Tech Trends - Week 6

October 5, 2011

Thursday, Oct. 6

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

CAL at OREGON...Tedford has covered 4 of last 5 vs. former employer. But Cal just 1-8 vs. line last 9 away from Berkeley, and Tedford just 5-10 as dog since '05. Ducks 9-3 vs. line last 12 at home vs. FBS foes. Oregon, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE...MTSU just 2-6 vs. spread last 8 at Murfreesboro, although Stockstill 11-7 last 18 as chalk. Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.




Friday, Oct. 7
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

BOISE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Boise has owned Fresno lately, winning and covering last five and 8 of last 9 meetings. Avg. score 54-15 last three meetings! Broncos have covered 10 of last 11 away from blue carpet. FSU 6-22 last 28 vs. line at Dog House. Boise, based on team trends.




Saturday, Oct. 8

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...This series has swung back and forth since Stoops and Mack began hooking up in '99. Era of Stoops and five straight covers between 2000-04 turned into Horns on 4-0-1 unbeaten spread run 2005-09 before OU won and covered again LY. Stoops has now covered four straight as chalk away from home after dropping 7 of previous nine in role. Slight to OU, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at INDIANA...Home team has won and covered last 3 and 7 of last 9 meetings. Hoosiers 6-2 vs. spread last 8 at Bloomington. Zook, however, has covered 8 of last 10 away from Champaign-Urbana. Slight to Indiana, based on series home trends.

VANDERBILT at ALABAMA...Dores haven't beaten Tide since '84 when George McIntyre's Vandy team beat Ray Perkins' Bama by a 23-14 score. Dores now 0-5 their last five as road dog after solid mark previously in role (18-4 previous 22). Nick on 21-10 spread run since '09, 31-15 last 46 on board since late '07. Nick also 9-2 last 11 laying 20 or more. Bama, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at CLEMSON...Spaziani on 6-15 spread slide since late '09. Dabo 3-0 as home chalk TY, but only 1-4-1 last 6 laying DD at Death Valley. Clemson, based on team trends.

UCONN at WEST VIRGINIA...UConn finally scored first SU win over WVU LY, although Huskies now have two straight covers in series. WVU has won and covered previous five meetings. UConn just 2-4 last 6 as road dog after 6-0 mark prior. Slight to WVU, based on team trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at UAB...Blazers just 2-5 vs. line last 7 at home and 2-6 vs. number last 8 on board overall since late LY. MSU no covers last 4 TY and Dan Mullen only 14-15 vs. line with MSU, although they are 4-0 vs. line against non-SEC teams away from home. MSU, based on team trends.

IOWA at PENN STATE...Shades no covers first five TY and last seven overall since late 2010. Iowa has won and covered last three years in series. Ferentz 10-5 last 15 vs. line away from Iowa City (though 2-5 last 7). Iowa, based on team trends.

PITT at RUTGERS...Road team had covered four straight in series prior to Pitt's 41-21 home in LY. Panthers 7-3-2 vs. line away from home dating to Wannstedt years and early '09. Rutgers has covered last four TY. Slight to Pitt, based on team trends.

MINNESOTA at PURDUE...Purdue won and covered LY, breaking 2-game losing streak to Gophers. Boilermakers, however, are 1-8 their last 9 as Ross-Ade chalk. Minnesota 5-2 vs. line last seven on road. Minnesota, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at NORTH CAROLINA...Cards 6-1 vs. line away from home for Charlie Strong. Louisville, based on Cards' road trends.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NC STATE...Chips now 3-10 last 13 vs. spread. Note that Tom O'Brien did enter this season 24-11 vs. line since '08. But Wolfpack no covers first two as DD chalk this year. Slight to NCS, based on extended trends.

MEMPHIS at RICE...Memphis 2-15 SU and 7-10 vs. line since Larry Porter arrived LY. Tigers haven't faced Rice since 2008. Owls have covered five straight at home since early 2010. Rice, based on team trends.

ARMY at MIAMI-OHIO...Army has been routed in two trips to MAC sites this season. West Point reverting back to previous home-road form after inside-out pattern the past two years for Ellerson; this year the home team has covered in first five Black Knights games. Miami-O, however, notoriously poor home chalk (0-1 TY, no covers last nine in role). Army, based on team trends.

BOWLING GREEN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...BGSU 15-6 in road dog role since '07. Broncs, however, have covered six straight since late 2010, including 41-7 win over Falcs late LY. BGSU ready for Waldo adventure. Slight to WMU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at BALL STATE...Temple 15-7 vs. line away since '08. Cards won at home vs. Army but still just 2-12 last 14 on board at Muncie. Temple, based on team trends.

ARIZONA STATE at UTAH...First conference meeting between these two since the days of the old WAC in 1977. Sun Devils 9-2 vs. number last 11 away from Tempe. Utes no covers last four in Salt Lake City. ASU, based on team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at BYU...Cougs just 5-10 vs. number last 15 as Provo chalk. SJSU has covered last four TY. SJSU, based on team trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO...EMU quietly covering some games on road, now four straight and five of last six away from Ypsilanti. Although Eagles have been brutalized the last four years vs. Toledo, which has won and covered all handily. Rockets 4-1 last 5 as Glass Bowl chalk. Toledo, based on series trends.

OHIO at BUFFALO...Solich 4-2 SU and vs. spread against Bulls. Solich also 7-2 last 9 vs. points as MAC visitor. Buffalo no covers last 7 as MAC host. Solich, based on team trends.

KENT STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Tough sledding for Hazell, 1-4 vs. line for Flashes. Kent 3-6 as DD road dog since '07, and only 6-13-1 last 20 on board since late '09. NIU no covers last four this season. NIU, based on team trends.

AUBURN at ARKANSAS...Hogs had won and covered two straight vs. Tigers prior to 65-43 loss to Cam LY. Petrino has covered 7 of last 8 as host. Arkansas, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at GEORGIA TECH...Jackets running wild with wins in first five TY (4-1 vs. line). Teams haven't met since '07, when Chan was still coaching GT. Maryland 1-3 vs. line for Edsall TY, and note Edsall was only 12-15 as road dog at UConn from 2005-10. GT, based on team trends.

COLORADO at STANFORD...Tree on 12-game SU and 7-game cover streak. Stanford has also covered its last five as DD chalk. Buffs no covers last seven as true visitor. Stanford, based on team trends.

GEORGIA at TENNESSEE...These two have taken turns whomping one another the past two years. Georgia's 41-14 rout LY was also first Dawg cover vs. UT after Vols had covered previous four. Richt just 2-7 vs. line last nine away from Athens. UT 7-2 vs. line last 9 vs. FBS foes since mid '2010. Tennessee, based on team and extended series trends.

MIAMI-FLORIDA at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer dominating this series lately, 7-1 SU and vs. line last eight meetings, and 9-1 last 10 vs. spread against Canes. Al not-so-Golden thus far with Miami, 1-3 vs. line . Beamer, based on series trends.

AIR FORCE at NOTRE DAME...Teams haven't met since 2007 when Falcs won 41-24 at South Bend over Charlie Weis' worst team. Brian Kelly now 2-4-3 vs. line at South Bend. AFA, based on team trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at NAVY...Mids 3-1 vs. line TY and have covered their last three as chalk. USM only 4-6 vs. spread its last 10 away from home. Navy, based on team trends.

UNLV at NEVADA...Fremont Cannon! Wolf Pack has won last six Fremont Cannon battles and has covered five of those, including last three at Mackay Stadium. Rebs 2-13 vs. line last 15 on road. Chris Ault 21-7 vs. line as Reno chalk since returning to Wolf Pack sidelines in 2004. Nevada, based on team and series trends.

MARSHALL at UCF...UCF has won last six SU vs. Herd and covered 6 of last 7 meetings. O'Leary 9-2 vs. line last 11 as host and 22-8 last 30 on board overall (though 0-2 last 2). Herd only 1-6 vs. points last 7 as visitor. UCF, based on team and series trends.

LA TECH at IDAHO...La Tech has covered last four meetings. Vandals no covers last 8 vs. WAC foes at Kibbie Dome. La Tech, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA at OREGON STATE...Mike Stoops has lost last 9 SU vs. FBS foes, 2-7 vs. line in those games. But Beavs on 1-5, and 2-7 last 9, spread slide. Arizona, based on OSU negatives.

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE...Gundy 13-4 vs. line since LY and 4-1 last 5 laying DD. Cowboys routed Turner Gill 48-14 LY. KU boat-raced at GT and now 2-8 vs. line last 10 as visitor. OSU, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN...Wolverines looking to break 0-11 spread run on Big Ten road that extends back early 2008 and Rich-Rod first season. First meeting vs. NU since late 2008 . Pat Fitzgerald just 6-11 vs. line since 2010 and just 2-3 last 5 as home dog, although he's 19-11 last 30 as dog. Slight to NU, based on extended trends.

EAST CAROLINA at HOUSTON...Cougs 7-4-1 vs. line last 11 at home (2-0 TY), and 5-1-1 last 7 laying DD at Robertson Stadium. Slight to UH, based on team trends.

IOWA STATE at BAYLOR...Paul Rhoads only 9-9 as dog at ISU since 2009. Bears 13-7 in chalk role since 2005 and Guy Morriss years. Slight to Baylor, based on recent chalk mark.

KENTUCKY at SOUTH CAROLINA...Revenge for Spurrier in what was Joker's best UK win by 31-28 count LY. Joker on 2-9 spread slide since mid 2010, and Cats have dropped 6 of last 7 vs. line away. SC, based on team trends.

FLORIDA STATE at WAKE FOREST...Noles have won and covered handily the last two vs. Wake after Deacs had won previous three and covered previous five in series. Grobe 11-5 last 16 as Winston-Salem dog. Wake, based on team trends.

TEXAS A&M at TEXAS TECH...A&M has won last two and covered last three in series. Ags have covered 7 of last 8 as Big XII visitor. A&M, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at KANSAS STATE...Mizzou on 5-game series win streak but visiting team has covered last three meetings. If Bill Snyder a dog note 10-5 mark in role since returning to KSU sidelines in 2009. KSU, based on Bill Snyder marks.

SYRACUSE at TULANE...Wave more like the undertow at Superdome, where Bob Toledo 3-15 vs. spread last 18 on board (0-2 TY). Syracuse, based on Tulane home woes.

WYOMING at UTAH STATE...Hard-luck team of year USU could easily be 4-0 SU instead of 1-3 right now. But Utags only 2-7 last 9 vs. line at Logan. Dave Christensen 10-2 as road dog at Wyo since 2009. Wyo, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at LSU...Gators 19-8 vs. spread last 27 away from Swamp. Gators had covered five straight in series prior to that 33-29 Tiger thriller LY. The Hat is only 9-22 vs. line last 31 at Baton Rouge. Florida, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE at NEBRASKA...Tend to downplay the past excellent Tressel numbers especially on road where his teams were 25-9-1 vs. line last 35 entering this season, but laid an egg at Miami. Huskers, however, failed to cover first three at Lincoln TY and are just 13-20 vs. line at home since '07. Slight to OSU, based on team trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at UCLA...Cougs 8-2 vs. line last 10 in series and Paul Wulff has covered 5 of last 7 on road. Slick Rick was 7-2 as chalk at UCLA, departure from poor numbers in role at previous career stops, before non-cover against SJSU. UCLA only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 at Rose Bowl. WSU, based on team trends.

TCU at SAN DIEGO STATE...TCU only 14-14 vs. line away since 2007, however. Aztecs 7-2 vs. line at home since LY. Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.




Added Games

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at AKRON...FIU has won and covered last four and five of last six away from home. Zips now 9-21-1 last 31 vs. spread since late '08. FIU, based on team trends.

