marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 08:00 AM

Basketball Crusher

Michigan +2 over Kansas

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:34 AM

STEVE JANUS

Friday's Sweet 16 Free Pick: Duke -2

It's no surprise to see the Blue Devils in the Sweet 16 as this team has lost one game all season with Ryan Kelly in the lineup. I'm a big believer in this team and the 2nd half dominance they showed over Creighton will carry over to their matchup against the Spartans. Not to take anything away from Michigan State, but this is a difficult matchup for the Spartans. Michigan State doesn't defend the 3-point shot well and offensively could struggle with Duke's interior defense making it hard for Nix and Payne to get easy looks. The Big Ten started to show they might not be all their made out to be, as Ohio State barely held on to beat Arizona and the Hoosier got rolled by Syracuse. Look for Duke to take control of this game in the second half and easily cover this small spread. BET THE BLUE DEVILS!

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:35 AM

Dave Cokin

Friday free play is Michigan.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:35 AM

JR O'Donnell
Free play

Oregon +10.5

J Oster is rocking with the CONFIDENT 12th seed... these 28-8 Oregon Ducks will go toe to toe with the 12-0 last 12 Louisville Cards plus the 10.5... Ducks are well coached Dana Altman and we will not call for the Outright but we will call for a cover.... Swag and Confidence with the Ducks Tonight........... Don't count of EJ Singler tonight ... plus let's power rate this ball game @ Cards - 7 flat....the Ducks are confident their offense can STROKE THE 3 ... last 2 games they went 8 for 11 from the 3-point range .. Oklahoma State and Saint Louis.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:37 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 29

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OREGON (28 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (27 - 8) vs. DUKE (29 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (28 - 7) vs. KANSAS (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:37 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
KANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA GULF COAST (26 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (28 - 7) - 3/29/2013, 10:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:37 AM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Friday, March 29

NCAA Tournament, Sweet Sixteen

Oregon vs. Louisville, 7:15 ET CBS
Oregon: 1-7 ATS after playing as an underdog
Louisvile: 8-0 ATS in March

Michigan State vs. Duke, 9:45 ET CBS
Michigan State: 14-5 ATS away off an ATS win
Duke: 1-8 ATS after having 9 or less assists

Michigan vs. Kansas, 7:35 ET TBS
Michigan: 7-1 ATS in tournament games
Kansas: 11-1 Under in NCAA Tournament games

Florida Gulf Coast vs. Florida, 10:05 ET TBS
FL Gulf Coast: 7-0 ATS as an underdog
Florida: 5-13 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:38 AM

NCAAB

Friday, March 29

Trend Report

7:15 PM
OREGON vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:37 PM
MICHIGAN vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:45 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. DUKE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:57 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:38 AM

NCAA Basketball Picks

Michigan State vs. Duke

The Blue Devils look to take advantage of a Michigan State is that is coming off a 70-48 win over Memphis and is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 games following a win by 20 points or more. Duke is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-2). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 873-874: Oregon vs. Louisville (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 70.548; Louisville 79.845
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Louisville by 11; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+11); Over

Game 875-876: Michigan State vs. Duke (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 72.335; Duke 76.487
Dunkel Line: Duke by 4; 130
Vegas Line: Duke by 2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-2); Under

Game 877-878: Michigan at Kansas (7:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 68.777; Kansas 73.850
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5; 133
Vegas Line: Kansas by 2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-2); Under

Game 879-880: Florida Gulf Coast vs. Florida (9:57 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 63.146; Florida 73.298
Dunkel Line: Florida by 10; 142
Vegas Line: Florida by 13; 136
Dunkel Pick: Florida Gulf Coast (+13); Over

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:39 AM

NCAAB

Friday, March 29

NCAA tournament Midwest Regional: Semifinal betting previews

Louisville Cardinals vs. Oregon Ducks (+10, 129.5)

As impressive as Oregon was in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament, the 12th-seeded Ducks will need to be even better when they face No. 1 seed Louisville in the Midwest Region semifinal Friday in Indianapolis. Oregon advanced to the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2007 after defeating No. 5 seed Oklahoma State and No. 4 seed Saint Louis last weekend in San Jose, but the Ducks committed a total of 36 turnovers in the two wins.

While the Ducks were able to overcome their high turnover numbers in the first two rounds, Louisville might not be so forgiving. The Cardinals, who routed 16th-seeded North Carolina A&T and No. 8 seed Colorado State in their first two games, uses a tenacious defense to force an average of 19 turnovers per game. Louisville is peaking at the right time with 12 straight wins, including a dominant 78-61 victory over Syracuse in the Big East title game on March 16.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (31-5, 22-14-0 ATS): The Cardinals are second in the nation in turnover margin (plus-6.3) and steals (11), and they’re facing an Oregon team that led the Pac-12 with 14.2 turnovers per game. Coach Rick Pitino compared Oregon’s up-tempo offense to Missouri, which lost 84-61 to the Cardinals on Nov. 23. The Cardinals’ backcourt of Russ Smith and Peyton Siva ranks among the best in the country, and Smith averaged 25 points and five steals in two games last weekend. Center Gorgui Dieng could play a key role in neutralizing Oregon senior forward Arsalan Kazemi.

ABOUT OREGON (28-8, 15-18-1 ATS): The Ducks have won five straight, including a win over UCLA in the Pac-12 tournament title game. If they can somehow limit their turnovers, the Ducks have the offensive firepower to make things interesting. Kazemi is averaging 16.5 rebounds in the tournament, and Oregon dominated the boards in its first two tournament games. Freshman guard Damyean Dotson averaged 20 points last weekend, when the Ducks made 16 of their 33 shots from 3-point range. The Ducks feature a balanced offense, with six players averaging at least eight points.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Cardinals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Ducks last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 NCAA tournament games.

TIP-INS:

1. Since the NCAA expanded to 64 teams in 1985, only one No. 12 seed — Missouri in 2002 — has advanced to the Elite Eight.

2. Pitino is 44-16 in the NCAA Tournament.

3. The winner advances to the Elite Eight on Sunday against second-seeded Duke or No. 3 seed Michigan State.


Michigan State Spartans vs. Duke Blue Devils (-2, 134.5)

Few teams have experienced more success in Indianapolis during NCAA Tournament play than Duke and Michigan State. Two of college basketball’s premier programs look to continue their incredible run in that city Friday when the second-seeded Blue Devils face third-seeded Michigan State in the Midwest Regional semifinals at Lucas Oil Stadium. Duke has won six of seven NCAA Tournament games in Indianapolis – including a pair of national championships in 1991 and 2010 – while Michigan State is 7-1 in such games, including its last national championship run in 2000.

The Blue Devils advanced to their 13th Sweet 16 in the last 16 years with Sunday’s 66-50 victory over Creighton, while Michigan State cruised to a 70-48 win over Memphis on Saturday for its 11th berth in the regional semifinals over the same span. The winner of this contest will meet top-seeded Louisville or No. 12 seed Oregon in the Elite Eight on Sunday.

TV: 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (27-8, 14-16-2 ATS): Keith Appling practiced Monday and “is going to be fine,” according to coach Tom Izzo, after injuring his left patellar tendon during the Spartans’ victory over Valparaiso and aggravating a shoulder injury against Memphis. Adreian Payne recorded his first double-double in the NCAA Tournament with 14 points and 10 rebounds against the Tigers. He also added a career-high five blocks, a single-game record by a Michigan State player in a NCAA Tournament game. Gary Harris’ 23 points Saturday were the most by a Spartans freshman in the Big Dance since Shawn Respert scored 27 against Cincinnati in 1992.

ABOUT DUKE (29-5, 18-16-0 ATS): Assistant Chris Collins will reportedly accept the coaching vacancy at Northwestern at the end of the season. On the court, Duke turned in its second-worst shooting performance of the season (38.8 percent) against the Bluejays, but held the country’s second-best shooting team to season lows in points and shooting percentage (30.2). Although freshman Amile Jefferson’s two-point, two-rebound performance in 11 minutes wasn’t particularly noteworthy, his defensive effort against All-American forward Doug McDermott – who finished 4-of-16 – played a key role the Blue Devils’ win. Mason Plumlee, Josh Hairston and Ryan Kelly all battled foul trouble. Duke secured its 2,000th victory Sunday, becoming the fourth team to accomplish the feat.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
* Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Spartans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win.

TIP-INS:

1. Duke is 7-1 against Michigan State under coach Mike Krzyzewski, the loss coming in the Sweet 16 in 2005.

2. The Spartans boast a plus-23 rebounding margin through two games in the NCAA Tournament (98-52)

3. The Blue Devils are one win from hitting 30 victories for the fourth time in the last five years, and for the 13th time under Krzyzewski.

marksmoneymakers Posts:12194 Followers:137
03/29/2013 09:40 AM

NCAAB

Friday, March 29

NCAA tournament South Regional: Semifinal betting previews

Michigan Wolverines vs. Kansas Jayhawks (-2, 136)

Michigan makes its first appearance in the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 since 1994, taking on top-seeded Kansas on Friday in Arlington, Tex. The Jayhawks are no stranger to the second week, reaching the Sweet 16 for the seventh time in 10 seasons under coach Bill Self. The fourth-seeded Wolverines beat No. 13-seed South Dakota State (71-56) in the second round and fifth-seeded Virginia Commonwealth (78-53) in the third. The Jayhawks have had a more difficult time advancing. They beat 16th-seeded Western Kentucky in their opener (64-57) followed by a win against eighth-seeded North Carolina (70-58).

Kansas features four seniors in its starting lineup: center Jeff Withey, forward Kevin Young and guards Elijah Johnson and Travis Releford. By contrast, none of Michigan’s top nine scorers is a senior. The Wolverines don’t have a true center on their roster, so look for them to employ a combination of players against Withey, a skilled 7-footer. Mitch McGary, a 6-10 freshman who averages 18.4 minutes, will likely get the first shot.

TV: 7:47 p.m. ET, TBS.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (28-7, 16-16-1 ATS): Trey Burke has done some things in this tournament that he hasn’t done all season. In the opener against South Dakota State, the sophomore point guard and Big Ten Player of the Year scored in single digits for the first time this season, shooting a season-worst 2-for-12 and scoring six points in Auburn Hills, Mich. He came back with 18 points against VCU but committed a season-high seven turnovers. That number stood out even more because Burke is fourth in the nation in assist-to-turnover ratio (3.11).

ABOUT KANSAS (31-5, 20-15-0 ATS): The Jayhawks have their own budding superstar in freshman guard Ben McLemore, but he’s also struggling lately. He missed all nine field-goal attempts against North Carolina and scored a season-low two points. He nearly had as many turnovers (four) as field-goal attempts (five) against Western Kentucky and hasn’t reached his 15.8 scoring average in the last four games dating to the Big 12 tournament semifinals. McLemore is capable of going on scoring sprees, having notched 30 or more points three times this season.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Jayhawks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 15-7-1 in Wolverines' last 23 non-conference games.
* Under is 23-11 in Jayhawks' last 34 non-conference games.

TIP-INS:

1. Kansas is 29-9 all-time as a No. 1 seed in the tournament, but 3-4 against the No. 4 seed.

2. Withey averages 16.5 points, 11 rebounds and 3.9 blocks, which ranks second in the nation.

3. The winner is guaranteed to play a Florida-based team for the first time this season, facing third-seeded Florida or 15-seeded Florida Gulf Coast in the Elite Eight.


Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Florida Gators (-13, 135)

The NCAA could not have picked a more appropriate venue than Cowboys Stadium to host the South Regional of the NCAA Tournament. The home of America's team will become the domain for America's newest darlings when upstart Florida Gulf Coast plays in-state powerhouse Florida on Friday in Arlington, Tex. The Eagles became the first No. 15 seed in NCAA history to reach the Sweet 16 by blitzing No. 2 seed Georgetown and No. 7 San Diego State.

While Florida Gulf Coast has captivated the nation, the third-seeded Gators are flying under the radar with dominant wins over Northwestern State and Minnesota to reach the Sweet 16 for the third consecutive season. Florida looked like the best team in the country earlier in the season, rolling off 10 straight wins with ease before struggling down the stretch. The Gators are no strangers to the NCAA's biggest stage, having won national championships in 2006 and 2007.

TV: 9:57 p.m. ET, TBS.

ABOUT FLORIDA GULF COAST (26-10, 6-0-0 ATS): The Eagles have appeared unflappable through two games, riding the wondrous skills of sophomore point guard Brett Comer, the all-around play of backourt mate Sherwood Brown - the Atlantic Sun Conference Player of the Year - and some high-flying antics that have earned them the moniker "Dunk City." Bernard Thompson scored 23 points in both tournament wins as Florida Gulf Coast continues to bear little resemblance to the team that lost to Lipscomb (twice), East Tennessee State, Stetson and Maine. "They play with a swagger, and they have a right to do that," San Diego State coach Steve Fisher said.

ABOUT FLORIDA (28-7, 18-14-0 ATS): The Gators are well equipped to match up against the Eagles. Florida has a deep, experience lineup that features five players averaging between 12.8 and 9.2 points. Point guard Scottie Wilbekin is joined in the backcourt by 2,000-point scorer Kenny Boynton and Mike Rosario, who had a career-best 25 points against Minnesota. Forward Erik Murphy provides punch inside, averaging 16.5 points and shooting 72.2 percent in the tournament. Florida thrives on defense, having held 24 opponents under 60 points and limiting 13 to fewer than 50. Finally, coach Billy Donovan knows a little about the dangers of a Cinderella squad. He played point guard and led Providence to the Final Four in 1987.

TRENDS:

* Eagles are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
* Gators are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 5-2 in Eagles' last seven overall.
* Over is 13-5 in Gators' last 18 NCAA Tournament games.

TIP-INS:

1. Florida, one of four programs to reach the Sweet 16 the past three seasons, is 5-1 in regional semifinals under Donovan.

2. Florida Gulf Coast joined the Atlantic Sun in 2007, and this season marked only its second year of eligibility for Division I postseason play.

3. Donovan is one of only four men (Dean Smith, Joe B. Hall and Bobby Knight) to appear in a Final Four as a player and win an NCAA title as a coach.