jimmythegreek Posts:10785 Followers:378
On 10/02/2011 09:33 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 4

Minnesota -2.5 over Kansas City (bought half):
While the Minnesota Vikings have held double-digit leads in the second half of every game, the Kansas City Chiefs have not led at any point. Both teams, though, are 0-3 and in danger of seeing their seasons slip away as Kansas City hosts Minnesota on Sunday. The Vikings, seeking to avoid their first 0-4 start since 2002, have led by at least 10 points at halftime in each contest. Their biggest blown lead came last Sunday, ahead 20-0 at the half in Detroit only to fall 26-23 in overtime.

The Chiefs, who started 3-0 last year en route to winning the AFC West, are at risk of their second 0-4 start in three years. They've given up an NFL-high 109 points and have scored a league-low 27. Matt Cassel was intercepted in the final minute to end Kansas City's comeback attempt last week in a 20-17 loss to San Diego. The Chiefs were held to 34 total yards in the first half while failing to record a first down. The Chiefs' 28th-ranked run defense now must make its goal to slow down Adrian Peterson.

Kansas City is allowing 123.0 rushing yards per game, while Peterson is averaging 98.7 for Minnesota's third-ranked rushing attack (159.0 ypg). Peterson ran for 78 yards and a touchdown against Detroit, though he had only five yards on five rushes in the second half. Frazier admitted he must make sure to keep getting his star running back carries regardless of the game situation. Donovan McNabb has a 106.7 passer rating in two career starts against Kansas City, which struggled to run the ball last week in its first full game since losing All-Pro Jamaal Charles to a season-ending injury. The Chiefs averaged 3.0 yards per rush as Dexter McCluster and Thomas Jones took the bulk of the carries. They may have just as tough a time against a Vikings defense allowing 67.3 rushing yards per game to rank fourth in the NFL.

The Vikings need to lean on their fourth-ranked run defense to put the game into Cassel's slumping hands. The Chiefs rank ninth in rushing and average 4.6 yards per carry. Dexter McCluster averages 6.6 a carry. Cassel, however, directs the 31st-ranked passing attack. His 65.5 passer rating is 31st in the league, and his 53.6 rating on third down is 29th. This might come down to who has the ball last, so we suggest you buy down and hope the purple people eaters finally break through.
















For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12284-12609-462
  • Last 7 Days Record: 114-95-5
  • Last 30 Days Record: 488-501-20
jimmythegreek Posts:10785 Followers:378
10/02/2011 09:39 AM

Washington -2.5 over St. Louis (bought half):
Washington (2-1) missed a chance at its first 3-0 start since 2005 with Monday's 18-16 loss at Dallas in its first road game. The Redskins blew a 16-9 second-half lead and have lamented an all-out blitz on third-and-21 that resulted in Dez Bryant's 30-yard reception that led to the Cowboys' winning field goal. Hall was victimized by Bryant, and was also whistled for a facemask penalty on the play that he later disputed. The cornerback was more notably displeased with defensive coordinator Jim Haslett's decision to blitz in that situation.

Hall said Wednesday that he met with Haslett and coach Mike Shanahan and came away understanding why Haslett - the Rams' interim coach for the final 12 games in 2008 - called for an all-out blitz. Hall said he "might have been a little overzealous" in his remarks. Meanwhile Steve Spagnuolo, meanwhile, came to St. Louis (0-3) in 2009 after a successful two-year stint as the New York Giants defensive coordinator. His defense, however, is allowing 440.7 yards per game for the NFC's worst mark.

St. Louis has the second-worst point differential in the league, having been outscored by 60. The Rams fell behind by three touchdowns in the first quarter of last week's 37-7 home loss to Baltimore. The Rams lost their first seven games in Spagnuolo's first season and could be on the hot seat with another defeat this afternoon.

Last year's NFC offensive rookie of the year, Sam Bradford, has been sacked 11 times in 2011 to tie for fourth place in the league. He's got two touchdown passes this year and was hoping to get Danny Amendola back after the wide receiver missed the last two games with a dislocated left elbow. However, Amendola has been downgraded from questionable to doubtful for Sunday despite switching to a sturdier brace this week. He did not practice Friday and may wait to return until after next week's bye.

Bradford will have pleasant memories of his first victory, 30-16 over Washington last Sept. 26. He completed 23 of 37 passes for 235 yards, one touchdown and one interception as the Rams scored 16 unanswered points in Shanahan's first road game as Redskins coach. The Redskins got away from the run after struggling to gain yards in the second half Monday at Dallas. Look for offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan to try for more balance this week against a Rams defense that is last against the run. The Redskins are much-improved defensively from last year when they were 31st. They're 11th against the run, 15th against the pass and fifth in scoring. If Grossman can stay efficient and manage long sustained successful drives, Washington should have no trouble falling back on their defense in preserving the victory.











For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12284-12609-462
  • Last 7 Days Record: 114-95-5
  • Last 30 Days Record: 488-501-20
jimmythegreek Posts:10785 Followers:378
10/02/2011 09:44 AM

New Orleans -6.5 over Jacksonville (bought half):
Already the highest-scoring team in the NFC, the New Orleans Saints are about to get a key member of their offense back on the field. The Jacksonville Jaguars hope they won't need to continue to rely so heavily on their star running back to shoulder the offensive load. With receiver Marques Colston set to return from injury, the Saints seek a third consecutive victory in their first visit to Jacksonville in eight years Sunday.

New Orleans (2-1) has averaged 34.7 points through three games, highlighted by a 40-33 comeback victory over Houston last week. Despite throwing his first two interceptions of 2011, Drew Brees tossed two of his three touchdowns in the fourth quarter as the Saints overcame a 26-17 deficit.
Brees is glad he can throw to Colston, who was cleared to play after breaking his collarbone in a season-opening loss at Green Bay. Colston, who had at least 70 receptions in four of his first five seasons, caught six passes for 81 yards against the Packers. Brees has also formed a strong on-field bond with tight end Jimmy Graham, who caught four passes for 100 yards and a touchdown against the Texans. The budding second-year star is eighth in the NFC with 235 receiving yards on 14 catches.

The Saints may face a challenge in a Jacksonville defense that ranks fourth in the league with 280.0 yards allowed per game, but scoring could continue to be a problem for the Jaguars (1-2), even against a New Orleans team that's giving up 29.3 points per contest. Despite a strong start from star running back Maurice Jones-Drew, the Jaguars have totaled 29 points, second fewest behind Kansas City's 27. They rank last in the league with 126.7 passing yards a game and 28th in total offense at 261.0. Jones-Drew, who has scored one of the team's two touchdowns, is third in the NFL with 307 rushing yards after running for 122 in rainy conditions during a 16-10 loss at Carolina on Sunday.

Since Oct. 31, Jones-Drew has rushed for a league-high 1,121 yards. He's also averaged 123.3 while recording three straight 100-yard games against NFC opponents. Jones-Drew, however, ran five times for 28 yards in the teams' most recent meeting, a 41-24 New Orleans home victory Nov. 4, 2007. While Jack Del Rio is pleased with Jones-Drew's effort, he hopes to see more progress from rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert, who was 12 for 21 for 139 yards with a touchdown and an interception in his first career start last week.

Offensively, the Saints will try to stay on a roll against the Jaguars' fourth-ranked defense with the run-pass balance they've used to take back-to-back wins over Chicago and Houston, teams that also had top-10 defenses. The Jaguars allow just 196.3 passing yards per game, but having averaged 338 yards a game, the Saints will explore that matchup while blending in the run on occasion. On defense, the Saints might use the same game plan they used against the Bears with lots of pressures and blitzes to make Gabbert uncomfortable in just his second start. The Saints already have 10 sacks after getting just 33 in 2010, so the Jaguars know it has to be coming. Too many weapons for the black and gold, and New Orleans should roll by at least 2 TD's.























For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12284-12609-462
  • Last 7 Days Record: 114-95-5
  • Last 30 Days Record: 488-501-20
jimmythegreek Posts:10785 Followers:378
10/02/2011 09:50 AM

New England/Oakland over 55:
New England's 15-game winning streak over the Buffalo Bills is over. Now the Patriots are preparing for another improving team that struggled the past decade. The Oakland Raiders are 2-1 after going eight seasons without a winning record. The Bills have just one winning season in the past 11 but snapped that long slide against the Patriots last Sunday with a 34-31 win. So the Patriots have plenty to prepare for against a team they haven't played in three years.

Sunday's game matches the NFL's top passing offense, led by Tom Brady's 442.3 yards per game, against the No. 1 rushing attack with Darren McFadden, who leads the league with 131 yards per game. McFadden ran for a career-high 171 yards and two touchdowns in last Sunday's 34-24 win over the New York Jets. One week earlier, the Raiders built a 21-3 lead at Buffalo but lost 38-35 on a touchdown pass with 14 seconds left. Then it was the Patriots turn to blow a big lead against the Bills, who overcame a 21-0 deficit last Sunday. The Patriots also had a good shot at a 3-0 record when they built their 21-0 lead. It was 31-31 when the Bills got the ball at their 20-yard line after a touchback on a kickoff with 3:25 remaining. They needed just three plays to get to the 1, then worked the clock down until Rian Lindell's winning 28-yard field goal on the final play.

New England couldn't stop the Bills from marching downfield. In fact, the Patriots have given up more total yards and yards passing than any other team. Their defense against the run is ranked 10th best - one promising sign against a run-oriented attack like Oakland's - but that's deceiving since teams have had to pass more to try to overcome deficits. Jason Campbell is the NFL's 10th-ranked quarterback but has thrown only 82 passes in the Raiders' three games.

The Patriots are a pass-first team. When they run the ball, BenJarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead get most of the work, although rookie Stevan Ridley led them with 44 yards on seven carries against Buffalo. Against the Bills, Brady completed 30 of 45 passes for 387 yards and four touchdowns. But he also threw four interceptions, matching his total for all last season, with one returned for a touchdown. Wes Welker burned the Bills with 16 catches for 217 yards and two touchdowns. But Chad Ochocinco hasn't made an impact in three games with his new team. He caught two passes for 28 yards but dropped a perfect pass near the end zone. In three games he has just five catches.

If Oakland looks to keep up with New England, Campbell may have to throw more especially against the fast starting Brady and the Pats. We don't see Brady throwing 4 picks this afternoon, but yet establish a tempo that will take advantage of drives where they can score early and often. While both defenses may be challenged, this will be an all out shootout, so if you like points, you might not want to flinch at the risk of missing big plays.

GL to all this afternoon
YTD 6-6













For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 12284-12609-462
  • Last 7 Days Record: 114-95-5
  • Last 30 Days Record: 488-501-20
junkmansports Posts:1135 Followers:26
10/02/2011 10:01 AM

Good luck JTG KC is just plain bad should be a nice win for you. I see a lot of money going to the saints and the over looks solid in the NE game