Free Pick on Kansas City Royals +
0 Reply | 148 ViewsOn 04/04/2013 11:39 AM in Cappers
Money Line: +112 Kansas City
This matchup falls into a system to play against home favorites with a money line between -125 and -175 like Chicago when they are an American League team who had a batting average of .260 or worse last season. This system is 47-31 (60%) since 1997. This game also falls into a system to play against a team like Chicago when they average .6 errors per game or less coming off a matchup where they stranded 3 or less runners on base. This system is 30-12 (71%) over the last five seasons. Jeremy Guthrie has a history if pitching solid games against the White Sox. He has a 3.35 ERA and a 1.128 WHIP in his last 9 starts against Chicago and his team has an 8-6 record in those starts. Gavin Floyd on the other hand has not had that kind of success against Kansas City. Floyd has a 4.18 ERA and his team is 5-10 in those starts against the Royals. Kansas City is playing to avoid the sweep and they should be able to pick up their first win of the season today.
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