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jimmy
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Free Pick on Detroit Pistons +

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On 03/18/2013 12:23 PM in Cappers
Brooklyn vs. Detroit, 03/18/2013 19:30
Point Spread: +3½/-104 Detroit

You should always play on home underdogs like Detroit when they are playing a double revenge game against an opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite. This system is 64-30 (68.1%) in favor of that home underdog. This trend is particularly important because the Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double digit loss at home.

The Pistons are averaging 96.3 points per game at home while the Nets are scoring a mere 93 points on the road. Brooklyn is not a team that forces a lot of turnovers averaging just 13 per game while committing 14 of their own. The Nets defense has been horrible lately allowing over 51% shooting in their last three games. The Pistons may not have a great overall record, but they are playing on their home court and if the Nets allow over 50% shooting in this game the Pistons will pick up a home win.

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