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California vs. Syracuse, 03/23/2013 21:40
Point Spread: +7½/-110 California
FREE PLAY for 3/23/13
The Key: Cal is very good defensively, good enough to slow down a Syracuse squad that has been extremely offensively challenged at times. The Golden Bears held UNLV to 61 points on 32.2% shooting in their round of 64 victory. They've held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 34.5% shooting or less. Syracuse shot the ball very well against an overmatched Montana squad in its opening round win. However, it had shot 40.8% or worse in 5 of its previous 7 games. The Orange have shot worse than 40% 7 times in their last 13 games. Syracuse is darn good defensively as well, but Cal has gone 8-1 ATS down the stretch versus good defensive teams that hold their opponents to 64.0 ppg or less. Ball security is a big reason for Cal's success against quality teams. The Golden Bears aren't very generous. They've had 14 turnovers or fewer in each of their last 6 games. This run is telling as Cal is 18-9 ATS under coach Mike Montgomery after 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. Take the points.
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