cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/16/2013 09:40 AM

Heat at Spurs, Game 5

June 16, 2013


With the NBA Finals knotted at 2-2, San Antonio (72-28 straight up, 51-47-2 against the spread) will play host to Miami in Sunday’s Game 5 at AT&T Center.

Most books are listing Miami (80-32 SU, 57-45 ATS) as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 188. The Spurs are +105 on the money line (risk $100 to won $105).

For first-half wagers, the Heat is favored by one-half point with a total of 93.5.

Miami pulled even by capturing a 109-93 win as a one-point ‘chalk’ in Thursday’s Game 4. Dwyane Wade exploded for a monster game with 32 points, six rebounds, six steals, four assists, one blocked shot and zero turnovers. Wade converted 14-of-25 shots from the field and made all four of his free-throw attempts.

LeBron James finished with a game-high 33 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, two steals, two blocked shots and only one turnover. Chris Bosh added 20 points and 13 boards, matching his highest scoring output of the postseason (Game 3 at Chicago in the East semifinals). Bosh had failed to hit his regular-season scoring average (16.6 points per game) in eight consecutive games.

Ray Allen continued to provide solid production off the bench in Game 4 with 14 points. Allen is averaging 11.0 PPG in the series, scoring 13 points or more in three of the four games.

In the losing effort, Tim Duncan scored a team-best 20 points. Tony Parker didn’t appear to be bothered by his strained hamstring, scoring 15 points and dishing out nine assists.

Gary Neal and Danny Green remained hot from 3-point land, but they didn’t get enough looks. Neal drained 3-of-4 from deep and scored 13 points, while Green made 3-of-5 treys and finished with 10 points.

Game 4 was decided by turnovers. San Antonio committed 18 and the Heat had just nine. Miami beat the Spurs 41-36 on the boards.

We talked to VI's Chris David on how to handicap Game 5.

He said, "The Heat responded in Game 4 and improved to 6-0 both SU and ATS off a loss in this year’s playoffs. If you like to play that angle as you handicap Game 5, then you have to lean San Antonio. In this year’s postseason the Spurs are 3-0 off a loss, winning by 10, 18 and 36 points, the two larger margins coming at the AT&T Center."

"Also, as good as Miami looked on Thursday, it’s hard to ignore the fact that it hasn’t won back-to-back games in the playoffs since it took four straight from Chicago in the second round. If this trend holds true for both clubs, which is certainly possible, San Antonio will win the NBA Finals in Game 7 from South Florida. Grabbing the Spurs on the adjusted series-price (+240) certainly seems tempting."

The ‘over’ has now cashed in back-to-back games. Game 4 was the highest scoring game of the series with the 202 combined points soaring above the 186-point total. The outputs for Games 1-3 were as follows: 180, 187 and 190.

CD offer up his total opinions for us as well. "The betting public and a lot of handicappers were on the ‘under’ in Game 4, which was doomed when the pair put up a 55-point first and 59-point third. It also helps when you get a combined a 48 free throws, the most taken in this series. Surprisingly San Antonio (31) almost doubled-up Miami at the charity strip, yet they lost by double digits."

"Game 5’s number is hovering around 188 points and I expect it to be real close, especially the way Miami has been alternating wins and losses the last 10 games. In the setbacks, the Heat have averaged 85.4 PPG and they haven’t scored more than 93. I liked the Heat’s team total ‘over’ in Game 4 and I’m leaning ‘under’ 95 in Game 5. Make a note that the Spurs have allowed 92, 91 and 77 points off a loss in this year’s playoffs."

For bettors who are extremely bullish on the side and/or total, there are adjusted lines available that pay better odds. For instance, if you want to back the Heat -4, you can garner a +140 return (risk $100 to win $140). You can also back Miami at -6.5 (+190) and -8.5 (+250).

For the Spurs, gamblers can support them at -2.5 (+150), -4 (+185) and -5.5 (+230). As for the total, the ‘over’ can be played at 189.5 (+115), 191.5 (+140) and 194.5 (+175). The ‘under’ can be had at 185.5 (+115), 182.5 (+155) and 180.5 (+175).

Sportsbook.ag has updated the series price with Miami returning to the ‘chalk’ role at -260. The Spurs can be had for a +210 payout (risk $100 to win $210).

The offshore website has fresh odds for whom will take Finals MVP honors. James remains the favorite at -240. The next-shortest odds belong to Parker (+300), Wade (+600), Duncan (+800), Green (10/1) and Bosh (75/1). The number for the field is 25/1.

Wade’s odds were at 25/1 before he erupted in Game 2, forcing oddsmakers to radically reduce his payout.

ABC will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- How healthy is Tony Parker. On Saturday he said, "`If it was the regular season, I would be resting like 10 days."

-- If you toss out the last week when San Antonio rested players and closed the regular season with three consecutive losses, the Spurs have only lost back-to-back games three times this season. Five of those six setbacks were on the road too.

-- San Antonio has never lost back-to-back home games in the NBA Finals and the 16-point margin in Game 4 was the largest ever.

-- Chris David dug up some good looks on possible Game 5 props. He explained, "Including a 33-point effort in Game 4, LeBron James has now scored 30 or more points six times in this year’s playoffs. Prop bettors should take note that James has only averaged 25.8 PPG in the very next game. If you’re looking for a bigger drop-off in production, look at D-Wade. The All-Star just scored a playoff-high (32) in Game 4. Wade’s previous high this postseason was 21 (twice). Considering he hasn’t put up 20 or more points in back-to-back games since mid-March, his performance in Game 4 certainly appears to be an aberration.

-- Sportsbook.ag has LeBron's point total listed at 27.5 (-115) for Game 5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/16/2013 09:42 AM

Playoff Results - NBA Finals

June 14, 2013


-- Home and Road teams are 2-2
-- Favorites are 3-1 straight up
-- Favorites are 3-1 against the spread
-- The 'Over/Under" is 2-1

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result

Thursday June 6, 2013

San Antonio (+5, +190) Miami 92-88 Underdog Under (190)

Sunday June 9 2013

San Antonio Miami (-6) 103-84 Favorite Under (189.5)

Tuesday June 11, 2013

Miami San Antonio (-2) 113-77 Favorite Over (188)

Thursday June 13, 2013

Miami (-1.5) San Antonio 109-93 Favorite Over (186.5)

Sunday June 16, 2013
Miami San Antonio - - -

Tuesday June 18, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -

Thursday June 20, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/16/2013 09:43 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Miami at San Antonio
The Spurs look to bounce back from their 109-93 loss in Game 4 and build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. San Antonio is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 16

Game 709-710: Miami at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.185; San Antonio 134.285
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+1 1/2); Over




NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, June 16

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MIAMI (80 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (72 - 28) - 6/16/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 269-209 ATS (+39.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 57-45 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 51-43 ATS (+3.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, June 16

NBA Finals, Game Five (Series Tied, 2-2)
Miami at San Antonio, 8:05 ET ABC
Miami: 11-3 Under playing with two days rest
San Antonio: 7-0 ATS off a home loss




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, June 16

Heat's spread results in last ten games are LWLWLWLWLW; Miami is now 0-7 vs spread in game following last seven wins. Heat is 4-23 in franchise history at this site, but 2-1 this season. James has still taken only ten foul shots in first four series games, but if Wade goes for 32 again, and Heat scored 60 points in a half, this series won't go seven. Five of last seven Miami games stayed under total; seven of Spurs' last eight home games went over. Spurs are 7-2 at home in playoffs; this is a much bigger game for Spurs, their last home game of the season. If Heat loses this game, all they need to do is hold serve at home for title.




NBA

Sunday, June 16

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
San Antonio is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami


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NBA

Sunday, June 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat at Spurs: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (1.5, 188)

Best-of-seven series tied 2-2.

There has been only one dramatic contest in the NBA Finals, which is now a best-of-3 series when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. The Spurs won a close game in the opener and put a 36-point drubbing on the Heat in Game 3, while Miami’s two victories have been by 19 and 16 points. Tony Parker’s hamstring is an issue for the Spurs, while the Heat crave another big effort from Dwyane Wade.

Wade rediscovered his form with a spectacular performance (32 points, six steals) in Game 4 that was easily his best of a postseason in which he has been severely hampered by a knee injury. “He’s willing to go out there and compete for his teammates and open himself up for criticism with expectations of something bigger,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said. “He’s giving us everything he has, and (Thursday) he was able to dig deeper and go to another place that we needed.” Parker has a strained right hamstring and revealed Saturday that it could tear at any time and that he would be sidelined for about 10 days if it were the regular season. Parker is hopeful that the two full days off between games will allow him to play better on Sunday after he gave a substandard performance in Game 4.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James had his best outing of the series with 33 points in Game 4 but his performance was just the third-most crucial behind those of Wade and center Chris Bosh. After a largely ineffective postseason, Bosh suddenly has three consecutive double-doubles and his 20 points matched his high of the postseason. He grabbed 13 rebounds and is averaging 14.3 points and 9.5 rebounds in the finals. “I don’t know really what the difference has been with Chris,” Spoelstra said. “All we know is we need it.” James was 15-of-25 from the field in Game 4 after going a combined 21-for-54 over the first three games.

ABOUT THE SPURS: Veteran guard Manu Ginobili is struggling through a woeful series. The 35-year-old Ginobili has scored seven or fewer points in each of the last three games and is averaging 7.5 points and shooting 34.5 percent from the field. “He’s having a tough playoffs, and hasn’t really found a rhythm or found his game yet,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “I think that he’s obviously not as confident as usual, and he knows full well he hasn’t performed the way he would like and the way he’s used to.” Power forward Tim Duncan is doing his part with two 20-point scoring games and three double-digit performances and guard Danny Green is 19-for-28 from 3-point range while averaging 16.5 points.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a win.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Heat’s last five road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs’ last five home games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The NBA Finals has been tied at 2-2 on 27 previous occasions with the Game 5 winner claiming the title 20 times.

2. After matching the NBA Finals record with four turnovers in Game 1, San Antonio has committed 49 over the last three games.

3. Bosh was fined $5,000 for flopping in Game 4 after being lightly bumped by Duncan.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/16/2013 09:45 AM

Sunday, June 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio +0 500 POD # 1


San Antonio - Over 187 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/17/2013 01:01 AM

Recap: Heat 104, Spurs 114

Date: June 16, 2013 8:00 PM EDT


SAN ANTONIO (AP) - Manu Ginobili ran onto the floor as fans stood and screamed.

He went to the bench, and they chanted his name.

The sights and sounds of so many San Antonio spring nights were back Sunday - and the real party might be just a few days away.

Ginobili broke out of a slump in a big way with 24 points and 10 assists in his first start of the season, and the Spurs beat the Miami Heat 114-104 to take a 3-2 lead in the NBA Finals.

Tony Parker scored 26 points, Tim Duncan had 17 points and 12 rebounds, and Ginobili had his highest-scoring game of the season as the Spurs became the first team to shoot 60 percent in a finals game in four years.

``He's such a huge part of what we do and how far we've come. You can see it tonight in how we played and the results of the game,' Duncan said. ``We're always confident in him. ... we know he has it in him. We hope he can bring it forward for one more win.'

Danny Green smashed the NBA Finals record for 3-pointers, hitting six more and scoring 24 points. Kawhi Leonard finished with 16, but the stage was set when Ginobili trotted out with Duncan, Parker and the rest of starters in what could have been the last finals home game for a trio that's meant so much to San Antonio.

One more victory and the Spurs' Big Three, not Miami's, will be the one that rules the NBA.

And a big reason was Ginobili, as he's been for so long - just not during what had been a miserable series for the former Sixth Man of the Year.

``I was angry, disappointed,' Ginobili said. ``We are playing in the NBA Finals, we were 2-2, and I felt I still wasn't really helping the team that much,' Ginobili said. ``And that was the frustrating part.'

On Sunday, it was all forgotten.

``He's obviously very popular. He's been here a long time. He's helped us have a lot of success over the years,' Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said.

LeBron James and Dwyane Wade each scored 25 points for the Heat, who host Game 6 on Tuesday night. They need a victory to force the first Game 7 in the finals since the Lakers beat the Celtics in 2010.

Miami's Big Three formed a few weeks after that game, with predictions of multiple titles to follow. Now they're a loss away from going just 1 for 3 in finals to start their partnership, while the Spurs could run their perfect record to 5 for 5.

``This is the position we're in and the most important game is Game 6,' James said. ``We can't worry about a Game 7, we have to worry about Game 6.'

Duncan won his first title in 1999, and Parker and Ginobili were with him for three championships since. They have been the perfect partnership, keeping the Spurs in the hunt virtually every year while teams like the Lakers, Mavericks and Suns have all risen and fallen in the Western Conference during that time.

They remained unbeaten in Game 5s, including two previous victories when the series was tied at 2-2. Of the 27 times the finals have been tied at 2-2, the Game 5 winner has won 20 of them.

Miami was the most recent loser, falling to Dallas in Game 5 in 2011 before being eliminated at home the next game.

``We're going to see if we're a better ballclub and if we're better prepared for this moment,' Wade said.

San Antonio shot 42 of 70, right at 60 percent. The last team to make 60 percent of its shots in the finals was Orlando, which hit 62.5 in Game 3 against the Lakers in 2009, according to STATS.

``They just absolutely outplayed us,' Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. ``At times they were just picking one guy out at a time and going at us mano-a-mano. That's got to change.'

Ray Allen scored 21 points on the night for the Heat as he watched Green shatter his finals 3-point record. Green has 25 3s in the series. Allen made 22 3-pointers in six games in 2008 finals for Boston.

Chris Bosh scored 16 for Miami, Wade had 10 assists, and James had eight assists and six rebounds, but it was their defense that let the Heat down in this one.

The Heat were within one with 3:05 left in the third before Green hit yet another 3-pointer and Ginobili followed with the stretch that turned the game into the fourth straight blowout of the finals.

The crafty lefty plays with a flair developed on the courts of Argentina and perfected in Europe before coming to the NBA. He sees angles other players can't and takes risks few others would, but his style has been the perfect fit alongside Duncan and Parker.

He converted a three-point play, tossed in a floater with his left hand as he drifted right, and found Tiago Splitter under the hoop with a pass to make it 85-74. He flipped in another runner with 2.9 seconds to go, sending the Spurs to the fourth with an 87-75 lead as fans chanted ``Manu! Manu!' during the break between the third and fourth quarters.

Ginobili had been averaging just 7.5 points on 34.5 percent shooting in the series, making only three of his 16 3-point attempts. But Popovich made the finals' second lineup change in two games, after the Heat inserted Mike Miller to start Game 4.

Ginobili didn't make a start this season and certainly hadn't been playing like someone who belonged with the first five. But in the Spurs' biggest game of the season, they remained confident he would break out, and they were right.

``I knew that I was not scoring much and I felt it in the air. But I tried not to care about it. I know I'm critical enough of myself to be worrying about what other people say,' Ginobili said.

It was the first time he scored 24 or more points since having 34 on June 4, 2012, against Oklahoma City, according to STATS.

The AT&T Center crowd roared when Ginobili was the last starter announced, the cheers growing louder when he made a jumper - originally ruled a 3-pointer but later overturned by replay - on the first possession. He assisted on the Spurs' next three baskets, and it was 15-10 when he later hit a 3 that did count.

Parker picked it up from there, dancing his way into the lane repeatedly and scoring seven points in a 12-0 run that made it 29-17. Leonard's 3-pointer with 4.7 seconds left, on an assist from Ginobili, made it 32-19 and gave the Spurs 12 makes in 19 attempts (63 percent) in the opening 12 minutes.

Green's third straight 3-pointer made it 45-28 about 5 minutes into the second quarter, and it seemed the trend of blowouts would continue. But James suddenly got rolling during a 14-2 Miami spurt that cut it to five on his third consecutive Heat basket.

San Antonio made 21 of 34 shots (62 percent) in the first half, opening a 61-52 lead on Parker's drive with 0.4 seconds left.

Miami then ran off eight in a row to start the second half and get within one. They cut it to one again later in the period before Ginobili led the flurry that finished the Heat for good.

It was a fitting finish if it was the last home game in the finals for San Antonio's star trio, which has combined for 101 playoff victories together. Ginobili has said he might think about retirement as he turns 36 next month, and Duncan is 37.

Both coaches said it was difficult waiting two days between games - Popovich said it was ``like death' - though he did say it was great for the Spurs because they have some older players.

The break seemed to help his team early, particularly Parker, whose energy sagged in the second of Game 4 as he struggled with a strained hamstring that he said could tear at any time and would've had him sidelined during the regular season.

If things fall right for the Spurs, he'll have plenty of time to heal after Tuesday.

Notes: The last team to lose Game 5 of a 2-2 series and then win the title was the Los Angeles Lakers, when they beat Boston in 2010. ... The Spurs said Sunday that reserve guard Patty Mills had surgery to remove an abscess Friday and would miss the rest of the series. Mills had an infection in his right foot and the abscess developed between his fourth and fifth toes.

-----------------------------------------------------------

SERIES AT A GLANCE

GAME 1
Spurs at Heat
Thu, Jun 6 Final 92 to 88
Recaps

GAME 2
Spurs at Heat
Sun, Jun 9 Final 84 to 103
Recaps

GAME 3
Heat at Spurs
Tue, Jun 11 Final 77 to 113
Recaps

GAME 4
Heat at Spurs
Thu, Jun 13 Final 109 to 93
Recaps

GAME 5
Heat at Spurs
Sun, Jun 16 - Final 104 to 114
Recaps

Recaps
GAME 6
Spurs at Heat
Tue, Jun 18 - 9:00PM EDT

GAME 7
Spurs at Heat
Thu, Jun 20 - 9:00PM EDT

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/18/2013 11:24 AM

Game 6 - Spurs at Heat

June 17, 2013


The roller-coaster known as the NBA Finals continues as the Spurs look to close out the Heat for the franchise's fifth championship. San Antonio shot lights out in Game 5 on Sunday night, as the scene shifts back to South Florida on Tuesday with both teams seeking some sort of consistency in this series.

For all the stars taking center-stage in the NBA Finals, former North Carolina standout Danny Green has been the biggest difference-maker (and three-point maker) for the Spurs. Green knocked down six shots from downtown, while lifting San Antonio to a 114-104 home triumph as one-point underdogs. Following a disappointing effort in the final half of Game 4, the Spurs' offense rebounded with a combined 74 points from Green, Tony Parker, and Manu Ginobili. The former Sixth Man of the Year started for the first time in the series, scoring 24 points in Game 5, seven more than the previous three games combined.

The Heat's Big Three stepped up in Game 4 as LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh combined for 85 points. However, the three stars put up just 66 points in Game 5, including just 26 in the second half. Miami cut a 17-point first half deficit to nine by halftime, while getting within one point with three minutes left in three quarters. However, a 19-1 run by the Spurs cooled off the Heat rally, putting Miami on the brink of elimination for the fifth time since James, Wade, and Bosh joined forces in 2011.

The Spurs are sitting in an advantageous spot on Tuesday, as teams in the NBA Finals with the first opportunity to close a series are 5-2 SU/ATS the last seven seasons. The two losses occurred in the series between the Lakers and Celtics in 2008 and 2010, with each team avoiding elimination at home. Gregg Popovich's team looks to finish off another series on the road this postseason after eliminating the Lakers, Warriors, and Grizzlies away from Texas.

VegasInsider.com's Chris David breaks it down from a totals standpoint, "After watching the 'under' cash in the first two games, the 'over' has connected in the last three games of this series thanks to some great shooting, especially in Game 5. The two teams combined for 20 bombs from 3-point land and 40 made free throws. Those are two of the biggest x-factors when playing totals and they both exceeded expectations on Sunday."

David points out that the number has moved up following the three 'overs' in San Antonio, "As expected, the oddsmakers bumped up the number on Game 6 to 190 and that's already moved up to 190 ½. Off a loss in the playoffs, Miami has been great offensively. In this series, they've posted 103 and 109 after the first two setbacks. The Heat's team total is hovering around 99 1/2 points and based on the back-and-forth trend, a lean to the 'over' would be justified."

The important number many people will point to is the 6-0 SU/ATS record by the Heat in the postseason off a loss. Miami won those games by an average of 20.6 points per game, including victories by 19 and 16 points against San Antonio off a defeat. David brings up the popular Zig-Zag theory, which sides with Miami, in Game 6, "If the trend holds true, then we'll see Miami post another double-digit victory in Game 6. It's certainly hard to ignore the pattern but in this business, all good things eventually come to an end. Grabbing points with San Antonio, who is 7-2 on the road in the playoffs, is the smart play in this spot, especially against a Heat team that is 5-6 ATS at home in the postseason."

Even though the Heat has been terrific off a loss recently, the possibility of a decisive Game 7 is a rare occurrence in the Finals according to David, "I think it's pretty funny that the conspiracy theorists are expecting NBA commissioner David Stern to create a Game 7, especially in his last NBA Finals go 'round. What bettors need to realize is that Game 7's don't happen often, especially in the last round. In the last 20 seasons, we only had three Game 7's in the NBA Finals. If you are expecting a decisive battle on Thursday, then you should take the Heat on the adjusted series price (-130). If they win Tuesday, you can get out of your bet on Thursday or even try to middle the Spurs with the points."

Miami opened as a seven-point favorite, while several books have bumped the Heat to 7 ½. The game tips off at 9:00 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ABC.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/18/2013 11:25 AM

Playoff Results - NBA Finals

June 17, 2013


-- Home teams are 3-2
-- Favorites are 3-2 straight up
-- Favorites are 3- against the spread
-- The 'Over' is 3-2

Away Home Score ATS Result Total Result


Thursday June 6, 2013

San Antonio (+5, +190) Miami 92-88 Underdog Under (190)

Sunday June 9 2013

San Antonio Miami (-6) 103-84 Favorite Under (189.5)

Tuesday June 11, 2013

Miami San Antonio (-2) 113-77 Favorite Over (188)

Thursday June 13, 2013

Miami (-1.5) San Antonio 109-93 Favorite Over (186.5)

Sunday June 16, 2013

Miami San Antonio (+1, +100) 114-104 Underdog Over (189)

Tuesday June 18, 2013
San Antonio Miami - - -

Thursday June 20, 2013
* San Antonio Miami - - -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/18/2013 11:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Miami
The Heat look to bounce back from their 114-104 loss in Game 5 and take advantage of a San Antonio team that is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Miami is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 18

Game 711-712: San Antonio at Miami (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.768; Miami 135.702
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (73 - 28) at MIAMI (80 - 23) - 6/18/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 57-46 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 95-80 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 124-86 ATS (+29.4 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 270-209 ATS (+40.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-43 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 18

Heat's spread results in last 11 games are LWLWLWLWLWL; Miami is now 12-0 vs spread in game following last 12 losses. James took nine FTs in Game 5, after taking total of 10 in first four games, and Wade has 57 points in last two games, but Heat bench was combined -43 Sunday, while deeper Spurs' subs were +22 and that was with Ginobili starting for first time this season. San Antonio starters shot 64%; Spurs are first Finals team in four years to shoot 60%+ for a game. If you look at first 2:00 of all five games, Spurs have 27-12 edge, so Popovich's adjustments have been better. Question is, can San Antonio seal the deal on road?




NBA

Tuesday, June 18

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MIAMI
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing Miami
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
Miami is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games


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NBA

Tuesday, June 18

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Spurs at Heat: What bettors need to know
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San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat (-7, 191)

Spurs lead best-of-seven series 3-2.

The San Antonio Spurs are one win away from their fifth NBA title and the Miami Heat need a series-saving victory when Game 6 of the NBA Finals is played in South Beach on Tuesday. San Antonio took a 3-2 lead with a 114-104 victory on Sunday behind a season-best game from Manu Ginobili and another superb performance from 3-point shooter Danny Green. Miami is vying to become the fourth team to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two homecourt victories.

The Heat watched the Dallas Mavericks celebrate on their home floor two seasons ago and would like to avoid seeing another such scene involving the Spurs. Miami won 27 consecutive games during the regular series but is finding the playoffs to be much tougher, having gone 5-6 in its last 11 games with no back-to-back victories since winning Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals against Indiana on May 22. Ginobili had 24 points and 10 assists in Game 5 and Green made five 3-pointers to set an NBA Finals record with 25. San Antonio knows there is more work to do. “Obviously, you want to finish in the first opportunity you get,” point guard Tony Parker said. “We understand that Miami is going to come out with a lot more energy, and they’re going to play better at home.”

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE SPURS: Green is the clear-cut Finals MVP if San Antonio closes out the series in Game 6. The player previously cut by both the Cleveland Cavaliers and Spurs has made five or more 3-pointers in three different games while averaging 18 points. Superb ball movement by San Antonio has presented Green with numerous unguarded looks and he has answered by making 65.8 percent of his 3-point attempts. “My teammates have done a great job of finding me and getting me open,” Green said. “Luckily, it seems everything is going right for me.” Parker scored a game-high 26 points in Game 5 despite playing through a hamstring injury while power forward Tim Duncan had 17 points and 12 rebounds for his third double-double of the series.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James is aware he will receive a lot of criticism if Miami falls short but he isn’t running from it on the eve of Game 6. James is averaging 21.6 points and 10.8 rebounds and has reached 20 points just twice in the series. “I have to come up big for sure in Game 6,” James said. “But I believe we all have to play at a high level in order to keep the series going. So me being one of the leaders of this team, I do put a lot of pressure on myself to force a Game 7 and I look forward to the challenge.” Guard Dwyane Wade has put together back-to-back stellar games of 32 and 25 points and veteran guard Ray Allen had his best game of the series with 21 points on 7-of-10 shooting in Game 5.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 12-0 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss.
* Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 4-0 in Heat’s last four home games.
* Under is 16-4-1 in Spurs’ last 21 road games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The three teams to rally from a 3-2 deficit with two consecutive home victories are the 1988 Los Angeles Lakers, the 1994 Houston Rockets and the 2010 Lakers.

2. San Antonio is shooting 44.2 percent from 3-point range in the series with G Gary Neal (12-for-24) joining Green in shooting superbly.

3. James is shooting 43.6 percent in the series, well below his regular-season mark of 56.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/18/2013 07:19 PM

Tuesday, June 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Antonio - 9:00 PM ET San Antonio +6.5 500 POD # 1


Miami - Over 191 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25652 Followers:33
06/20/2013 01:28 AM

NBA Playoffs - Game 7 Facts

June 19, 2013

Game 7 Quick Facts

-- The NBA has had 112 Game 7’s in playoff history

-- The home team is 90-23 (79%) in those games

-- The NBA Finals has featured 17 Game 7's and the road team has won just three (17.6%) of those finales.

-- Ten of the last 12 Game 7 outcomes have been decided by double digits

-- The 2013 postseason has featured two Game 7. Chicago defeated Brooklyn 99-93 on the road in the first round and Miami knocked off Indiana 99-76 in the Eastern Conference Finals.

All-Time Game 7 Road Winners

Year Road Team Home Team Round

2013 Chicago 99 Brooklyn 93 First round
2012 L.A. Clippers 82 Memphis 72 First round
2008 Orlando 101 Boston 82 Conference semifinals
2007 San Antonio 91 New Orleans 82 Conference semifinals
2007 Utah 103 Houston 99 First round
2006 *Dallas 119 San Antonio 111 Conference semifinals
2005 Detroit 88 Miami 82 Conference finals
2005 Indiana 97 Boston 70 First round
2002 *L.A. Lakers 112 Sacramento 106 Conference finals
2000 New York 83 Miami 82 Conference semifinals
1995 Indiana 97 New York 95 Conference semifinals
1995 Houston 115 Phoenix 114 Conference semifinals
1982 Philadelphia 120 Boston 106 Conference finals
1981 Kansas City 95 Phoenix 88 Conference semifinals
1981 Houston 105 San Antonio 100 Conference semifinals
1978 Washington 105 Seattle 99 NBA Finals
1976 Phoenix 94 Golden State 86 Conference finals
1974 Boston 102 Milwaukee 87 NBA Finals
1973 New York 94 Boston 78 Conference finals
1971 Baltimore 93 New York 91 Conference finals
1969 Boston 108 L.A. Lakers 106 NBA Finals
1968 Boston 100 Philadelphia 96 Division finals
1948 Philadelphia 85 St Louis 46 Semifinals
(*) Asterisk denotes overtime
Game 7 Notes - Miami vs. San Antonio

-- San Antonio has gone 3-4 in Game 7's. However, the team is 2-1 under head coach Gregg Popovich, the one loss coming in overtime.

-- The last Game 7 for the Spurs came in 2008, when they beat the Hornets 91-82 in the Western Conference semifinals.

-- Miami has gone 4-3 in Game 7's, the last instance coming in this year's Eastern Conference Finals (see above).

-- Two of the three losses for the Heat in Game 7 have come at American Airlines Arena. In the 2005 conference finals to the Pistons (88-82) and in the 2001 conference semifinals to the Knicks (83-82).


San Antonio Game 7 History

1979 Western Conference Semifinals
San Antonio Spurs 111 vs. Philadelphia 76ers 108

1979 Western Conference Finals
Washington Bullets 107 vs. San Antonio Spurs 105

1981 Western Conference Semifinals
Houston Rockets 105 at San Antonio Spurs 100

1990 Western Conference Semifinals
Portland Trail Blazers 108 vs. San Antonio Spurs 105 (OT)

2005 NBA Finals
San Antonio Spurs 81 vs. Detroit Pistons 74

2006 Western Conference Semifinals
Dallas Mavericks 119 at San Antonio Spurs 111 (OT)

2008 Western Conference Semifinals
San Antonio Spurs 91 at New Orleans Hornets 82

Miami Game 7 History

1997 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Miami Heat 101 vs. New York Knicks 90

2000 Eastern Conference Semifinals
New York Knicks 83 at Miami Heat 82

2004 First Round
Miami Heat 85 vs. New Orleans Hornets 77

2005 Eastern Conference Finals
Detroit Pistons 88 at Miami Heat 82

2009 First Round
Atlanta Hawks 91 vs. Miami Heat 78

2012 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami Heat 101 vs. Boston Celtics 88

2013 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami Heat 99 vs. Indiana Pacers 76

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: