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jimmy
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Free Pick on Syracuse/Michigan UNDER

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On 04/06/2013 10:59 AM in Cappers
Michigan vs. Syracuse, 04/06/2013 20:49
Total: -110/+131 Under

Both of these teams have impressive defenses with Syracuse getting the slight edge in points allowed. This matchup falls into a system to play the under on neutral court games when one of the team has beat the spread by 30 or more points in their last five games, in this matchup it is Syracuse, and they are playing against an opponent that has gone over the total by 48 or more points in their last 10 games. This system is 64-31 (67%) to the under. You should also play the under on neutral court games when the total is between 130 to 139.5 points and one team, in this matchup it is Michigan, is forcing 14 or less turnovers per game and coming off three straight games where they also committed 14 or less turnovers. This system is 170-117 (59%) to the under over the last five seasons. When teams are not committing or forcing turnovers there are fewer fast break points which takes more time off the clock leading to the under.

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