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Play On - Any team (PEPPERDINE) after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%)
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% 24.5 units )
11-6 this year. ( 64.7% 4.4 units )
CBB E WASHINGTON at IDAHO ST.
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (IDAHO ST) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season.
45-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.4% 25.7 units )
10-6 this year. ( 62.5% 3.2 units )
CBB LONG BEACH ST at CAL DAVIS
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games.
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
As of now, Colorado is part of the projected NCAA Tournament field but not by much. This is the last chance in the regular season for the Buffaloes to grab a quality win as they finish the season on Saturday against Oregon St. they are coming off a 16-point loss at California last Saturday which put an end to a solid 5-1 run but Colorado heads home where it is 11-2 on the season, losing only to UCLA and Arizona St. by a combined four points, the latter defeat coming in overtime by a point. Currently the Buffaloes are in fifth place in the Pac 12 and have to win out and get help from Arizona St. to claim the fourth seed and a first round bye in the upcoming Pac 12 Tournament so they need to take care of business. Oregon has won two straight games to improve to 12-4 in the conference and is currently in first place by a half-game so there is a lot at stake for the Ducks as well. They have not been playing great on the road however. Even though they are 2-2 in their last four games on the highway, the two wins came at Washington and Washington St., two teams that will not be part of the Big Dance. Oregon is still not 100 percent healthy as point guard Dominic Artis is finally just getting back. Coach Dana Altman plans to work Artis back in slowly, possibly targeting next week's Pac-12 Tournament to shift him back into the starting lineup. Colorado won the first meeting in Eugene thanks to a strong second half and while the Ducks will be out for revenge, it won't be easy here. Colorado falls into a great situation where we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against teams allowing 63 or fewer ppg after allowing 65 points or less three straight games. This situation is 82-37 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1997. Play (514) Colorado Buffaloes
On Thursday the free NCAAB Play is on Montana. Game 548 at 9:00 eastern. Montana won by nearly 30 here last season vs Sacramento St and beat them on the road earlier in the season despite a poor effort. We note that Montana has been Money when playing off 3+ road games going a perfect 6-0 straight up and ats. They fit a late season system that pertain to Home teams off back to back road games and have won and covered the last 5 here in the series. Of late they are 6-2 ats as a home favorite from -9.5 to -12. Sacramento St is 4-13 with just 3 spread wins in March games and 0-4 with home loss revenge. They have lost to the spread in 10 of their 13 losses and are 2-22 and 7-13 ats vs winning teams. Even with the injured players Montana should cash this one. Make it Montana tonight.
Free College Basketball Prediction From Allen Eastman:
Take Under 127.0 Kentucky at Georgia (7 p.m., Thursday, March 7)
This is a huge game for Kentucky! This team could miss the NCAA Tournament. They absolutely have to win this game. But I think that the young Wildcats are going to tighten up on the road. Georgia is a team that likes to slow it down. They like to minimize possessions because they know they are outgunned in terms of talent. Georgia is going to milk the shot clock and keep the Wildcats from getting into transition. The under is 18-7-1 in Kentucky's last 26 road games and the under is 24-8-1 in Georgia's last 33 home games. The under is 5-2-1 when Georgia plays after a win, and I think that this one will be low scoring. I handicapped this game in the 50s and the low 60s. I think that the public will expect Kentucky to run and gun its way to a victory. But I know better. This one will be about defense and execution and it will stay under.
After watching Wisconsin somehow find a way to lose AT HOME vs. Purdue over the weekend, I have to wonder how focused they'll be in this tough road game at Michigan State... a 58-57 loser at Michigan on Sunday.
In fact, Michigan State has dropped their last three conference games after playing some of their best basketball in early February. After beating Michigan, Purdue, Illinois and Minnesota all by double digits in convincing fashion, the Spartans have dropped decisions at home vs. Indiana, at Ohio State and at Michigan... yet they still find themselves in solid position for a top 4 seed in the Big 10 tourney.
Defense, rebounding, and free throws seem to be the key to the Spartans success again this year, and when they put those three things together, they're hard to beat.
Wisconsin, on the other hand, is still trying to figure out how they beat Ohio State like a drum at home and somehow found a way to lose on the very same floor to Purdue.
But those are the breaks; those are the bounces.
The Badgers, not a perennially good road team, not only has to figure out how to go to East Lansing and win, they have to figure out how to not fall apart at the worst time of the year.
With conference tourney time right around the corner, I expect both teams to come out swinging, but in the end the Spartans are too tough at home and should win this one by at least eight.
With Virginia once again tossed into bubble trouble after Sunday’s loss at BC that partially undid much of the good done by previous win over high-ranked Duke, Tony Benentt’s bunch has to approach this trip to Tallahassee with some added urgency. While the Cavs haven’t often taken their KO power with them away from Charlottesville, they did asphyxiate FSU at John Paul Jones Arena on Jan. 19 when limiting Noles to just one triple in 15 tries beyond the arc and forcing them into 18 TOs, converted into 20 UVa points in a 56-36 romp. Moreover, money-burning FSU owns just 2 covers its last 14 games overall, so the case for the hosts is a tough one to make. Note that the Cavs’ 6-6 wing Joe Harris has been en fuego the past five weeks, scoring 21.7 ppg his last ten outings.
When the Seminoles host the Cavaliers in this ACC clash in Tallahassee Thursday evening, FSU will take the court looking to avenge a 20-point whipping suffered in Charlottesville earlier this season. That should be plenty of incentive for the for the painted faces given the fact they are 19-8 ATS in this series, including 6-0 ATS when avenging a same season loss. With the visiting team 6-19-1 ATS in Virginia games this season, look for the upset here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Florida State.