You are using an old web browser. Such browsers do not support modern web technologies and do not offer proper security. Please update your browser or download one of the others suggested for free.
Mozilla Firefox |
Google Chrome |
Internet Explorer |
-- Estrada is 5-2, 2.77 in his last eight starts.
-- Cahill was 4-1, 2.36 in five starts last September. Garcia is 3-0, 2.49 in his last four starts.
-- Price is 4-0, 2.68 in his last five starts (2-0, 0.40 vs O's LY (3 starts)).
-- Dickey is 5-2, 2.62 in his last eight starts.
-- Darvish is 4-1, 2.32 in his last seven starts. Harrell was 1-2, 2.70 in his last three starts LY.
-- Iwakuma was 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts LY (0-2, 7.36 vs A's).
-- de la Rosa was 0-2, 11.81 in three starts LY.
-- Bumgarner is 2-3, 6.57 in his last five starts (4-1, 2.34 last five vs LA). Ryu is making major debut here after pitching his whole career in Korea.
-- Hammel is 0-5, 5.22 in his last eight starts.
-- Masterson is 0-3, 6.11 in his last five starts (1-0, 0.60 vs Jays LY (2s)).
-- Parker is 2-2, 4.74 in his last four starts (1-1, 5.40 vs M's).
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Estrada's last five road starts.
-- Over is 7-4 in Garcia's last eleven starts.
-- Four of last five Bumgarner starts went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Price's last six starts.
-- 10 of Dickey's last 13 starts stayed under the total (NL starts).
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Harrell starts.
-- Five of last six Parker starts stayed under the total.
-- Colo-Mil-- Over is 6-1-1 in Vanover's last eight games behind plate.
-- StL-Az-- Underdogs are 8-6 in Iassogna's last fourteen games.
-- SF-LA-- Over is 19-4-1 in Emmel's last 24 games behind plate.
-- Tex-Hst-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Nauert games.
-- Sea-A's-- Home teams won last five Hernandez games.
Hondo 4/12/2013 Mrs. Niese’s lucky skivvies did the trick yesterday for the Mets, which helped enable Hondo, who also scored with the Sawx and Nats, to vault into the wonderful world of positive digits at 75 monbouquettes.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch is whirling with Darvish in Houston 10 units on the Rangers to make the ’Stros look like the division doormats they’re supposed to be
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's loss to the Diamondbacks and build on their 9-4 record in Jaime Garcia's last 13 starts in Game 2 of a series. St. Louis is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
TUESDAY, APRIL 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.515; Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under
Game 953-954: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 16.225; Arizona (Cahill) 15.182
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Over
Game 955-956: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 18.207; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.913
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Over
Game 957-958: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.822; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.036
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-170); Under
Game 959-960: Cleveland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.552; Toronto (Dickey) 15.298
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+150); Over
Game 961-962: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.280; Houston (Harrell) 14.824
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Under
Game 963-964: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.264; Oakland (Parker) 15.969
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Over
Orioles at Rays: This would be a process of elimination play for me. I won't lay -175 very often, but Price's numbers in the Trop are beastly. I believe his ERA last season was under 2.00, and I actually like the Rays better without Upton. Honestly, I think he'll be a distraction in Atlanta. More on that another time. Hammel is at least servicable, but with the Rays (Longoria) healthy for the first time in a long time, if I bet the Rays I'd take the -1.5 (+130). But, in an under venue like the Trop, that's probably not the smartest bet either. IMO the Rays win this game either way. Certainly not brilliant to fade Price at home (yet) but if someone has a good angle don't let me talk you out of it.
Cleveland at Toronto: Certainly the most interesting matchup (to me) of the day. Both teams spending like the Yankees in the off season and both with lofty expectations. I do like Masterson when he can keep the ball down as he did in 2011. But not so much last year. Bautista has a couple of shots off him and even Melky Cabrera is hitting .545 in a reasonable amount of at bats, sans PED's, now. Certainly going to pay a premium for Dickey, but I see the Indians were scalped fairly quickly. Dickey has never pitched in Toronto, and in a dome, without wind, I wonder how much the effects the knuckle ball. Typically the ball moves much more with some wind. Having said that, I could see taking the Indians. That total (at least the vig) was bet up fairly quickly and I think you'd expect that with two potentially potent offenses, especially at "8" in an AL game. The bottom line to this one is that Dickey can throw an inordinate amount of pitches, and I do not trust Pestano or Perez for the Indians, so I'd pass or take Cleveland. Maybe even the RL, although -140 is a bit steep.
Colorado at Milwaukee: Immediate lean to the over in this one after having both bullpens used and abused on Monday. The Brewers should simply dominate LHP this season, even before Hart comes back, and De La Rosa is more than hittable. Estrada is a strikeout pitcher who doesn't walk many, but against the free-swinging Rockies that could be a bad thing. He did give up some bombs at home last year, but was almost unhittable with a .214 BAA. So, it's all or nothing here. Think it's all since the Rockies did little to improve their staff this year, and had the worst WHIP (by far) in baseball last year at 1.55. That stat has little to do with playing in Coors Field, because it (their WHIP) was 1.49 on the road. I could make a reasonable case for a Brewers boatrace here.
St. Louis at Arizona: Always need to wait to see what happens the night before, but for arguments sake we'll start somewhere. Cahill was abused at home last season, and Garcia was abused on the road. Clearly that's built into this total because "9" in a National League game is a shitload, even at Coors Field in July. Cahill did have a solid Spring, but this line looks eerily similar to the Pirates line on Monday. Since Garcia is so tough on RHH, I can see where he could easily pitch to Kubel and Montero and around Goldschmidt, so for me it's probably the Cardinals or nothing.
San Francisco at LA Dodgers: I simply cannot take the Dodgers here because we've got such an unknown with Ryu. His numbers in Korea were great (1.15 WHIP) but he really doesn't have overpowering stuff. With that in mind, the Giants certainly haven't seen him, so it ma take a time through the order. And in Bumgarner we do know what we're getting, and that's someone that's for the most part owned the Dodgers. Because I trust the Giants bullpen blindly, if this total inches up to 7 I could see taking the under here, especially in Dodger Stadium which is clearly a pitchers' park, and especially at night.
Texas at Houston: As badly as Harrell pitched last year (at times when I bet on him), he only gave up three of his thirteen jacks in Minute Maid last season. If Beltre wasn't 5-7 against him I'd take the Astros, believe it or not, because most of these Houston hitters saw Darvish last season, and he got progressively worse last year, month by month, as other teams saw what he had. (another reason to take the under in the Dodgers game). What I do think will happen is that because this total is sitting at "8" in an over park, is that Darvish will pitch well, and that Texas wins a game that stays under, something like 5-1. Terrible game to bet, as we won't take -180 teams (ever on the road) and can't logically make a case for Houston. Perhaps the RL at only -105 for a marble. If the roof is open (it should be) then MAYBE this does go over. Perhaps a reasonable R-L wind.