TROY at UL-LAFAYETTE...ULL got the cover LY after Troy had covered previous five meetings. Ragin' Cajuns now on 7-3 spread uptick since late 2010, although they're only 1-6 vs. line last 7 at Cajun Field. Troy, based on series and team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at UL-MONROE...ULM had covered five straight in series prior to 34-20 loss at ASU LY. Red Wolves 4-1 vs. line TY. Slight to ASU, based on recent trends.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at NORTH TEXAS...UNT on a 3-game cover streak for Dan McCarney. Howard 3-11 vs. line last 14 on board and 2-5 vs. spread last seven as Sun Belt visitor.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/05/2011 07:20 PM

News & Notes - Week 6

October 5, 2011

Week 6

Toledo was without starting RB Adonis Thomas but Morgan Williams rushed for 130 yards. TOL drove 10/3pl for a TD after a fumbled punt and 2 pt conv to go up 8-3. After an int the Rockets went 41/5pl for a TD, 15-3. They were up 22-13 at the half and despite being outFD'd 17-12 and outgained 318-305, they rolled to three 2H TD drives in a 36-13 win on the road...

Michigan had their most lopsided win since beating Indiana 58-0 in 2000. MarQueis Gray, the QB for Minnesota DNP and true frosh Max Shortell (1st start) hit 11-22-104 and had -16 yards rushing on 4 carries. In the 1H Mich had a 384-69 yd edge and the Gophers' first snap in Mich terr didn't happen until there was less than 1:00 left in the 3Q. Mich won The Little Brown Jug leading 38-0 at the half scoring on all six 1H poss...

Penn State let Indiana hang around blowing some scoring opportunities and IU had the ball down by 6 at the end. PSU finished with a 464-256 yd edge and once again Matt McGloin moved the team the best with Rob Bolden hitting 6-14-67 and McGloin 10-22-204. PSU had a TD called back on a hold an on 2&gl from the 15 and then had a pass tipped and int'd near the goal line. PSU later would go on a 66/12pl drive but from the 5 yd line settled for a 22 yd FG and despite a 242-105 yd edge at the half, the game was tied at 3. PSU settled for a 27 yd FG then went on a 12pl drive and fmbl'd at the IU2. PSU got a 74 yd TD pass from McGloin to Moye for some breathing room, 13-3 after 3Q's and drove 64/13pl and settled for a 32 yd FG, 16-3. IU converted on 4th down on a 77/14pl drive for a TD with 3:51 left and got the ball back with 2:06 left getting to the PSU40 with :02 left but their pass fell incomplete...

Kansas shockingly jumped out to a 20-0 lead vs Texas Tech with 191 yards and 3 TD's on their first 15 plays. Texas Tech survived that punch in the stomach and rolled to a 45-27 lead after 3Q's and finished with a 530-478 yd edge. KU got a TD with 3:30 left to close it to 45-34 but TT rec'd the onside kick and got to the KU11 with 2 FD's taking a knee. In the 1H Cincinnati had a 3-0 TO deficit and only led 6-0. In the 2H MU missed a 34 yd FG and UC got a 72 yd pass setting up a TD. Later they drove 80/12pl for a TD to lead 20-0 and then when a snap went over MU's P's head, UC fell on it for a TD to make it 27-0. UC was int'd in the EZ twice in the game and had a 398-264 yd edge...

For the 2nd straight week Syracuse's game came down to a replay at the end. In the 2nd OT SU fumbled. The replay appeared to show the RB was down but another showed the ball came out so it was inconclusive and SU's fumble which was ruled rec'd by Rutgers, ended the game. Rutgers had missed a chance to win the game in regulation missing a 44 yd FG. At the half, RU had 13-2 FD and 187-88 yd edges yet trailed 7-3 as SU had a 65 yd FR TD. RU had a 23-13 FD edge but only a 302-295 yd edge...

Montel Harris returned to Boston College's lineup and rushed for 108 yards becoming the school's all-time leading rusher topping Derrick Knight (2003). Still, Wake Forest finished with a 392-336 yd edge and never trailed. They scored a TD on their opening poss and led 17-9 at the half. Harris fumbled at the WF10 trailing 26-9 and BC was int'd at the 2 with 4:59 left in the 3Q. BC got a TD with 13:05 left and settled for a 32 yd FG with 6:00 left to pull within 24-19. WF got a 22 yd FG with 2:59 left and BC on 4&4 at the WF45 was SOD with 1:43 left...

Illinois is 5-0 for the first time since 1951...

Georgia dominated Mississippi State more than the final score as they had 20-13 FD and 315-213 yd edges. Isaiah Crowell topped 100 yards rushing for the 3rd time in 3 SEC games. MSU's only score came on a 72 yd IR TD with 9:10 left in the 4Q as UGA was looking to add to a 24-3 lead. UGA was int'd at the MSU20 but still led 21-3 at the half. UGA had a bad snap on a 22 yd FG and was tkl'd for a 12 yd loss, settled for a 27 yd FG, was int'd at the MSU29 and missed a 47 yd FG in their 14 pt win...

Michigan State entered the game vs Ohio State #1 in the country in total D (172 ypg) and finished with a 321-178 yd edge. In fact, OSU's only score came with :10 left in the game with Joe Bauserman at QB. Braxton Miller hit 5-10-56. MSU ended a 7 game losing skid to the Buckeyes. The Spartans scored a TD on their 2nd poss on a 65/6pl drive for a 7-0 lead which they never relinquished. OSU was int'd at the MSU6 but MSU had a 170-87 yd edge at the half. MSU had a 3rd & gl at the 6 and was int'd in the EZ early 4Q but with the score 10-0 OSU punted with 8:52 left, punted on 4&13 from its own 4 with 5:31 left, was SOD on 4&10 at the MSU43 with 3:06 left then took over with 1:51 left and went 62/6pl for a TD with :10 left in the 10-7 final...

Virginia blew numerous opportunities in the 1H. They had 496-296 yd and 27-12 FD edges for the game but they let Idaho stay in the game and almost lost. In the 1H UVA went on consecutive drives of 67 and 73 yds for TD's to lead 14-0. UVA was int'd at the UI20, fmbl'd at the UI43 and fmbl'd at their own 26 and despite a 277-147 yd edge, only led 14-6 at the half. At the end of the half, UVA's QB Rocco took off on a run and was tkl'd at the 10 but they ran out of time. UVA had a 41 yd FG blk'd, missed a 36 yd FG and IU blk'd a punt for a TD with 3:11 left and the 2 pt conv tied it. In OT each team scored a TD but UI went for 2 and their pass was incomplete...

