cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 09:24 AM

MLB

Monday, April 1

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MLB Opening Day betting cheat sheet
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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-120, 8)

Probable starting pitchers: Jon Lester (BOS), CC Sabathia (NYY)

Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Mark Teixeira and Curtis Granderson will all be starting the season on the disabled list for New York, leaving veterans like recently acquired Vernon Wells and former Boston star Kevin Youkilis to carry the weight. Yankees ace CC Sabathia owns an 8-9 record with a 4.23 ERA in 22 career starts against Boston. The under is 6-0 in Jon Lester’s last six starts vs. American League East opposition.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-260, 7)

Probable starting pitchers: Ricky Nolasco (FLA), Stephen Strasburg (WSH)

Giancarlo Stanton, who is 5-for-13 in his career against Stephen Strasburg, is the only player that started on Opening Day last season for Miami expected in Monday’s lineup. The over is 5-0 in Strasburg’s last five starts in the opener of a series and Ricky Nolasco is 11-5 against Washington – the most wins he has against any team.

San Diego Padres at New York Mets (-139, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Edinson Volquez (SD), Jon Niese (NYM)

The Padres were 49-37 in their last 86 games a year ago and hope to build on that improvement. San Diego starts that quest without talented third baseman Chase Headley, who is out a couple more weeks with a fractured left thumb. Edinson Volquez is coming off his best season since 2008, striking out 174 in 182 2/3 innings in his first campaign with San Diego. He is 0-4 lifetime against the Mets with a 6.46 ERA in 23 2/3 innings.

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-122, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Jeff Samardzija (CHC), A.J. Burnett (PIT)

The Pirates were 16 games above .500 on Aug. 8 before going 16-46 the rest of the way to complete their 20th consecutive losing season. Pittsburgh's active roster is a combined 11-for-61 (.180) against Jeff Samardzija, but OF Andrew McCutchen has enjoyed limited success, going 3-for-10 against him. Samardzija won both of his starts against the Pirates in 2012, compiling 14 strikeouts and a 1.06 ERA in 17 innings. Chicago is 5-1 in its last six games in Pittsburgh.

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers (-141, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin (COL), Yovani Gallardo (MIL)

Yovani Gallardo is 0-4 with a 5.82 ERA against the Rockies in eight career appearances. The Brewers are 0-7 in Gallardo’s last seven starts vs. the Rockies, who have taken the last four matchups with the Brew Crew. Colorado was the only NL team the Brewers failed to beat more than once in 2012.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-156, 6)

Probable starting pitchers: Matt Cain (SF), Clayton Kershaw (LAD)

Clayton Kershaw has been particularly tough on the Giants in his career, owning a 1.37 ERA in 16 starts and posting two of his five shutouts. San Francisco 3B Pablo Sandoval has only had two at-bats since March 16 because of a lingering right elbow injury that could force him to sit out the opener. The under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.

Los Angeles Angels at Cincinnati Reds (-109, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Jered Weaver (LAA), Johnny Cueto (CIN)

Jered Weaver has thrived in interleague play with a 12-3 career record in 20 starts with a 2.61 ERA. The Angels will rely on Weaver to lead the rotation again this year after he led the American League last season in several categories, including winning percentage (.800), opponents average (.214), WHIP (1.018) and hits per nine innings (7.0). The Angels are 8-1 in last their nine Opening Day games, including four straight wins.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (+176, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Justin Verlander (DET), Vance Worley (MIN)

Vance Worley struggled a bit in the spring, finishing with a 5.73 ERA over 22 innings of work -- striking out 13 and walking only three. Justin Verlander, the 2011 AL MVP, gets the ball for the Tigers in the opener for the sixth straight year. Surprisingly, he has never won in five career Opening Day starts (0-1). The Tigers are 8-0 in Verlander’s last eight starts vs. the Twins. Weather forecasts are projecting chilly temperatures around the freezing mark for this game.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-140, 7.5)

Probable starting pitchers: James Shields (KC), Chris Sale (CWS)

Chris Sale has earned his first career Opening Day start after being selected as an All-Star in 2012. He went 3-3 with an impressive 3.12 ERA in six starts against Kansas City last season. The Royals counter with their newly acquired weapon James Shields. Kansas City took 12 of the 18 games in the series last season and the under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-122, 7)

Probable starting pitchers: Cole Hamels (PHI), Tim Hudson (ATL)

The Phillies are missing one of their top offensive players to start 2013 as catcher Carlos Ruiz begins a 25-game suspension for using a banned stimulant. Atlanta will also will be without its starting catcher for the first month as Brian McCann continues to recover from off-season shoulder surgery. Philadelphia starter Cole Hamels looks more than ready for Opening Day, dominating in five Grapefruit League starts while going 3-0 and holding opponents to a .172 batting average. But the Phillies are 0-5 in the last five meetings when Hamels faces Tim Hudson.

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics (-106, 6.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Felix Hernandez (SEA), Brett Anderson (OAK)

Brett Anderson has stymied the Mariners often in his brief career, compiling a 7-3 record and 1.76 ERA in 13 career outings. But he takes the hill against a Seattle squad that smashed 58 homers in 33 spring-training games. The Athletics went 12-7 against the Mariners last season and have taken seven consecutive meetings.

St. Louis Cardinals at Arizona Diamondbacks (-106, 8.5)

Probable starting pitchers: Adam Wainwright (STL), Ian Kennedy (ARZ)

Ian Kennedy is 1-3 lifetime against the Cardinals and lost both starts last season. The 28-year-old is tough to beat at home - he was 8-4 at Chase Field in 2012 (one of the losses was to St. Louis) and 19-6 over the past two seasons. St. Louis was 5-1 against Arizona in 2012, including 3-0 at Chase Field. The over is 7-0 in the Cardinals’ last seven games as road underdogs.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 09:25 AM

MLB

Monday, April 1

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Opening Day weather watch: Chilly in Minny
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Weather not only plays a huge factor on Opening Day but in nearly every baseball game in April.

Mother Nature is clearly a fan of the long ball because winds are projected to blow out in nearly every outdoor stadium Monday. But bettors beware: cold conditions are expected for many of the season openers.

Here's our weather report for Opening Day:

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-125, 8)

Site: Yankee Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to center at 18 mph.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-260, 7)

Site: Nationals Park

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right at 15 mph.

San Diego Padres at New York Mets (-140, 7.5)

Site: Citi Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 18 mph.

Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates (-122, 7.5)

Site: PNC Park

Forecasts are calling for cold temperatures in the mid-30s and a 30 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out to center at 15 mph.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (-159, 6)

Site: Dodger Stadium

Forecasts are projecting temperatures in the mid-60’s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to right at 12 mph.

Los Angeles Angels at Cincinnati Reds (-114, 7.5)

Site: Great American Ballpark

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s and partly cloudy conditions. Winds will blow out to right at 12 mph.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (+176, 7.5)

Site: Target Field

Forecasts are calling for frigid temperatures in the mid-20s and sunny skies. Winds will blow out to left at 14 mph.

Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox (-140, 7.5)

Site: U.S. Cellular Field

Forecasts are calling for cool temperatures in the high-20s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right at 14 mph.

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-122, 7)

Site: Turner Field

Forecasts are projecting temperatures in the mid-60s and clear skies. Winds will blow in from left at 6 mph.

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics (-106, 6.5)

Site: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to right at 8 mph.

Games being played in venues with a retractable roof are not mentioned.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 09:27 AM

MLB

Monday, April 1

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Best and worst MLB Opening Day bets
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The baseball season is a marathon, not a sprint. But it doesn’t hurt to get off on the right foot. The 2013 MLB schedule opens Sunday/Monday and we take a look back over the past 10 seasons to see which clubs come out swing and which one are still on spring break come Opening Day and Opening Week.

Records over the past 10 MLB seasons.

Best Opening Day bets

Los Angeles Angels – 8-2
Pittsburgh Pirates – 7-3
Baltimore Orioles – 7-3
New York Mets – 7-3
Seattle Mariners – 7-3

Worst Opening Day bets

Cleveland Indians – 2-8
Oakland Athletics – 2-8
Washington Nationals – 3-7

Best Opening Day home bets

Baltimore Orioles – 6-1
Los Angeles Angels – 5-1

Best Opening Day road bets

Chicago Cubs – 5-2
Pittsburgh Pirates – 5-1

Best Opening Day over bets

New York Yankees – 9-1 over/under
Cleveland Indians – 7-2-1 over/under
Milwaukee Brewers – 7-2-1 over/under

Best Opening Day under bets

Los Angeles Angels – 2-7-1 over/under
Texas Rangers – 2-6-2 over/under
Kansas City Royals – 4-6 over/under

Best Opening Day home over bets

Arizona Diamondbacks – 5-1 over/under
Miami Marlins – 5-2 over/under

Best Opening Day home under bets

Los Angeles Angels – 0-5-1over/under
Kansas City Royals – 2-4 over/under

Best Opening Day away over bets

New York Yankees – 6-0 over/under
Milwaukee Brewers – 5-1 over/under

Best Opening Day away under bets

Texas Rangers – 1-4 over/under
Oakland Athletics - 0-3 over/under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 09:28 AM

MLB

Monday, April 1

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MLB's hottest and coldest bets in Opening Week
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Baseball is back, whether you’re ready or not. If you’ve been busy betting the NCAA tournament or capping the playoff pushes in the NBA and NHL, let us lend a hand and get you up to speed.

Here are three teams that tend to start the season hot and three others who drag their feet in the opening games of the schedule.

Record over the past 10 MLB seasons.

Hot starters

Toronto Blue Jays (35-23 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: vs. Cleveland, vs. Boston

The Blue Jays always come out with a head of steam but fizzle as the schedule goes on. Last season, Toronto went 6-4 in its first two series of the season. This year, a reloaded roster and stacked pitching staff has the Jays among the World Series faves but could there be a jelling process for this new-look club?

Los Angeles Dodgers (34-26 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: vs. San Francisco, vs. Pittsburgh

The Dodgers were on fire to start the 2012 season and jumped up the World Series futures board thanks to a 16-7 record in April, including a 6-1 mark in their first two series. Los Angeles reached deep into its pockets this offseason and loaded up on talent. Much like Toronto, L.A. could need some time to come together.

St. Louis Cardinals (32-24 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: at Arizona, at San Francisco

The Cardinals are known more for their late-season heroics than their April success. However, St. Louis got off to a strong start in 2012, winning five of its first seven and let everyone know it would be alright without Albert Pujols.


Cold starters

Philadelphia Phillies (21-32 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: at Atlanta, vs. Kansas City

Believe it or not, one of the best baseball teams over the past 10 seasons has also been one of its slowest starters. The Phillies split their first six games of the 2012 season and if Roy Halladay is suffering from a dead arm, things may go the same this spring.

Boston Red Sox (24-33 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: at New York, at Toronto

There were teams with worse records during opening week than the Red Sox, but who the hell is going to bet on the Astros? Boston was the most costly team in baseball last season, burning 36.85 units, and a 1-5 start to the schedule set the tone for a dismal year for BoSox backers.

Cleveland Indians (23-31 in Opening Week)

Opening Week opponents: at Toronto, at Tampa Bay

The Tribe aren’t surprising anyone falling under this category. Cleveland is not only among the slowest starters – going 1-4 in its first two series last year - but is the worst Opening Day bet in the bigs at 2-8 over the past 10 seasons. But there is a catch. The Indians added some interesting players to the mix this offseason and are the “sexy” season win totals over pick (77.5) among Las Vegas wiseguys.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 09:33 AM

Monday, April 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -110 500
NY Yankees - Under 8 500

Miami - 1:05 PM ET Miami +232 500
Washington - Over 7 500

San Diego - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets -136 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 1:35 PM ET Chi. Cubs +111 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500

Colorado - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee -148 500
Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

Kansas City - 4:10 PM ET Kansas City +129 500 POD # 1
Chi. White Sox - Over 7.5 500

LA Angels - 4:10 PM ET Cincinnati -108 500
Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500

Detroit - 4:10 PM ET Detroit -193 500
Minnesota - Under 7.5 500 POD # 2

San Francisco - 4:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -150 500
LA Dodgers -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 12:52 PM

March's MLB Preseason Daily Picks as monitored by wagerline:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

03/29/13 8-­5-­1 61.54% +­1375 Detail
03/28/13 5-­5-­1 50.00% +­140 Detail
03/27/13 6-­5-­0 54.55% +­340 Detail
03/26/13 7-­6-­1 53.85% +­85 Detail
03/25/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% 0 Detail
03/24/13 7-­5-­0 58.33% +­815 Detail
03/23/13 5-­6-­0 45.45% -­575 Detail
03/22/13 4-­7-­1 36.36% -­1705 Detail
03/21/13 6-­5-­1 54.55% +­85 Detail
03/20/13 5-­3-­0 62.50% +­930 Detail
03/19/13 8-­4-­0 66.67% +­2010 Detail
03/18/13 1-­1-­0 50.00% 0 Detail
03/17/13 4-­5-­1 44.44% -­915 Detail
03/16/13 6-­2-­0 75.00% +­2310 Detail
03/15/13 4-­5-­1 44.44% -­510 Detail
03/13/13 6-­4-­0 60.00% +­890 Detail
03/12/13 3-­6-­0 33.33% -­1800 Detail
03/11/13 6-­4-­1 60.00% +­875 Detail
03/10/13 9-­3-­0 75.00% +­2885 Detail
03/09/13 4-­8-­0 33.33% -­2195 Detail
03/08/13 6-­1-­0 85.71% +­2640 Detail
03/07/13 8-­2-­0 80.00% +­3045 Detail
03/06/13 4-­3-­0 57.14% +­410 Detail
03/05/13 3-­4-­1 42.86% -­615 Detail
03/03/13 5-­7-­0 41.67% -­1115 Detail
03/02/13 5-­6-­1 45.45% -­815 Detail
03/01/13 4-­7-­1 36.36% -­1825 Detail

Totals 140-­120-­11 53.85% +6765

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/01/2013 02:31 PM

MLB Evening Games:


Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -119 500
Atlanta - Under 7 500

Seattle - 10:05 PM ET Seattle -102 500
Oakland - Over 6.5 500

St. Louis - 10:10 PM ET St. Louis +101 500
Arizona - Under 8.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/02/2013 12:14 AM

uesday's Early Game:

Tuesday, April 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 3:10 PM ET Baltimore +151 500 POD # 1

Tampa Bay - Under 7 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/02/2013 05:26 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Clayton Kershaw is first pitcher to hit a home run and pitch shutout on Opening Day since Hall of Famer Bob Lemon did it for the '53 Indians.

-- Bryce Harper HR'd twice, only runs Ricky Nolasco gave up, as Marlins lost 2-0 in Washington to Strasburg and the Nationals.

-- Tubby Smith looks like a lock for the Texas Tech job; man, he's been all over the place- Tulsa/Georgia/Kentucky/Minnesota, now Lubbock.

-- It is now illegal for minors to use a tanning bed in New Jersey.

-- AT&T commercials with guy in the suit and the little kids are excellent; the ones with Bird-Magic-Bill Russell-Kareem aren't bad either.

-- 12 days ago, I couldn't have picked Andy Enfield out of a lineup; now it looks like he's the new hoop coach at USC. Timing is everything in life.


*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) There is a College Basketball Hall of Fame in Kansas City, but not sure what geniuses decide who gets in. No Rick Pitino, no Jerry Tarkanian, but Norm Stewart and Joe B. Hall are in. Rollie Massimino? Please.........

12) 14 of 30 major league baseball teams have payrolls of $100M+.

11) Oakland Raiders traded for QB Matt Flynn, will deal Carson Palmer to the Cardinals. Raiders seriously need some contunity one of these years; seems like they either have a new coach or QB every year.

10) Carl Crawford is wearing #25 for the Dodgers, same number Tommy John wore for LA. Crawford is recovering from Tommy John surgery- he had two hits, scored a run in his Dodger debut Monday.

9) Playing back-to-back in the NHL can be draining; so far this season:
-- Road teams who played at home night before: 14-29
-- Teams on road for second consecutive night: 30-44
-- Teams at home for second consecutive night: 20-9
-- Home teams who played on road night before: 17-23

8) I once dated a woman who tried to kill a spider by spraying hairspray on it; not only did the spider live, its hair looked tremendous.

7) Louisville has two national titles in basketball; both times, Indiana won the national championship the next season.

6) Michigan-Syracuse is the first-ever Final Four game with two 4-seeds meeting. Since 1987, #4 seeds are 2-9 SU in Final Four games, with last win by Arizona in '97. This year's meeting will make 4-seeds 3-10- Michigan is a 2-point favorite over the Orangemen in Saturday's nightcap.

5) Mets' 1B Ike Davis complained to a sportswriter about having to shell out $1,400 for six tickets to the Mets' opener. Davis made $507,000 LY; how does a regular guy who makes $60,000 take his family to a game?

4) The whole Ben Howland/Steve Alford at UCLA thing is fascinating; you look at Alford's 5-7 record in NCAA games and that includes two losses in first round as a 3-seed, to Harvard this year, to Northwestern State in 2006, when Alford was coaching Iowa. Thats not good.

UCLA fired Steve Lavin after he made five Sweet 16's in seven years; what exactly do they want? Its almost like the John Wooden era is an anchor on the current Bruin regime, no matter who is in charge.

3) Americans won the first 14 PGA tournaments this year, which is kind of unusual. We'll see if that holds up at The Masters next week.

2) In 106 years of competition, 32 different schools have been members of the Missouri Valley Conference, at one time or another; with Creighton on its way to the Big East, the MVC will be adding anothrr school, so that will be a 33rd league member. Pretty good basketball league, too, as Wichita State is showing this month.

1) Could someone please explain to me why the two baseball teams in New York played their season openers at the same time, eight miles apart?
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23766 Followers:32
04/02/2013 05:28 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at Arizona
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's loss to the Diamondbacks and build on their 9-4 record in Jaime Garcia's last 13 starts in Game 2 of a series. St. Louis is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 2

Game 951-952: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.515; Milwaukee (Estrada) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Under

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 16.225; Arizona (Cahill) 15.182
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Over

Game 955-956: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 18.207; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.913
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Over

Game 957-958: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 15.822; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.036
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-170); Under

Game 959-960: Cleveland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.552; Toronto (Dickey) 15.298
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+150); Over

Game 961-962: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.280; Houston (Harrell) 14.824
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-180); Under

Game 963-964: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.264; Oakland (Parker) 15.969
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Over
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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: