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junkmansports
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT

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On 10/01/2011 06:46 AM in MLB
Who’s hot

MLB: The Rangers are 7-1 in Derek Holland’s last eight home starts against winning teams.

NCAAF: The Under is 11-4 in Iowa State’s last 15 home games.

NCAAF: Wake Forest is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0 points.

CFL: Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a SU loss.

Who’s not

MLB: The Over is 1-5 in Detroit pitcher Doug Fister’s last six starts.

NCAAF: Penn State is 0-6 ATS in its last six games.

NCAAF: Mississippi State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog.

CFL: Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a SU win.

Weather

- The forecast for Game 1 of the NLDS between St. Louis and Philadelphia is calling for rain. There's a 55 percent chance of showers for Citizens Bank Park along with winds blowing west at speed of up to 11 mph. Temperatures will dip into the mid 50s.

- More rain is expected in the Bronx for Game 2 of the ALDS between Detroit and New York. The forecast for Yankee Stadium is calling for a 65 percent chance of showers by the first pitch, however, the rain will let up later in the evening. Temperatures are expected to be in the high 50s.

- Winds will reach speeds in the mid teens at Miller Park for Game 1 of the NLDS between Arizona and Milwaukee Saturday. Those gust will be blowing north out to right field.

- For all your college football weather, check out Covers.com's weekly NCAAF betting weather report.

Key stat

3.02 -- The yards-per-carry average of Pittsburgh RB Rashard Mendenhall. The Steelers, whose offensive line is an injury-riddled mess, are getting 3.5 points at Houston on Sunday. The Texans allow 4.8 yards per carry but it's highly questionable whether Pittsburgh can take advantage.

Injuries not to be overlooked

N.C. State, a 10-point home dog to No. 21 Georgia Tech, is decimated on the D-Line. The Wolfpack were already without DTs J.R. Sweezy and Thomas Teal when they lost to Cincinnati 44-14 last week, then they lost two more players at those positions. Brian Slay (ankle) and A.J. Ferguson (knee) went down in the first half and won’t play Saturday. But Sweezy, who’s missed the entire season with a broken bone in his foot, is listed as questionable.

Game of the day

No. 8 Nebraska Cornhuskers at No. 7 Wisconsin Badgers (-10, 56.5)

Notable quotable

"Caldwell wanted to start me but it wasn’t up to him!” – CB Justin Tryon’s tweet about head coach Jim Caldwell after the Colts released Tryon. Players admitted they were shocked Tryon was waived. It’s just another sign of turmoil for 0-3 Indy, a 10-point dog at Tampa Bay on Monday night.

Notes and tips

The MLB regular-season was the lowest-scoring since 1992. Teams averaged 4.28 runs per game, compared to the Steroids Era peak of 5.14 in 2000. Teams averaged 4.12 in 1992. Home runs per game per team dropped to 0.94, also the lowest in 19 years. In 2000, teams averaged 1.17 homers per game. On the other hand, the 3.94 ERA was the best since pitchers posted the same ERA in 1992.

Cowboys QB Tony Romo might need another pain-killing injection before Sunday’s home game against the Lions. Romo, who received two pain injections for his fractured rib before Monday’s win over Washington, said he doesn’t know how severe the crack is. But, he added, “it's a fracture. It is what it is. It either feels better or it doesn't." Playing with a protective vest, Romo hit 22 of 36 throws for 255 yards and one INT against the ‘Skins. It was the seventh time since he became a fulltime starter in 2006 that Romo didn’t throw a TD pass. Dallas is favored by 1.5 points against the undefeated Lions.

Wisconsin will have its starting right tackle back for Saturday’s showdown against Nebraska. Senior Josh Oglesby, who hurt his left knee Sept. 17, practiced all week. Replacement Rob Havenstein got his first start against South Dakota last week and is expected to get some snaps, too. LB Kevin Claxton, who broke his left wrist in the season opener, also should start Saturday after coming off the bench last week and making six tackles. The host Badgers are favored by 10.
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