QB Teddy Bridgewater made his first start for Louisville and had a couple of key int's in the 2H. In the 1H Bridgewater hit a 41 yd TD pass with :33 left in the half to give UL a 13-7 lead and the Cards had a 167-130 yd edge. Marshall went on an 85/13pl drive but had a 19 yd FG blk'd. UL went on a 9pl drive and missed a 47 yd FG. Marshall went on a 62/7pl drive settling for a 24 yd FG and only trailed 13-10. UL was int'd at their own 30 with 4:32 left and MU went 30/5pl for a TD with 1:49 left for the lead. UL got to the MU45 but Bridgewater was int'd at the 37 and MU got 1 FD and took a knee for the upset...

The talk all week was how Baylor QB Robert Griffin had thrown more TD passes than incompletions. Well, he had 3 TD passes and 8 incompletions vs Kansas State and his first int of the year. KSU trailed 35-26 in the 4Q but he threw an int on the 2nd last drive of the game and his 4th & 2 pass fell incomplete at the end and KSU got the home win, 36-35 to move to 4-0. Baylor actually came in ranked #15 in the country and were an away favorite for the first time since last year in Wk4...

West Virginia was off a loss and their O-line opened up some big holes. Dustin Garrison rushed for 233 yards at the half and 291 for the game. WV finished with 643-217 yd and 30-14 FD edges. WV led 38-10 at the half and scored TD's on their first 3 poss of the 2H to lead 55-10 in the rout over Bowling Green...

Auburn had 358-289 yd and 22-13 FD edges vs South Carolina who was playing with double revenge. Stephen Garcia tossed a couple more int's hitting just 9-23 passes. AU took over with 5:27 left trailing 13-9 and went 57/12pl. They got a 9 yd TD pass to Philip Lutzenkirchen with 1:38 left and then SC got to the AU30 and thought they had :01 left but ran out of time...

Northwestern got Dan Persa back in the lineup and appeared headed for an upset of Illinois. They led 28-10 midway thru the 3Q. Persa hit 10-14-123 but threw for 4 TD's. Illinois went 74 and 58 yards for TD's to get back within 28-23 and Persa was injured. Illinois took the lead 31-28 but fumbled at their own 36 and Northwestern got a TD with 1:15 left to appear to pull out the win. IL went 69/7pl and with just :13 left Scheelhaase's 1 yd TD run gave IL the come from behind win...

Florida International had a 568-384 yd edge vs Duke. It was tied at 17 at the half when FIU got a FG and a TD to lead 27-17 with 13:30 left. Duke got a TD with 11:56 left to pull within 3 then Panthers QB Carroll on 2&8 had the ball slip out of his hands and Duke rec'd at the 9. Duke got a 9 yd TD run by Thompson with 6:52 left on the next play to take a 31-27 lead. FIU got to the Duke12 but on 4&10 fired incomplete in the EZ with 2:29 left...

Louisiana Tech-Hawaii was blown open in the middle of the 3Q as UH got 2 defensive TD's in a :04 span. Leading 20-13, UH went 65/10pl getting a TD with 9:29 left in the 3Q to lead 27-13. LT got to midfield but was int'd and ret'd 49 yards for a TD. LT then fmbl'd the KO and UH ret'd it 12 yards for a TD and it was 41-13. UH finished with a 494-368 yd edge...

It was Turnovers=Turnaround for Utah which came in +9 in TO's but were -4 in TO's. Washington led 17-7 when Utah QB Jordan Wynn came out with injury. Backup QB Hays' first pass was int'd and UW went 52/4pl for a TD. The Huskies led 31-7 and on 4&21 just ran the ball for 3 yards with 2:29 left. Utah would go 62/10pl and got a garbage TD with :07 left as another outright winner for our Underdog Play of the Week...

Texas delivered a dominating win leading 34-0 at the half and gave up two 4Q TD's. The Longhorns have now won 2 straight on the road vs teams that beat them in Austin last year. It was billed as one of the biggest HG's in recent memory for Iowa St but Texas dominated and Iowa State had 86 and 63 yd drives for TD's in the 4Q to make the stats a bit misleading as they show UT only had a 400-380 yd edge and ISU had a 26-19 FD edge. TO's were a factor but the bottom line is UT got its revenge...

Ohio did have a commanding 391-217 yd edge vs Kent State and 22-14 FD edge. They survived a blk'd FG and a blk'd punt in the 1H and KSU's only TD came on a 21 yd drive for a TD after recovering a fumble. OU led 10-7 at the half but had a 220-80 yd edge. OU extended it to 17-7. KSU got a 31 yd FG with 5:42 left to pull within 7 and OU punted 34 yds to the 1 with 2:00 left and KSU was SOD at their own 8...

Western Kentucky nearly ended the nation's longest home losing streak which was 18. They did lead 14-10 but Arkansas State rallied for a 19-14 lead with 11:12 left. WKU got a 42 yd TD pass with 10:03 left to go up 22-19 and ASU missed the game tying FG from 44 yards with 5:51 left. WKU got 2 FD's and then went for the win on 4&1 at the ASU32 and were SOD with 2:39 left. ASU went 66/9pl and got a TD with :36 left and escaped...

Western Michigan was up 14-0 in the 2Q and UConn did not cross midfield until 6:00 remained in the 2Q on a 60 yd run. WM led 17-7 at the half. WM fumbled on consec poss and Conn took its first lead with 12:40 left on a TD. The score was 17-17 after 3Q's. The two teams combined for 35 points in the 4Q. WM retook the lead, 31-24 with 5:53 left but UC on 4&5 got a 26 yd TD pass to tie. WM got a 41 yd TD pass where the WR grabbed the ball over the DB's head for a TD with 1:35 left and UC threw a deep pass but fmbl'd at the WM13 with :45 left...

TCU's 22 game home streak was snapped and SMU actually led throughout the game blowing a 16 point 4Q lead but won it in OT. SMU had a 461-454 yd edge. TCU dropped out of the AP Top 25 for the first time in 46 weeks...

Trent Richardson took another positive step towards the Heisman with 181 YDS rushing (incl 2 TD's) and another 27 yards rec. Alabama has outscored Florida 101-29 in their 3 meetings. UF actually got a 65 yd TD pass on their first offensive play and the game was tied at 10 after 1Q but Bama led 24-10 at the half. UF QB Brantley was inj'd in the final seconds of the 1H and missed the 2H but Bama finished with 21-9 FD and 366-222 yd edges in the 38-10 win.

Washington State had a 455-336 yd edge vs Colorado and 28-20 FD edge. The Cougars were int'd at the CU28, SOD at the CU44 and trailed 13-10 at the half despite a 220-122 yd edge. CU led 20-17 when they got the apparent game clinching TD with 5:11 left, 27-17 but WSU got a TD 7pl later with 2:35 left with all 3 timeouts left, they kicked off deep and forced a punt with 2:03 left and got a 63 yd TD pass with 1:10 left for the lead. CU got a 24 yd pass but Richardson fumbled at the end at the WSU38...

Southern Mississippi was even more dominant than the 48-24 score but surprisingly they trailed 24-20 mid3Q. SM had a 654-229 yd edge and 33-15 FD edge for the game. Rice scored when SM fmbl'd the KO and Rice ret'd it 17 yds for a TD, 14-13. SM got a 75 yd FR TD in the 2Q and led 20-17 at the half. SM went on a 76/10pl drive and on 4&1 at the Rice4 they fumbled and Rice ret'd it 96 yds for a TD and stunningly led 24-20. SM was int'd on their next drive but scored TD's on drives of 44, 75 and 63 yds on their next 3 poss to lead 41-24. Rice had a 4&gl at the 6 but they were SOD with 10:20 left and 2 poss later SM went 94/7pl and got a 23 yd TD pass with 3:13 left.

D´EJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN

Texas A&M had another dominating 1H leading 35-17 with a 404-271 yd edge. Once again they had another poor 2H and Arkansas would rally for the win. The Hogs got a TD with 1:41 left to take their first lead of the game, 42-38 and A&M on 4&2 from their own 39 was SOD. Tyler Wilson threw for a school record 510 yards. A&M Christine Michael ran for 230 yards and 3 TD's and A&M which is joining the SEC fell to 0-6 vs the SEC since 1996. WR Wright broke the school receiving record at 204 yards by half and finished with 281 on 13 catches. A&M had 628-581 yd and 30-28 FD edges.

FRONTDOOR AND BACKDOOR COVERS

Jordan Jefferson's susp was lifted and he was called on for a 4th & gl at the 1 QB sneak and a TD early vs Kentucky. Morgan Newton missed on his first 9 throws hitting 2-11 passes in the 1H and was sacked 3 times. LSU had a 201-45 yard edge at the half and took a 35-0 lead with 10:39 left in the game. Kentucky would go 70/12pl getting a TD with 4:22 left for the backdoor cover and did end the game at the LSU28. The game started at 11:21 am and everyone knows LSU is not as ferocious during the day at Tiger Stadium...

Matt Barkley passed for a school record 468 yards and 4 TD's. Arizona compiled a 37-26 FD edge and USC had a 582-554 yd edge but this one appeared put away for USC as they led 34-12 in the 3Q. It was 48-34 when USC went for it on 4&1 at the UA37 with 1:51 left. UA stopped them and went 53/5pl getting the backdoor cover with 1:00 left on a 4 yd TD pass...

Boise State was playing with revenge vs Nevada after the Pack had ended their perfect season the previous year. BSU's D was the key factor as BSU finished with a 329-182 yd edge and a 22-12 FD edge. Cody Fajardo had been splitting snaps with Tyler Lantrip was recovering from a shoulder injury and DNP. BSU only led 20-0 at half but had a 187-54 yd edge. Nevada did not cross their own 38 yd line until 8:23 was left in the 3Q and it happened on a 31 yd KR and NV at that point led 30-0. NV got a 21 yd FG with 14:48 left to make it 30-3. BSU was SOD on 4&2 at the NV29 with 1:39 left and NV got a FD then a 53 yd TD pass with :46 left to only lose by 20...

N.C. State had a banged up D missing 6 starters and Georgia Tech surprisingly only had a 413-387 yd edge but did score on their first 3 poss to lead 21-0 but it was just 21-14 late 3Q. GT got a TD with 12:29 left then got a 34 yd IR TD and NCSt was SOD on 4&1 at its own 38. GT got a 38 yd TD pass on the next play to make it 42-14. Trailing 45-21 NCSt got a TD with :34 left on a 13 yd pass. GT backup QB Days fmbl'd and NCSt ret'd it 33 yards for a TD with :20 left for the backdoor push...

Air Force led 21-3 at the half and it was just 21-10 after 3Q's. Each team got an early 4Q TD and the game appeared well on its way to an Under at 28-17 still being able to allow a TD. With just 2:04 left in the game Navy completed a 73/16pl drive incl a key 4th down conversion and got a 37 yd FG. They then rec'd an onside kick and then went 59/7pl for a TD & the 2 pt conv forced OT and put the game Over the Total with :19 left. In OT QB Proctor scored a TD and said something to an AF player and was called for a 15 yd pen which moved them back on the xp and the xp was blocked and AF after their TD kicked a regular xp and won it...

Eastern Michigan had some poor punts of 19, 22 and 20 yards which kept Akron in the game. EM went 50/9 and 84/9pl for TD's, 14-0 but only led 17-10 at the half. EM rushed for 328 yards on 56 carries only passing 9 times. EM led 31-16 when UA converted on 4&2 and then got a TD 2pl later with 3:18 left for the backdoor cover, 31-23. EM only got off a 20 yd punt and UA got to the EM30 down by a TD and 2 pt conv but on 4&14 fired incomplete with 1:01 left.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/05/2011 07:24 PM

Games to Watch - Week 6

October 5, 2011

Saturday - Oklahoma vs. Texas from Dallas (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny
As of Wednesday morning, most betting shops had Oklahoma (4-0 straight up, 3-1 against the spread) installed as a 10-point favorite with a total of 56 ½. The Sooners trashed Ball St. 62-6 Saturday to improve to 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as double-digit favorites. They are led by junior quarterback Landry Jones, who has 1,447 passing yards and 10 touchdowns through four games. He has one of the nation's elite WRs in Ryan Broyles, who has 38 catches for 476 yards and six touchdowns. Texas (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) is trying to bounce back from a nightmare 2010 season and is on its way thanks to rushing for better than 200 yards per game to date. The Longhorns have cruised to easy road wins at UCLA (49-20) and at Iowa St. (37-14) their last two times out. OU won last year's Red Rivalry showdown by a 28-20 count, but Texas has a 4-1-1 spread record in the last six head-to-head meetings with the Sooners. Mack Brown's team has been an underdog five times since 2009, limping to an abysmal 1-4 spread record. Texas senior safety Christian Scott will be in street clothes against OU after injuring his wrist against the Cyclones.




Saturday - Michigan at Northwestern (Big 10 Network, 7:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny
As of Wednesday, Michigan (5-0 SU, 4-0-1 ATS) was favored by seven with a total of 59. Brady Hoke's squad is coming off a dominant performance in its Big Ten opener. The Wolverines trounced Minnesota 58-0 as a 21-point home favorite. Denard Robinson completed 15-of-19 passes for 169 yards and a pair of TDs without being intercepted. Robinson also rushed for 51 yards and one score. Northwestern (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) raced out to an 18-point lead at Illinois thanks to four TD passes from QB Dan Persa, who was making his season debut. However, Persa's Achilles began to act up and he pulled himself from the game. Without their star signal caller, the Wildcats gave up the big lead and lost 38-35. They nevertheless took the cash as 10-point road underdogs. Persa was 'probable' early in the week, but RB Mike Trumpy is 'out' after tearing his ACL against the Illini. As a home underdog during Pat Fitzgerald's tenure, NW is 7-6 ATS. The 'under' has cashed in four straight head-to-head meetings between these schools, while the Wildcats have taken the cash in the last three encounters.






Other Games to Watch

Matchup Skinny

Missouri at Kansas State - Missouri (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS) was favored by three and the total was 55 1/2 as of Wednesday. The Tigers have had two weeks to prep for Kansas St. (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) after losing 38-28 at Oklahoma. They have covered the spread in both previous road games, an overtime loss at Arizona St and the setback at OU. James Franklin, Mizzou's sophomore QB, has filled in admirably for Blaine Gabbert in his first year as the starter. Franklin has seven TD passes compared to only one interception. K-St. rallied from a nine-point fourth-quarter deficit to beat Baylor 36-35 as a 3 ½-point home underdog Saturday. QB Collin Klein threw for 146 yards and two TDs and also rushed for 113 yards and one score. The Wildcats own a 7-3 spread record in their last 10 games as home 'dogs on Bill Snyder's watch. Gary Pinkel's team has won five in a row over K-St, going 3-2 ATS in the process.

Miami at Virginia Tech - Va. Tech (4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS) is coming off a 23-3 home loss to Clemson as a seven-point 'chalk.' Once again, Frank Beamer's team has been tabbed as a seven-point home favorite. The Hokies are struggling offensively, resulting in four straight 'unders.' Tyrod Taylor's replacement under center, Logan Thomas, has more interceptions (five) than TD passes (four). Miami (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) is mired in a 3-10 ATS slide dating back to last year. Va. Tech has won six of the last eight meetings with UM. Even better, they are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 encounters with the Hurricanes. The 'under' is 7-1 in the last eight VT-UM matchups.

Auburn at Arkansas - Most books had Arkansas (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) as a 10-point 'chalk' with a total of 63 on Wednesday morning. Auburn (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) is plus-300 on the money line (risk $100 to win $300). Gene Chizik's squad is coming off a 16-13 win at South Carolina as 10-point underdog. The win improved AU to 2-0 in SEC play. Arkansas rallied from a 35-17 halftime deficit to beat Texas A&M, 42-38. The Razorbacks, 2 ½-point 'dogs at most spots, have won three in a row over the Aggies at Cowboys Stadium. Tyler Wilson threw for a career-high 510 yards and three TDs without being picked off. Bobby Petrino's team has injury concerns on the defensive line, as DE Tenarius Wright is 'out' and DT Robert Thomas is 'questionable.' Senior DE Jake Bequette, who has missed three straight games with a hamstring injury, is expected to be back in the starting lineup. On the injury front for AU, WR Trovon Reed is 'out' and WR Emory Blake (19 catches, 4 TDs) is 'doubtful.' Arkansas has won two of the last three against AU both SU and ATS, but the Tigers won a 65-43 shoot-out last season. The 'over' has hit in the last three meetings.

Ohio State at Nebraska - This was supposed to be the game when Ohio St. (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) would return several key players like RB Daniel Herron and WR DeVier Posey, but both were suspended again this week for new NCAA issues. The Buckeyes have been anemic offensively in both of their losses, scoring just six at Miami and seven in last week's 10-7 home loss to Michigan St. Nebraska (4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS) is coming off its first loss, a 48-17 defeat at Wisconsin. The Cornhuskers, favored by 11 on Wednesday morning, are 9-14 ATS as home favorites during Bo Pelini's four-year tenure.




Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 05:28 PM

Oregon favored big over Cal on Thursday

CALIFORNIA BEARS (3-1)
at OREGON DUCKS (3-1)

Kickoff: Thursday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Oregon -24, Total: 64.5

The No. 9 Oregon Ducks aim for their 19th straight home win when they host California on Thursday night.

The Bears came very close to knocking off Oregon last year, losing 15-13 in a game that was much closer (and much more low scoring) than anybody expected. Cal is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, but that one loss was a 42-3 crushing in Eugene. The Bears defense has been better than expected (314 YPG, 27th in FBS), but Oregon has averaged an astounding 60.3 PPG during its three-game win streak. Cal is historically a miserable road team, going 8-19 ATS (30%) away from home since 2007, including 1-7 ATS in the last eight away games. The Bears have also lost eight straight games when facing a top-10 team. The pick here is OREGON to win and cover the heavy point spread.

The FoxSheets show a four-star trend siding with the Ducks:

Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OREGON) - excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.8 to 5.6 YPP), after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games. (36-9 since 1992.) (80%, +26.1 units. Rating = 4*).

In Cal’s last game two weeks ago at Washington, QB Zach Maynard (a transfer from Buffalo) threw for a career-best 349 yards and one TD. That was the first time he hasn’t thrown for multiple scores in a game, as he now has 10 TD and 3 INT on the season. His favorite target has been explosive sophomore WR Keenan Allen who already has three 100-yard efforts including 197 at Washington. Junior RB Isi Sofele is also having a huge year, with at least 84 rushing yards in all four games this season. He has 380 yards (4.8 YPC) and four touchdowns on the season. The Bears defense will have their hands full with Oregon’s high-octane offense, but they have been playing at a high level all season, ranking ninth in the nation in both sacks (3.25 per game) and rushing defense (78 YPG).

LaMichael James rushed for a school-record 288 yards and 2 TD against Arizona in his last game, but Cal held him to 91 yards on 29 carries last year (3.1 YPC). His 105 rushing YPG and 4.2 YPC average in his career versus the Bears are the lowest numbers against any Pac-12 school. QB Darron Thomas also struggled at Cal last year (15-of-29 passing, 2.1 YPC), but he has been on fire over the past three games, throwing 11 touchdowns with no picks. Oregon is tied for the nation’s lead in fewest sacks allowed per game (0.25), giving up just one sack in four contests. On defense, the Ducks still need a lot of work. They have allowed 30.3 PPG to their three FBS opponents and rank 93rd in the nation against the run (181 YPG). In terms of special teams, James leads the nation with a ridiculous 22.8 average on punt returns, but the team ranks 106th in kick returns (18.8 avg).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 05:33 PM

Pac 12 Notebook

October 6, 2011

Week Five Rewind

The Pac 12 again had a majority of disappointing games with lopsided outcomes and misleading finals.

The game of the day took place in Colorado as Washington State came from behind to defeat the Buffaloes 31-27. The Cougars led the game early but Colorado started to take control of the game and took a 10-point lead with 5:11 left. Washington St. then made it a three-point game with 2:35 left, forced a punt and scored five plays later for the win.

USC won by a touchdown over Arizona but the game was not as close as that score shows. The Trojans jumped ahead 17-0 and the Wildcats could not keep up and was not able to close the deficit by less than a touchdown. Arizona was only outgained 582-554 but two of its first three possessions resulted in interceptions.

Washington was the other Pac 12 road winner this weekend as it had a surprisingly easy time with Utah. The Huskies easily covered as double-digit underdogs as they jumped ahead 31-7 before the Utes scored their second touchdown in garbage time with seven seconds left. The Huskies won the yardage battle 411-322.

Oregon State jumped ahead 13-0 over the Sun Devils as all of those points were results of three Arizona State turnovers. The Sun Devils eventually built an eight-point lead but the Beavers hung around until Arizona St. scored the final two touchdowns of the game. Oregon St. won the yardage battle 388-367 but five turnovers and 13 penalties did them in.

Stanford continues to bury the completion as the Cardinals jumped ahead of UCLA 17-0 and never looked back. They outgained the Bruins 442-343 and balance was the key as the Cardinal rushed for 202 yards and passed for 240 yards. Stanford has won all four games by at least 26 points and is a perfect 4-0 against the number.

Hot Seat?

Another week, another huge loss for UCLA. The Bruins have alternated losses and wins this season and head back home to try and keep that trend going with a win over Washington St. The Cougars have been the pleasant surprise of the Pac 12, going 3-1 including a 1-0 record in the conference following that big win at Colorado.

A loss against Washington St. could mean the beginning of the end for head coach Rick Neuheisel who came into the season on the hot seat and it is only getting hotter. No one is happy with the lack of a turnaround that he promised when coming to his alma meter four years ago.

Neuheisel said the UCLA program is "not far away." It's too bad he may not be around to see it.

Washington St. head coach Paul Wulff came into the season with a similar bit of pressure. He brought in a 5-32 record through his first three years but he has already surpassed his win total in any of those first three seasons so he is looking fine to stick around for at least another year.

The problem is that the Cougars play in the same division as Oregon and Stanford so getting out of the Pac 12 North will be a challenge.

Defensive Lack of Ability

Last week we talked about how good the conferences quarterbacks have been and that is directly related to how the defenses have played. We saw another week of high scoring games with the total going 3-2 to the over with the Cougars-Buffaloes falling under by just two points.

The defenses have been sieves this season, with only Stanford and California ranked in the top 30 in the nation in total defense and just five teams ranked in the top 50. The scoring defenses are even worse as Stanford is in the top ten but nine teams are outside the top 50 with UCLA and Arizona ranked 105th and 114th respectively.

The linesmakers will be making big adjustments if this continues and we may be able to find value in the other direction.

The over is now a profitable 20-14 on the season.

Game of the Week

California at Oregon on Thursday night. This is the lone game that has two teams squaring off with greater than .500 records, the second straight week there has been only one such game. Both the Bears and Ducks come in with 3-1 records although California is 0-1 in the Pac 12 after losing its last game at Washington.

Oregon is 1-0 in the conference following its win at Arizona in its Pac 12 opener. The Ducks won last year's meeting in Berkeley 15-13 in a defensive battle despite outgaining the Bears 320-193.

Oregon was favored by 18.5 points then and it is favored by 23.5 points at home this season. California has taken four of the last five meetings against the number while all four of the previous meetings have stayed under the posted total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 05:35 PM

Boise St. at Fresno St.

October 6, 2011

This week’s edition of Friday Night Lights takes us to Fresno, where the home team is a decided underdog against former WAC rival and future Mountain West counterpart, Boise State. As of early Thursday afternoon, most betting shops were listing the Broncos as 21-point favorites with the total in the 58-59 range.

Fresno State (2-3 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) is available on the money line for a lucrative return. The Las Vegas Hilton had the Bulldogs with 10/1 odds to win outright as of early Thursday (risk $100 to win $1,000).

Boise State (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) has cruised to four easy wins over Georgia (35-21), Toledo (40-15), Tulsa (41-21) and Nevada (30-10). However, the Broncos have failed to cover the number in their last two outings because their back-ups have allowed backdoor covers in the fourth quarter.

Chris Petersen’s team avenged last year’s heartbreaking loss at Nevada this past Saturday, racing out to a 30-0 lead before the Wolf Pack got garbage points to hook up its backers as a 27 ½-point underdog. Doug Martin rushed for 126 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while the BSU defense limited Nevada to only 182 yards of total offense.

BSU has been known for its dynamic offense through the years, but it now has a defense that’s starting to steal the show. This unit has given up just 16 first-half points in the first four games (seven to UGA, nine to Toledo).

The offense hasn’t taken a step back, though. Senior quarterback Kellen Moore is on the cusp of breaking NCAA records galore. Moore has completed 73.9 percent of his passes for 1,137 yards with a 14/4 touchdowns-to-interceptions ratio.

Fresno St. dropped its first two games at California (36-21) and at Nebraska, taking the cash in Lincoln as a 27 ½-point underdog in a 42-29 loss that was much closer than the final score indicated. The Bulldogs bounced back with a pair of wins over North Dakota (27-22) and Idaho (48-24) before hosting Ole Miss last week.

The Rebels captured a 38-28 win at FSU as three-point underdogs, scoring the last 11 points in the final stanza.

Pat Hill’s team is led by junior RB Robbie Rouse, who has rushed for 600 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Derek Carr, the younger brother of former Fresno QB David Carr, has thrown for 1,291 yards with a 10/4 TD-INT ratio.

The ‘over’ is 4-1 for Fresno St. this year, but we should note that Friday’s total is the highest it has seen. The previous high was last week’s 55 vs. Ole Miss.

As for BSU, it has seen the ‘under’ go 3-1 this year with the lone ‘over’ coming in the win over Georgia. Dating back to last season, the ‘under’ is on an 8-1-1 run for the Broncos.

Boise St. owns a 9-1 record both SU and ATS in its last 10 games against the Bulldogs, who got spanked by a 51-0 count on the smurf turf last season. The Broncos have scored 51 points or more in the last three meetings.

As a home underdog since 2001, Fresno St. is 6-7 ATS. Meanwhile, BSU has compiled a 17-10 spread record in 27 games as a road favorite during Petersen’s six-year tenure. Since 2008, the Broncos are 14-4 ATS as road ‘chalk.’

Kickoff is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Boise State’s offensive line is dealing with a few injuries. Jake Broyles, the starting sophomore guard, is ‘out’ for the season with a toe injury. Also, starting center Thomas Byrd is ‘doubtful’ with a knee injury that kept him out of last week’s win over Nevada.

--Most spots have Illinois favored by 14 at Indiana in its first road game of the season. The unbeaten Illini has failed to cover the spread in four straight games as a road favorite. It is 3-6 ATS in nine games as a road ‘chalk’ during Ron Zook’s seven-year tenure. Illinois will be without sophomore linebacker Jonathan Brown (suspension).

--Indiana has covered the number in five consecutive games as a home underdog.

--Boston College star RB Montel Harris has been downgraded to ‘out’ Saturday at Clemson with a knee injury. The Eagles were 21-point ‘dogs as of early Thursday afternoon.

--South Carolina DE Melvin Ingram is ‘questionable’ Saturday vs. Kentucky. Ingram, who has scored three touchdowns this year, injured his foot in last week’s 16-13 home loss to Auburn. He did not practice on Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday.

--The ‘over’ is 5-0 for both TCU and Ga. Tech.

--Florida has covered the number in six straight games at LSU. The last non-cover was in 1997 when Herb Tyler and Kevin Faulk led Gerry DiNardo’s team to a 28-21 win over the top-ranked Gators on a night when Steve Spurrier stubbornly didn’t give Fred Taylor enough touches. The last time UF was a double-digit underdog at LSU, Keiwan Ratliff had three interceptions to lead the Gators to a 19-7 win over the eventual national champs led by Nick Saban.

--With senior QB John Brantley out with a high ankle sprain that’ll probably keep him out until the Georgia game on Oct. 29, true freshman QB Jeff Driskel will get his first career start under center.

--Auburn WR Emory Blake, who has 19 receptions and four TD catches, is ‘out’ Saturday at Arkansas along with fellow WR Trovon Reed. The Razorbacks, who are favored by 10 at most spots, are hurting on the defensive line. They expect to get senior DE Jake Bequette back this week after missing the last three games with a hamstring injury. However, DT Tenarius Wright (arm) is ‘out’ and DT Robert Thomas is ‘doubtful.’

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 05:44 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail
Totals 55-­45-­2 55.00% +2750

Thursday, October 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Western Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee State -10.5 500

Middle Tennessee State - Over 53.5 500

California - 9:00 PM ET California +23.5 500

Oregon - Under 65 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 06:31 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Week 6

Thursday, October 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (3 - 1) at OREGON (3 - 1) - 10/6/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (0 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 3) - 10/6/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (4 - 0) at FRESNO ST (2 - 3) - 10/7/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 99-55 ATS (+38.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 99-55 ATS (+38.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-32 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
BOISE ST is 68-36 ATS (+28.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 06:32 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Week 6

Thursday, 10/6/2011

CALIFORNIA at OREGON, 9:00 PM ET
CALIFORNIA: 1-6 ATS on turf
OREGON: 7-1 ATS in October

W KENTUCKY at MIDDLE TENN ST, 7:30 PM ET
W KENTUCKY: 7-4 ATS off home loss
MIDDLE TENN ST: 12-5 ATS against conf opponents


Friday, 10/7/2011

BOISE ST at FRESNO ST, 9:00 PM ET
BOISE ST: 8-1 ATS as a road fav of 14.5 or more
FRESNO ST: 2-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home fave

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23650 Followers:32
10/06/2011 06:33 PM

NCAAF


Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 6

7:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Western Kentucky is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Middle Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON
California is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California's last 6 games
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against California
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing California


Friday, October 7

9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games on the road
Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boise State
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: