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Denver vs. Oklahoma City, 03/19/2013 20:00
Total: -105/+215½ Under
It is no secret that both of these teams can score a lot of points. Their reputations as high scoring teams is what makes the under the value play in this game. The total has been driven up much higher than it should be considering Oklahoma City is a quality defensive team playing on their home court. You should always play the under in a game involving two teams shooting 47% or more when they are average ball handling teams committing 14.5-16.5 turnovers after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 30-6 (83.3%) to the under since 1996. This game also falls into a system to play the under when a team is revenging two consecutive straight up loss as a favorite like the Thunder when they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games and they are playing against a team with a winning record. This system is 121-72 in favor of the under.