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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini (+2, 129)
Teams intent on solidifying their NCAA Tournament resumes collide when Illinois and Minnesota open Big Ten tournament play in Chicago on Thursday. The eighth-seeded Fighting Illini lost three of their last four regular-season games but are counting on victories over Gonzaga, Indiana and Ohio State to bolster their at-large chances. Ninth-seeded Minnesota lost 10 of 15 games after a 15-1 start and certainly would face a nervous Selection Sunday if it loses to the Illini.
The winner faces top-seeded Indiana in Friday’s quarterfinals. Illinois and Minnesota split two regular-season meetings, each winning on the other’s home floor. Illinois views the United Center as a home away from home and has a 33-11 record in the facility. Minnesota is 5-9 on the road and neutral courts. The Golden Gophers lead the Big Ten with an plus-8.1 rebounding margin while Illinois (minus-0.7) is one of three conference teams that have been outrebounded overall.
* Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
* Favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
* Golden Gophers are 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings.
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverines (-14.5, 135)
Fifth-seeded Michigan doesn’t have to be reminded about what could happen it if overlooks 12th-seeded Penn State when it opens Big Ten tournament play Thursday. The No. 8 Wolverines let a 15-point lead get away in losing to the Nittany Lions on Feb. 27 in one of the more stunning upsets of the college season. Penn State had lost 14 straight games prior to delivering a blow that helped derail Michigan’s hopes of winning the regular-season crown.
The winner of this contest faces fourth-seeded Wisconsin in Friday’s quarterfinals. The Wolverines were in the running for an opening-round bye – not to mention a share of the Big Ten crown – until losing to Indiana in the regular-season finale. Penn State went 2-2 over its final four regular-season games after going nearly two months without a victory. The Nittany Lions defeated 11th-place Northwestern in addition to the Wolverines. Michigan won the first meeting, 79-71, 10 days prior to losing to Penn State.
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Favorite is 14-6-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
* Nittany Lions are 6-15-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5, 124)
Purdue’s only chance at extending its NCAA Tournament streak to seven is to win the Big Ten tourney and the Boilermakers begin that arduous task against 10th-seeded Nebraska on Thursday in Chicago. The seventh-seeded Boilermakers are one game below .500 entering the tourney and need four victories in four days to keep the streak from being halted. The Cornhuskers are rebuilding under first-year coach Tim Miles and surviving past Friday would rate as a significant accomplishment.
The winner of the contest faces second-seeded Ohio State in Friday’s quarterfinals. Purdue won this season’s lone meeting by recording a 65-56 win on Nebraska’s home floor on Jan. 16. The Boilermakers routed Minnesota 89-73 in their regular-season finale and have won three of five games entering the tournament. The Cornhuskers also recently defeated Minnesota for their only victory in their last four games. Nebraska averages a conference-low 58.6 points per game.
* Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games.
* Boilermakers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
* Over is 24-11 in Boilermakers' last 35 vs. Big Ten.
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (-9, 124)
Iowa needs a strong performance in the Big Ten tournament to improve its dicey NCAA Tournament hopes. The sixth-seeded Hawkeyes open conference tourney play against 11th-seeded Northwestern in Chicago on Thursday and an opening-game loss would squash Iowa’s chances at earning an at-large bid. Iowa has won six of its last eight games and probably needs at least two more wins to improve its odds. Northwestern has lost eight straight games and 10 of 11.
The winner of the contest faces third-seeded Michigan State in Friday’s quarterfinals. The Hawkeyes won the two regular-season meetings with the Wildcats by an average of 17 points. Northwestern has averaged just 51.8 points during its losing skid and ranks 11th in the Big Ten at 60.8 per outing. Iowa ranks third in the conference in scoring at 70.3 and leads the Big Ten in field-goal percentage defense at 38.7. Northwestern shoots 40.2 percent, second-lowest in the conference. The Hawkeyes are just 4-9 on road and neutral courts.
* Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
* Under is 10-4-1 in Wildcats last 15 vs. Big Ten.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Boston College Eagles (+1.5, 130)
Boston College came from behind to beat Georgia Tech 74-72 for its third consecutive victory to end the regular season last Saturday. Five days later, the two young, improving teams meet again in the first round of the ACC tournament at Greensboro, N.C. Eighth-seeded Boston College also rallied to beat Virginia and Clemson in the last three games, shooting a combined 48.9 percent from the field. Guard Olivier Hanlan, named the league’s rookie of the year on Tuesday, has led the way for the Eagles of late.
Georgia Tech could not follow up its win at regular-season champ Miami (Fla.) on March 6, allowing a late 12-0 Boston College surge. The ninth-seeded Yellow Jackets can earn another game against the Hurricanes on Friday with a victory, although they must improve on their league-low 42.4 percent shooting to make a run.
* Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five neutral-site games.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack (-11.5, 155)
North Carolina State blew an eight-point lead in the second half of its regular-season finale at Florida State and lost 71-67, dropping to the fifth seed for the ACC tournament. That means the Wolfpack will have to win four games in four days to wear the crown, starting with 12th-seeded Virginia Tech in the first round at Greensboro, N.C. on Thursday. North Carolina State is second in the league in scoring, but has struggled defensively at times and is 3-5 in its last eight games decided by four points or less.
The Wolfpack will have to contain the nation’s leading scorer Erick Green, who dropped 29 on them in his team’s 90-86 overtime loss on Feb. 16. Virginia Tech is last in the league in scoring defense, one spot below North Carolina State, and has lost 12 of its last 14 games.
* Hokies are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Hokies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight neutral-site games.
* Wolfpack are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral-site games.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Maryland Terrapins (-6, 136)
Maryland will have history on its side when the seventh-seeded Terrapins open the ACC tournament against 10th-seeded Wake Forest on Thursday at Greensboro, N.C. The Terrapins have won six straight against the Demon Deacons and their last six meeting at the conference tournament. The winner will play No. 2 Duke, the second seed, in Friday's quarterfinals.
Maryland's bubble may have burst with Sunday's loss at Virginia but coach Mark Turgeon more focused on seeing his young team improve. "We never talk about (the postseason)," Turgeon said in Monday's ACC teleconference. "We just try to get better. If you play well, things will take care of themselves." The Demon Deacons snapped a three-game losing streak with a 90-79 win against Virginia Tech, where they shot 59.2 percent.
* Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Demon Deacons are 0-7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 10-2 in Demon Deacons last 12 neutral site games.
Clemson Tigers vs. Florida State Seminoles (-1, 122)
Sixth-seeded Florida State will begin defense of its ACC tournament title Thursday against Clemson at Greensboro, N.C. The Seminoles enter the game off back-to-back home wins while the 11th-seeded Tigers have lost nine of 10. The winner will play No. 3 seed North Carolina in Friday's quarterfinals.
Florida State swept Clemson by a combined eight points this season, getting a buzzer-beating 3-pointer from senior Michael Snaer on Jan. 24. In three of their six meetings at the ACC tournament, one team has swept the regular-season games only to lose in the postseason. Clemson senior center Devin Booker finished the season hot and the Tigers got sophomore K.J. McDaniels back in the regular-season finale.
* Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Seminoles are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Arkansas-Vanderbilt: Let's not underestimate that this game is being played in Tennessee. Vandy basketball draws and travels well. And we know that the Hogs lone road win this entire season away from Bud Walton Arena was over Auburn, which is nothing to be proud of. This should be a war, because early in the season Arkansas held Vanderbilt to a mere 33 points, and in the rematch the Commodores crushed THEM by 18. The current line has the Hogs favored, and perhaps that's because they did win some fairly impressive home games. Vanderbilt does come in having won four of their last five, albeit against teams they should beat. Since it's much easier to slow a game down than speed it up, Vanderbilt ought to slow the pace down. The don't have the experience (at all) but do have the length. IMO it all comes down to which Sophomore PG plays better, BJ Young or Kedren Johnson. FWIW two of the last three games Johnson went to the line 12+ times. If he does that here, Vanderbilt wins.
Minnesota-Illinois: Obviously in Chicago you would think there'd be a bit of a home court crowd for Illinois, but they were actually pummeled but when these two met in Illinois earlier the Gophers crushed them. Illinois eeked out a win in a low scoring game at Minnesota, so obviously either team is capable. Both teams are technically "in" as of now, but either could play their way right out, so there's some big ramifications here. With that in mind I'd expect this game to be deliberate and low scoring. It might be hard to trust a Minnesota team that limps in with two pretty ugly road losses, or at least uglier than the two Illinois had. Neither team comes in hot/confident. Illinois with a bit more size and experience, and without looking too much further, which I will, I would have to trust the Senior Brandon Paul (Illinois) over the Sophomore Andre Hollins for Minnesota. Just cannot wrap my head around the Gophers turnovers, especially given that Illinois plays a bit faster and in this venue could speed the game up. My only concern fading Minnesota is that they are an excellent offensive rebounding team, but Illinois creates far more turnovers and it's Illinois I'd want at the line late.
Iowa State-Oklahoma: These two met twice this year, with the home team simply crushing both games. Oklahoma's revenge win in Norman was less than two weeks ago, so I would think that would perhaps favor Iowa State a little. iowa State is a projected 12 seed and falling, while Oklahoma is a fairly solid #10 seed. That would certainly tell me the game means more to ISU. Funny how if the Sooners win and ISU doesn't get it, they knock someone from their own Conference out. Neither team does much of anything away from their own gym. ISU was knocked out in the first round be Texas last season, while the Sooners were also done in one by the Aggies. I'd like to take ISU here, because I love Korie Lucious. My one issue is that Oklahoma is much bigger on the perimeter. Since neither of them turn it over much, both are superior from the line, and suck at offensive rebounds, this could be the squarest over play I may make.
Dayton-Butler: Obviously one of these teams is more public than the other, which is probably built into the line. Butler won at Dayton earlier this season, and is bolting from the A-10 after a season. Clearly that's also putting a bigger target on their backs, but it is still Butler and it is still Brad Stevens. What I don't like about trying to back Dayton (which I would instinctively) is that they haven't beaten a good team, in conference, away from home. If Dayton's going to win, they're probably going to have to make some three's, which is not there norm, although they do shoot well from outside. Inside, they're fairly young with the exception of Benson, and that could pose a problem. And I'm not really sure I trust their defense, although perhaps a better way to put it is that I trust Butler's more. Dayton does have some turnover issues that scare me, but Butler's defense, although excellent, is not a pressure defense. And Butler can get sloppy as well, which might make me go with the under in this one. It'll be a very deliberate pace, and barring last minute foul-fest's might be hard pressed to get to the number.
George Washington-Umass: Most of you know I like to fade Umass when they're not in Amherst, but they played well down the stretch except against a highly motivated Butler team coming in off of two losses. GW comes in after beating Dayton in their season finale, and had lost four straight prior to. The thing about that is that three of them were on the road, and the home loss was to St. Louis, so they very well may be a bit under the radar here. The downside is that they won at Amherst, so perhaps UMass remembers that. I think they will, but, GW is a team that would be more than happy to play at the pace the Redmen want to play. The big difference between these two is that GW just doesn't take three point shots, while Umass will take as many as they can. In A-10 play, GW was the number one offensive rebounding team, which is obviously huge. I'd love to take them, and may, but shooting free throws is also something they just don't do well, nor is defending three's, at least in conference play. UMass is a good free throw shooting team, so inasmuch as I'd like to take the points, it's going to take more digging (they all do) to get there. I do think that the total will be higher than it needs to be just because of who these teams are and how they like to play. But, on a neutral site I'd have to think that the turnovers and missed free throws keep it under, and I see it's already lost a bit off of the opener, which as ALREADY less than I had hoped for. This one will beg the aged old question as to whether it's a number we cannot live with, or it there for a reason and we ought to bet it.
The Oklahoma Sooners were safely in the NCAA Tournament before a terrible 57-60 road loss to TCU in their regular season finale. Now, this team is squarely on the bubble and it really needs a win over Iowa State in its opening game of the Big 12 Tournament if it wants to make the Big Dance.
With that motivation, coupled with the fact that Iowa State is likely in the NCAA Tournament win or lose Thursday, I'm backing the Sooners to beat the Cyclones in this one. This is an experienced team that returned five starters from last year, so it is prepared to handle the pressure of this must-win situation.
The home team won both regular season meetings, but Oklahoma won the most recent meeting 86-69 on March 2nd. Lon Kruger clearly made better adjustments than Fred Hoiberg from the first meeting, and I look for the Sooners to implement the same strategies that were successful against the Cyclones less than two weeks ago.
This play falls into a system that is 79-43 (64.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (OKLAHOMA) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season.
Oklahoma is 17-9 ATS in all games this season. The Sooners are 9-2 ATS after playing a road game this season. Oklahoma is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall. The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet Oklahoma Thursday.
Big East tournament (NYC)
-- Georgetown (+4) won 62-55 at Cincinnati Feb 15, holding Bearcats to 4-24 from arc, while UC was just 17-30 from foul line. Hoyas won 12 of last 13 games overall, beating Syracuse by double digits twice- last four Big East tourneys, they're just 4-4, but won first tournament game six of last eight years. Bearcats weren't overly taxed yesterday, jumping out to 18-point lead. 16 of last 18 Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Syracuse played four starters 37+ minutes but beat Seton Hall by 12 after trailing by 10 in first half, just their second win in last eight games; Orange (+4) lost 65-55 at Pitt Feb 2; Panthers turned ball over 20 times but shot 60% inside arc. Pitt was 12-4 in Big East tourney from 2003-8, is just 1-4 last four years; Panthers won four in row, 11 of last 14 games overall. Syracuse is now 7-6 in Big East tourney since last title ('06).
-- Villanova has gone W-L in Big East tourney six of last eight years; last night was the win. Wildcats (+11) outscored Louisville 31-19 over final 10:00 to upset Cardinals 73-64 January 22 in Philly. Cardinals are 9-2 in this event last four years, but is just 2-3 in this round since joining Big East, winning by 6-11ot. Last time Villanova won two games in Big East tourney was '04. Nine of last 12 Louisville games stayed under total.
-- Marquette (-5.5) shot 64% inside arc, beat Notre Dame 72-64 at home March 2, but Irish had 17 offensive boards. Eagles won last four games, are 16-4 in last 20- they've won first tourney game five of last six years. Irish are 4-3 in its last seven games since winning consecutive OT games last month; they lost four of last six on road, played three starters 35+ minutes last night. Only once in last decade has Notre Dame won twice in same Big East tournament.
ACC tournament (Greensboro)
-- Florida State beat Clemson twice this year, by 5-3 points, racing out to 24-8 lead in first game, rallying to win second after being down 11 in second half; Seminoles are 3-1 in last four games- they won this tourney LY, but are 4-5 in first game of last nine ACC tourneys. Clemson lost its last six games, scoring 55.3 ppg; they're 3-7 in first game last 10 ACC tourneys, were 9-36 from arc vs FSU (29% from arc in ACC play).
Atlantic 16 tournament (Brooklyn)
-- Butler (-1) shot 60% inside arc, 7-13 outside it Jan 12 in 79-73 win at Dayton, during its 13-game win streak; Bulldogs were 14-7 in Horizon tourney games last decade, but this is deeper water. Dayton (0-3) hasn't won A-16 tourney game in last four years, scoring 60.7 ppg; Flyers won three of last four games, blowing OT game at GW Saturday. In six of its seven losses this season, Butler was held to 61 or less points.
Big X tournament (Kansas City)
-- Iowa State/Oklahoma are both bubble teams, but Sooners' loss at TCU last game may have crippled them; home team won both games between these clubs this year, by wide margins. Oklahoma was 34-34 from line in 86-69 win over ISU March 2 (Cyclones were 14-22). Iowa State is 5-2 in last seven games overall, but are 0-7 in Big X tourney, with last three losses by 7 points or less. Sooners are 1-4 in this event last four years.
-- Oklahoma State won 11 of last 13 games, is in tourney; Baylor is 4-8 in last 12 games, even with home upset of Kansas last game, they need at least one win this weekend to make NCAAs. Teams split two games this year, with home wide winning both; OSU was 5-37 from arc- they won first tourney game nine years in row, with three of last four by 14+ points. Baylor won six of ten games in this tourney last four years.
Pac-12 tourney (MGM Garden Arena, Las Vegas)
-- Arizona State played four guys 43+ minutes, a fifth guy 38 in 89-88 OT win yesterday that kept its NCAA hopes alive- it was first win for ASU in this event in last decade except for when it had James Harden in '09. ASU waxed UCLA by 18 at home, then lost in OT at Pauley Feb 27 in rematch. Bruins are 9-5 in this event last seven years, 3-4 in last four. its been five years since the #1 seed won this tournament. ASU's Carson is one of two best freshmen in country, gives Sun Devils a chance.
-- Arizona hasn't won Pac-12 tourney since 2002; they lost in final last two years, both by a basket. Colorado is now 5-0 in Pac-12 tournament; they split pair of games vs Arizona this year, getting robbed by refs on bad clock call in Tucson, but winning rematch by 13. Buffs' Roberson played 25 minutes yesterday in his return from illness. Arizona is 4-4 in last eight games after 20-2 start, as lack of true PG begins to show up.
-- Oregon is 5-6 in last 11 games after 18-2 start; PG Artis played 16.7 mpg in three games back from foot injury, but hasn't made 2-point hoop (5-11 from arc). Washington is now 5-2 in last seven games after holding on to beat its rival Wazzu last night, winning by basket after leading by 19 with 14:29 left- they won this tourney two of last three years, lost by hoop in first game LY. Ducks lost first tourney game three of last five years, after winning tourney in '07.
WAC tournament (Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
-- Tex-Arlington went 11-7 in its first year in WAC despite losing twice on road last week; they swept pair vs Utah State this year, winning by 15-6 points, with +17 turnover ratio (33-16) in two games, holding State to 34.5/29.6% inside arc in those games. Mavericks are #12 team in USA in experience. Aggies are 12-4 in WAC tourney as they prepare to leave for MWC; they're banged up this season, losing last three road games.
Big West tournament (Anaheim)
-- Cal Poly won five in row, eight of last nine games; they lost by hoop at buzzer at UC-Davis Jan 10, then won rematch by 15 (led at half by 17). Mustangs lost pair of home games by total of four points last week, blowing 19-point halftime lead in final vs Irvine; they're 2-10 this season vs teams ranked higher than #199 (Cal Poly is #145). Cal Poly won first tourney game in two of three years that Callero has been their coach,
NCAA-B | Mar 14 '13 (12:00p)
GEORGIA TECH vs BOSTON COLLEGE GEORGIA TECH
-1-110 at betus
15* ACC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia Tech -1
This is a classic regular season finale rematch spot that I'm going to take advantage of. Boston College beat Georgia Tech 74-72 on March 9th in the regular season finale for both teams. Now, playing each other less than a week later, I'm backing the Yellow Jackets to get revenge on a neutral court this time around.
This play falls into a system that is 79-43 (64.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (GEORGIA TECH) - off a close road loss by 3 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season.
Georgia Tech played very well down the stretch, going 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games overall. That includes a 71-69 road victory on March 6th over ACC regular season champ Miami as a 13-point underdog, and a 78-68 home victory over possible NCAA Tournament contender Maryland on February 27th.
The Yellow Jackets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a S.U. loss. The Eagles are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Bet Georgia Tech Thursday.
NCAA-B | Mar 14 '13 (2:30p)
DAYTON vs BUTLER BUTLER
-3½-110 at betus
15* Atlantic 10 Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Butler -3.5
The Butler Bulldogs should be a much heavier favorite in the opening round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament over the Dayton Flyers. Butler won at Dayton 79-73 in their lone regular season meeting on January 12th. The Flyers (17-13) have no business getting this much respect from oddsmakers in the rematch.
Butler (24-7) isn't a complete lock to get into the NCAA Tournament, and it doesn't want to lose this game to give the committee any reason to keep it out of the Big Dance. This team doesn't take games off under the head coaching of Brad Stevens, either.
Stevens is 24-9 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of Butler. The Bulldogs are 15-2 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
Butler is 7-0 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. It is winning in this spot by an average of 10.2 points/game. Roll with Butler Thursday.
NCAA-B | Mar 14 '13 (2:30p)
SYRACUSE vs Pittsburgh SYRACUSE
+2½-110 at BetOnline
15* Big East Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Syracuse +2.5
The Syracuse Orange should not be an underdog to the Pittsburgh Panthers in the second round of the Big East Tournament today. In my opinion, Syracuse is the best No. 5 seed in the country in all of these conference tournaments. This team is undervalued due to its poor finish to the season.
Sure, Syracuse lost four of its final five games to close out the regular season. However, those four losses came to Georgetown (twice), Louisville and Marquette, which are the three teams in the Big East that finished with the best records.
Pittsburgh won each of its final four games to close out the regular season. A closer look shows that those four victories were unimpressive as all four came against mediocre Big East teams in St. Johns, South Florida, Villanova and DePaul. However, the Panthers are getting respect because of this finish, but as you can see it's unwarranted.
The Orange are going to be out for revenge from a 55-65 loss at Pittsburgh on February 2nd in their lone regular season meeting. Jim Boeheim is 21-9 ATS a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of Syracuse. He gets his teams to play at their highest level at Madison Square Garden in the Big East Tournament.
Pittsburgh is 0-9 ATS after 3 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more over the last 2 seasons. This trend just goes to show how the Panthers have been overvalued after a few dominant performances in a row, which is the case here. The Orange are the better team and that will show on the court today. Take Syracuse Thursday.
-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-B | Mar 14 '13 (6:30p)
NEBRASKA vs PURDUE PURDUE
-5½-110 at betus
20* Big Ten Opening Round ANNIHILATOR on Purdue -5.5
The Purdue Boilermakers are playing their best basketball of the season heading into the Big Ten Tournament. As a result, they are the biggest sleeper in this tourney and I wouldn't be surprised one bit to see them win a few games in it. It starts Thursday with a blowout victory over Nebraska.
The Boilermakers won two of their final three games while going a perfect 3-0 ATS in the process. What's most impressive about that is the fact that all three of those teams are projected to be in the NCAA Tournament. They won 69-56 at Wisconsin as a 14-point underdog, vs. Minnesota 89-73 as a 3-point dog, and lost vs. Michigan 75-80 as a 6.5-point dog.
After playing such tough competition to close out the regular season, the Boilermakers are clearly battle-tested. It will be like playing a high school team when they get to face lowly Nebraska in the opening round. The Huskers are just 14-17 overall, including 5-13 in Big Ten play.
Purdue won 65-56 at Nebraska on January 16th in their lone meeting of the regular season as a 2-point favorite. In fact, the Boilermakers are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS vs. Nebraska since the Cornhuskers joined the Big 12 last year. All three victories have come by 9, 18 and 18 points.
The Boilermakers are 10-1 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 6-0 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. These last three trends combine for a 19-1 system backing the Boilermakers today. Take Purdue Thursday.
-= TOP PLAY =-
NCAA-B | Mar 14 '13 (7:30p)
Arkansas vs VANDERBILT Arkansas
-2-110 at betus
25* SEC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas -2
The Arkansas Razorbacks represent my strongest release for the entire 2013 SEC Tournament. There won't be a better wagering opportunity than this one folks. I look for the Razorbacks to roll over the Vanderbilt Commodores in the opening round of the conference tourney Thursday.
Arkansas needs this win to stay alive for the NCAA Tournament. This is a team that is squarely on the bubble, and only a deep run in the SEC Tournament will get them in. Vanderbilt is just 14-16 on the season and it has no business getting this much respect from oddsmakers tonight.
The home team won in blowout fashion in both meetings with Arkansas winning 56-33 at home on January 12th, and Vanderbilt winning 67-49 at home on February 9th. However, the Razorbacks were in a huge letdown spot heading into their second meeting after beating then-No. 1 Florida 80-69 in their previous game. It was only human nature for them to have such a letdown following such a big win.
Vanderbilt is clearly overvalued due to winning four of its final five games to close out the season. However, all four of those victories came against SEC bottom feeders in Mississippi State, Auburn, South Carolina and Georgia. Kevin Stallings is 30-51 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games as the coach of Vanderbilt.
Mike Anderson is 11-2 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game as the coach of Arkansas. The Razorbacks are winning 69.5 to 61.6 in this spot, or by an average of 7.9 points/game. Bet Arkansas Thursday.
Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament
1st Round at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Butler 70, Dayton 66
Massachusetts 75, George Washington 70
Richmond 73, Charlotte 69
Xavier 63, Saint Joseph's 62
Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament
1st Round at Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
Boston College 64, Georgia Tech 63
Florida State 62, Clemson 58
Maryland 71, Wake Forest 67
NC State 83, Virginia Tech 69
Big 12 Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO
Iowa State 81, Oklahoma 79
Kansas 81, Texas Tech 56
Kansas State 72, Texas 63
Oklahoma State 75, Baylor 69
Big East Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Georgetown 64, Providence 55
Louisville 66, Villanova 59
Marquette 64, Notre Dame 63
Pittsburgh 60, Syracuse 59
Big Sky Conference Tournament
1st Round at Dahlberg Arena, Missoula, MT
North Dakota 72, Southern Utah 67
Northern Colorado 78, Montana State 73
Weber State 79, Northern Arizona 63
Big Ten Conference Tournament
1st Round at United Center, Chicago, IL
Illinois 63, Minnesota 62
Iowa 66, Northwestern 56
Michigan 73, Penn State 58
Purdue 64, Nebraska 58
Big West Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Cal Poly 71, UC Davis 66
Long Beach State 78, Cal State Fullerton 70
Pacific 66, UC Santa Barbara 58
UC Irvine 78, Hawai'i 70
Conference USA Tournament
Quarterfinals at BOK Center, Tulsa, OK
East Carolina 77, Tulsa 76
Memphis 80, Tulane 65
Southern Miss 73, Uab 69
Utep 72, Houston 68
Great West Conference Tournament
1st Round at Jones Convocation Center, Chicago, IL
Utah Valley vs. Houston Baptist: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mid-American Conference Tournament
3rd Round at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH
Western Michigan 57, Eastern Michigan 54
Kent State 76, Buffalo 67
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Winston-Salem, NC
Hampton 60, Delaware State 55
Morgan State 55, Savannah State 53
Pacific-12 Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Arizona 66, Colorado 63
California 65, Utah 57
Oregon 66, Washington 65
Ucla 73, Arizona State 67
Southeastern Conference Tournament
2nd Round at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Georgia 65, Lsu 62
Missouri 82, Mississippi State 63
Tennessee 68, Texas A&M 59
Southland Conference Tournament
2nd Round at Leonard E. Merrell Center, Katy, TX
McNeese State 67, Southeastern Louisiana 65
Oral Roberts 65, Sam Houston State 63
Southwestern Athletic Conference Tournament
1st Round at Special Events Center, Garland, TX
Alcorn State vs. Prairie View A&M: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Jackson State 66, Alabama State 62
Western Athletic Conference Tournament
Quarterfinals at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV
New Mexico State 74, Idaho 63
Utah State 65, UT Arlington 61
Denver 77, Texas State 56
Louisiana Tech 73, UT San Antonio 60
SAN FRANCISCO 70, Northern Kentucky 57